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At this point, the countries with most genomic data to analyze spread of the variant virus belonging to https://t.co/ImaHU6Jxdv B.1.1.7 lineage or @nextstrain clade 20I/501Y.V1 are the UK, Denmark and the USA. Here I compare growth rates of B.1.17 across these countries. 1/13
Working from @GISAID data, the UK has 18776 genomes, Denmark has 6089 genomes and the USA has 3093 genomes from specimens collected after Dec 15, 2020. Here, I'm looking at daily genomes with collection dates up to Jan 6 that were not pre-screened by "S dropout". 2/13
For the UK, we can see a steady increase in the frequency of sequenced variant viruses belonging to the B.1.1.7 lineage, reaching ~70% frequency at the end of December. Solid line is a 7 day sliding window average. 3/13
We can fit a logistic growth model to the frequency of B.1.1.7 in the UK data to estimate the rate of frequency increase through time. 4/13
And following @erikmvolz et al (https://t.co/l2ElhJVk8b) we can convert from a measured frequency growth rate to an estimate of increased transmissibility by assuming a particular generation time, which I take to be between 5 days and 6.5 days. 5/13
Working from @GISAID data, the UK has 18776 genomes, Denmark has 6089 genomes and the USA has 3093 genomes from specimens collected after Dec 15, 2020. Here, I'm looking at daily genomes with collection dates up to Jan 6 that were not pre-screened by "S dropout". 2/13
For the UK, we can see a steady increase in the frequency of sequenced variant viruses belonging to the B.1.1.7 lineage, reaching ~70% frequency at the end of December. Solid line is a 7 day sliding window average. 3/13
We can fit a logistic growth model to the frequency of B.1.1.7 in the UK data to estimate the rate of frequency increase through time. 4/13
And following @erikmvolz et al (https://t.co/l2ElhJVk8b) we can convert from a measured frequency growth rate to an estimate of increased transmissibility by assuming a particular generation time, which I take to be between 5 days and 6.5 days. 5/13
Ok #ygk, I have a serious thread coming to end this series.
Part 3 of 3 focuses on what happens to people after they turn away from the church.
Most said they were shunned, excommunicated, and defamed by their former friends, even by some of their family members when they left.
In part 1, I described how people’s whole lives played out at the church.
https://t.co/TiqrkjJONI
After leaving, they had to relearn how to live.
They never listened “secular” music or watched certain movies, some were even told to boycott Starbucks, because it supports Pride
Going back into the "real world" made one former member feel like she was "losing her mind."
Also, part 3 shows the extreme fear that some people had after leaving.
One person said she worried she would literally be struck by lighting if she spoke badly about the church. #ygk
Part 3 of 3 focuses on what happens to people after they turn away from the church.
Most said they were shunned, excommunicated, and defamed by their former friends, even by some of their family members when they left.
Former members of a #ygk church say its leader, known as "Apostle,\u201d promised them miracles, but instead they were traumatized.
— Global Kingston (@CKWS_TV) December 17, 2020
As faith communities like these grow, the former members are calling for oversight of independent, charismatic churches.https://t.co/eVnG52dBcm
In part 1, I described how people’s whole lives played out at the church.
https://t.co/TiqrkjJONI
After leaving, they had to relearn how to live.
They never listened “secular” music or watched certain movies, some were even told to boycott Starbucks, because it supports Pride
Going back into the "real world" made one former member feel like she was "losing her mind."
Also, part 3 shows the extreme fear that some people had after leaving.
One person said she worried she would literally be struck by lighting if she spoke badly about the church. #ygk
My birthday is on Friday and I am inviting you all to celebrate with me by donating to Truthout, my workplace and the home of my podcast, Movement Memos. If you believe in our work as much as I do, and would like to contribute, you can do that here: https://t.co/fCEVom4GFL
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Truthout is an indy abolitionist publication and we are 89% reader funded. That’s why we are still here, on a corporate news landscape, where independent news is largely dying. Our work is sustained because the people who read (and listen to) our content believe in what we do.
People also donate out of respect for how TO treats its workers. When the pandemic began, we all got a “preparation day” off and a $200 stipend to fill our freezers. We also have unlimited sick leave. Keep in mind, we're an indy, reader-funded publication. https://t.co/o3hI1VrXMu
We also have the most generous parental leave plan in the industry, unlimited bereavement, and unlimited days off for staff grappling with climate catastrophes. https://t.co/o3hI1VamnU
If you would like to donate, but don't use facebook, you can also donate here: https://t.co/oIuAf5WXRm
Truthout is an indy abolitionist publication and we are 89% reader funded. That’s why we are still here, on a corporate news landscape, where independent news is largely dying. Our work is sustained because the people who read (and listen to) our content believe in what we do.
People also donate out of respect for how TO treats its workers. When the pandemic began, we all got a “preparation day” off and a $200 stipend to fill our freezers. We also have unlimited sick leave. Keep in mind, we're an indy, reader-funded publication. https://t.co/o3hI1VrXMu
We also have the most generous parental leave plan in the industry, unlimited bereavement, and unlimited days off for staff grappling with climate catastrophes. https://t.co/o3hI1VamnU
Great to see this out. Go and give it a read!
We spoke about the Citizens' Assembly and one of their most exciting plans on the Policy Podcast in
Go and read their reports at
Here are some of the policies they've called for that line up well with @Common_Weal polices (with links to our papers):
[Recommendation 3] A House of Citizens to oversee the Scottish Parliament -
[12] All tax-payer funded documentation to be automatically made publicly available and easily searchable -
\U0001f3f4\U000e0067\U000e0062\U000e0073\U000e0063\U000e0074\U000e007f\U0001f680 Today\u2019s the day! Our report is now live. Check out the Citizens\u2019 Assembly of Scotland\u2019s shared vision for the future of Scotland and 60 recommendations \U0001f4cc https://t.co/SfGb3xmTIJ https://t.co/62K3zPeTqI
— Citizens' Assembly of Scotland (@CitAssemblyScot) January 13, 2021
We spoke about the Citizens' Assembly and one of their most exciting plans on the Policy Podcast in
Go and read their reports at
Here are some of the policies they've called for that line up well with @Common_Weal polices (with links to our papers):
[Recommendation 3] A House of Citizens to oversee the Scottish Parliament -
[12] All tax-payer funded documentation to be automatically made publicly available and easily searchable -