Momentum always fade before it reverses. No abrupt reversal in it.
U can see in the pic below, it always passess through a choppy zone, before trend reversal to give a clear momentum.

With a huge gap up and no follow through today, price is still not bearish
means no short now

if u are looking to scan the stocks which are moving in tight range,
how would u construct a logic for that?

Everyone's suggestions are welcome

Thread on Importance of Mean Reversion

U must have remember the charts of auto sector breakout on last monday,potentially poised to be the next leader in the rally.
But since then it just fell bad and deep
Breaking the breakout bar low

1/7

The seemingly convincing breakout retest structure in abv daily chart takes a cocpletely different picture in u open the chart in weekly TF

shooting start at the resistance line of a triangle and at a major supply zone

2/7

Major stocks such as heromoto, maruti, eichermot and babajauto are already trading below the breakout level it established on monday when sector broke out

3/7

This poses a serious question on the risks associated with breakout.

Popularity behind the breakout is the fact that it doesnt need any skills to spot it, even a 90% blind man can spot it in any chart, because the price just sticks out from the rest by a very big margin

4/7

But think about a completely diffferent method where the price makes a clean move and the risks assicated with it is cubstantially less.

Price available so cheap and at support

5/7

Pullback Trading Strategy

Stock Selection: Stock under major uptrend with higher swing highs and lows since last one year
Trade location: Pullback to 20SMA after making a higher high
Trade set up: Candlestick Reversal Pattern with high Volume
SL: <20SMA of low
Target: Breakout

How to identify a potential 2x/3x winner in equity segment with a medium term delivery perspective??

Here is few stocks which made a >5x return since 2 years. All of them shows specific repeated sequence of events.
If u were to ask to form a method out of this
How would u do it?

If u know how ATR, RSI, Bollinger Bands etc. are constructed,
what exactly are they measuring,
how does it disagree with price at times,
how it responds to various trend phases etc
U probably would reckon that indicators works as much as price or volume.

Do u know them well??

In a recent interview with Udayan Mukherjee, the big bull Rakesh Jhunjhunwala made an interesting bold statement - "I think nobody has read the Electricity (Amendment) Bill. Once it passes, it will be bigger than 1991 reforms."

A thread🧵dissecting the ongoing Power reforms 👇

2/17
In summary, the Amendment Bill 2021 says:
⚡️ Delicensing of state monopoly- open to competition
⚡️ Consumers can choose discoms (like telcos)
⚡️ Smart meters to plug leakages
⚡️ Easy resolution of disputes
⚡️ Right to 24x7 electricity
⚡️ Rewarding consumers shifting to solar

3/17
We'll discuss these in detail. But first, some context.

India's is the 3rd largest consumer of electricity. But also one of the most inefficient (measured via AT&C losses - electricity that is generated but does not reach intended customers)
AT&C: 22% vs 8% global. Chart 👇

4/17
Currently, only 9% Indians are served by private discoms (Mumbai, Ahmedabad, Delhi).

AT&C loss for Delhi has declined from 55% in 2002 to 9% in 2020 after power distribution was taken over by three private licensees. Makes a strong case for broader delicensing of discoms.

5/17
What are discoms?

The Power value chain:
Raw material (Coal, Fuel) --> Generation --> Transmission --> Distribution --> Consumption

In this chain, Distribution companies (or discoms) have been the weakest link for last 3 decades.

#FreeTip
A simple illustration to analyse stocks in a very simple way:
1) Prepare a list of stocks with more than say, 400% returns last 1 year and currently above 3 digits. U will have around 30-40 NSE listed stocks.
2) Look at each stock chart just before breakout
.....

....
3) Take a note book and right down against each stock, the behaviour of MAs Vis a vis the stock, for eg., 30 week MA / daily 200 ma / 150 ma, 50 ma, etc.); the behaviour of Relative Strength (RS); behaviour in terms of volume; any pattern like rectangular breakout etc.
...

....
4) Might take 3 plus hours for the above exercise. Once you are done, see the common elements against all stocks. That is the edge you have knowing the behaviour of super performance stocks. U need not hold for 400%. U can atleast get 20% out of it.
....

...
5) A eg. is -- few of the stocks had 3 year rectangular breakouts with RS at new high / 52w high. This is just an example. Dont immediately look for only this criteria. I can help you out with a list of triple digit stocks in excess of 400% over last 1 year.
GoodLuck.

'Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication' #leonardodavinci

In #technicalanalysis keeping it simple eliminates noise & avoids too much analysis leading to paralysis
#Journalists can use #linecharts to analyse the market & build stories
#MediaFriday
PC @vrvcharts
@CMTAssociation

🥏Lots of my followers were asking or interested in knowing abt d name of stocks i holds in my non core portfolio for long term.
🥏I m sharing d list below. Do ur own due diligence before investing. 🥏Some of the stocks in the list i feel can create immense wealth in next 10 yrs.