Thread for Wed Dec 16, 2020
Ask yourselves, why we have not seen arrest of the bigger criminals? Hussein, HRC, Soros, George Bush, Rothschilds, etc!
We are in the Second Revolution or WWIII and as such, we need to win. We are not going to commit the same errors as in the past.

Thread for Sat Dec 19, 2020
We know that we are at war with the Invisible Enemy. Now we are all in danger because hackers have penetrated all the security files of the United States. There is a risk of war. #POTUS will never go to war because he is a peace president. GOD HELP US!

Thread for Saturday Dec 26, 2020
After Christmas, is time to capture hundreds of enemy forces!
@realDonaldTrump
#FalseFlag
#WeAreTheNewsNow
#DigitalSoldiers
#GODSPEED
@DanScavino
@NCSCgov
@SidneyPowell1
@GenFlynn
#Trump
#MAGA
#KAG

#POTUS tweet at 10:27 PM · Dec 23, 2020
#FightForTrump
@DanScavino
#PrayForTrump
#MerryChristmas
#Trump
#MAGA
#WeAreTheNewsNow
#DigitalSoldiers
@GenFlynn
@SidneyPowell1

@DanScavino tweet at 1:37 AM · Dec 25, 2020
Wishing you a very Merry Christmas and a Happy new Year. God Bless you all. Pray for #POTUS and his family.
@realDonaldTrump
#MerryChristmas
@SidneyPowell1
@LLinWood
#WeAreTheNewsNow

Night Shift Thu. Dec. 3, 2020
The only way is the military.
Biggest drop on Pol.
BIBLICAL.
@realDonaldTrump
@SidneyPowell1
@LLinWood
@GenFlynn
#WeAreTheNewsNow
#DigitalSoldiers
#TheKrakenHasBeenRelease
#KrakenOnSteroids
#PanicInDC
#Trump
#MAGA

1/14 How do e-cigarettes (ECs) affect cigarette smoking among youth? My new paper with @FloeFoxon simulates each scenario and finds out which one best matches actual trends... https://t.co/dBB7kcnTls @jgitchell @mikepesko @SwitchFinder @jkelovuori @TobPolicy @Clive_Bates

2/14 First, let's talk about why this question is so difficult to answer: COUNTERFACTUALS. We can't know the alternate-reality answers, like which smokers would have never started in a world without ECs, and which nonsmokers would now be smoking without ECs as an option.

3/14 So, the best we can do is use fancy/sophisticated methodologies to estimate what would have happened to youth smoking rates in the absence of ECs. In our case, simulation modeling

4/14 First, we look at the declining smoking trends *that were already happening* before ECs came (~2010), and project them into the present. This is our BASE-CASE SCENARIO about what smoking trends would be if ECs were never invented. Actual trends were LOWER than this base-case

5/14 Side note about terminology: We use the term “catalyst” instead of “gateway,” because “catalyst” is more precise about the claim we are modeling (that ECs are used first, and then causally lead to smoking). Whereas "gateway" can include other mechanisms like renormalization.

There's been a lot of talk about the missionary killed by the natives of North Sentinel Island. They're probably so aggressive because of this weirdo, Maurice Vidal Portman. So here's a big thread about this creep and some facts from my decade-long obsession with the island.

The Sentinelese are often described as “uncontacted,” but this not strictly true. They had a very significant contact in 1880 with Commander Portman.

Portman, the black sheep third son of some minor noble, was assigned by the English Royal Navy to administer and pacify the Andaman Islands, a job he pursued from 1880-1900 with the full measure of his own perversity.

Portman was erotically obsessed with the Andamanese, and he indulged his passion for photography by kidnapping members of various tribes and posing them in mock-Greek homoerotic compositions.

During his 20 years in a sexualized heart of darkness, Portman measured and cataloged every inch of his prisoner’s bodies, with an obsessive focus on genitals.

Having spent 2020 telling covid denalists that they were overly optimistic about the pandemic, I now look forward to spending 2021 telling covid maximalists that they are overly pessimistic about the end of the pandemic.

Telling a denialist in May that we shouldn't open bars back up = telling a maximalist in February that we should open schools back up.

Look, folks, the math is straightforward. ~13% of Americans have been vaccinated as of this

And the 7 day average continues to rise; we're approach 2 million vaccine doses per day. Meaning that we'll double that ~13% much faster than the two months it took us to get there.

So it's entirely reasonable that absent any other intervention, we should expect to hit ~30% vaccinated by the end of March.

OK winger wonderland story time boys & girls.

1. Sleet stops, it's warming up, neighbor decides get out & drive, probably after seeing some truck drive down our residential road (4-wheel drive). Neighbor has new SUV push button start, 2-wheel drive, which is NOT THE SAME THING.

2. So anyway, they back out of their garage & then pull forward down their driveway. The driveway is flat, but it's also a really really long driveway that goes from the back of the house down the side of the house. This will be important later.

3. They make it down the driveway just fine, so now super confident this will go well.

They pull out on our little residential road and start driving.

Mother nature is laughing her ass off right about now.

4. I should mention the roads through our little subdivision don't have curbs or sewers. We're basically out in the country so they just slope roads so the run-off goes into a ditch at the side of the road.

5. So anyways, their SUV starts to slightly fishtail. They haven't gone far at this point. So, they stop, and the SUV, although stopped, just ever so slowly slides to the side of the road and ends up half way in the ditch & almost tipped over.