60 minutes of live session on how to do your own stock rese…

A simple thread to understand relationship between US Dollar and Emerging Markets.

The relationship between the performance of Emerging Market stocks and the US Dollar is one of the tightest macro relationships that exists in investing.

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The weekly return correlation between US Dollar and MSCI Emerging Market Index is -0.70 over last 10 years. Which means when US Dollar weakens, Emerging Market stocks rally and vice versa.

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As seen in this chart, the MSCI EM Index and the MSCI World Index ratio and the US Dollar Index are negatively-correlated.

When US Dollar weakens, EM index outperform World Index and when US Dollar strengthens EM index underperform World index.

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From 1995 to 2000, the USD appreciated over 30%, while the MSCI EM Index underperformed the MSCI World Index by over 15% annualised.

Then from 2001 to 2010, the U.S. dollar depreciated over 18% while the MSCI EM Index outperformed the MSCI World Index by 14% annualised.

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Then from 2011 to 2020, the U.S. dollar appreciated over 30%, while the MSCI EM Index underperformed the MSCI World Index by 7% annualized.

Overall, from 1995 to 2020, this relationship has a correlation of -0.35.

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$\U0001f1ee\U0001f1f3 \U0001d4d0\U0001d4f6\U0001d4f2\U0001d4fd \U0001d4e2\U0001d4ee\U0001d4fd\U0001d4f1$

🇮🇳 𝓐𝓶𝓲𝓽 𝓢𝓮𝓽𝓱...
@MaverickAmit01

Sectoral Relative Strength Study
#Weekly

1. Nifty IT : On the verge of Flag BO-Strong RS
2. CnxFMCG :Retracing towards Breakout Zone-Weak RS
3. BankNifty :Digesting Gains after Breakout. RS needs to prove more during Pullback
4. CnxAuto :RS is shaping up well-Good on Pullback

5. CNXPharma : Approaching Resistance With Higher Lows- Would wait for Breakout to assess the sector again as RS is not in good shape yet!!!

Sacchitanand Uttekar
@Sacchitananad

#Belthold : Remember the Sumo wrestler 😅, someone did mention about it recently.
An inverse occurrence is about to witness failure, awaiting for its impact .

#CandleTrading tag would help you understand more of some of these ancient yet effective techniques...

#CandleTrading : #Bullish #Belthold #Pattern #Psychology :Pattern importance could be traced back to the traditional #Japanese sport of \u2018Sumo #wrestling'. The importance of \u2018Mawashi ( Wrestlers Belt) \u2019 & its tactical move for gripping the opponent to throwing him off the ring. pic.twitter.com/lN60xad6Ma
— Sacchitanand Uttekar (@Sacchitananad) August 16, 2020

$Alok Jain \u26a1$

Alok Jain ⚡
@WeekendInvestng

In last 10 years there have been 3 upswings in the stock.. if you could use your capital efficiently you would ride most of these upswings and use your capital elsewhere at other times.

Not letting your capital rot is a gainful activity. https://t.co/iYo2SIEPVX

whats cooking in HGS ??

Are Hindujas offloading to put more into Indus ?? What's the buzz... the move seems as a precursor to a big news

just a guess..not a reco
— Alok Jain \u26a1 (@WeekendInvestng) April 1, 2021

Piyush Chaudhry
@piyushchaudhry

Gaps and Probabilities.
A 2019 Tweet.

#GapTheory - Do the Gaps get filled?

As per Thomas Bulkowski's 2005 study Odds for filling of the following Gaps -
Common Gaps: >70%
However,
Breakaway Gaps: <5%
Runaway Gaps: <20%
Exhaustion Gaps: >70%

Categorize the Gaps correctly and Look for Counter Signals.
— Piyush Chaudhry (@piyushchaudhry) March 12, 2019

60 minutes of live session on how to do your own stock research for trading with examples.

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