A basic primer on the Indian Paint sector

With the listing of Indigo paints, JSW entering the paint sector & now Grasim announcing to invest 5,000 cr in the sector, lets explore,
-Products
-Industry
-Company

Do hit the ‘re-tweet’ and help us educate more investors (1/n)

Lets start with PRODUCTS

India paint industry is broadly divided into two,
(1) Decorative Paints (used mainly in residential & office infrastructure)–75% of the total paints market
(2) Industrial Paints (used in Auto & other industrial uses)-25% of the total paints market (2/n)
Decorative Paints is further classified as
a. Primer & Putty–They r applied 2 the wall 2 fill the cracks in the wall & make it smooth b4 painting. It also gives a lasting effect to the paint
b. Thinner–Its mixed with the paint 2 reduce the viscosity,applying becomes easy (3/n)
c. Emulsion Paint – Water based premium range paint mainly used in metros & large cities
d. Enamel Paint- Oil based medium range paint for smaller cities
e. Distemper–Water based paint mainly for the rural area as it can be used on the wall directly without using the primer(4/n)
(f) Wood Coating – Used to protect furniture against moisture (5/n)
In terms of volume, the larger market is
-Primer–28.7%
-Emulsion–19.8%
-Distemper–16.8%

But in terms of value, the larger market is
-Emulsion – 30.3%
-Enamel – 18.2%

Asian paint is the largest player in the interior paint market & Berger in the exterior paint market (6/n)
Industrial Paints (B2B business) are further classified as

(a) Automotive – New car and repainting of cars market. This is 2/3rd of the industrial paint market and hence linked to the auto market very closely. (7/n)
(b) Protective, GI, Powder coating – Protective coating applied to metal to prevent rusting. Used extensively in Agriculture, Construction & Heavy Machinery business

Kansai Nerolac is the leader in this space followed by Berger. (8/n)
Paint companies r also foraying into adjacent business,
-Waterproofing
•In India only 1 house out of 10 go for waterproofing vs 1 out of 3 globally
•Market size 6000 cr and growing at 15-20% CAGR
•Key players – Pidilite – 46% market share, Asian Paint – 23% & Berger 12% (9/n)
-Adhesives
•Institutional segment is twice as big as the retail segment
•Market size 7500 cr and growing at 12% CAGR
•Key Players – Pidilite, Asian Paints & 3M India (10/n)
-Painting Services – Asian Paints was the pioneer & Berger started offering this lately

-Home Improvement – Asian Paints has moved into Kitchenware with its brand ‘Sleek’ and into bath fittings with the brand name ‘Essess’ (11/n)
Broader Industry aspects

- Industry is growing at 10% for the last 15 years
- There is a case for volume as well as value improvement
•In terms of volume – India produces only 5.1 Bn Litre of the global 42 Bn Litres (12/n)
•Realization/litre is only $1.4 in India vs the global average of $3.6
-Unorganised market from 35% has come down to 30% & a possibility of this moving even lower with GST reduction in the Industry from 28% to 18% (13/n)
Drivers of the Paint industry

-Families are going nuclear & moving to urban towns
-Repainting cycle has reduced from 8-9 years earlier to 5 years now
-Affordable housing & growing demand from smaller & rural areas
-Infrastructure growth (14/n)
50% of the raw material used to make paint use crude as a raw material and hence crude has an impact on paint stocks (15/n)
Moat–Dealer Network

-Dealers have roughly a 400 sq ft office & paint is a voluminous business. There are 3500+ SKU’s
-Deal Margins r thin
-Tinting machine,which allows the dealer to mix shades (of a particular company) 2 give the right combination 2 da client is expensive(16/n)
So the more dealership I take, the more I will have to invest in tinting machines of that company & hence installing more than 1-2 machines is challenging. Also 2 tinting machines will occupy 80 odd square feet space leading to space constrain (17/n)
Dealer Network & Market share (company wise) – You will clearly see how the dealer network is a huge advantage for Asian Paints

-Asian Paints – 70,000
-Berger Paints – 28,000
-Kansai Nerolac - 27,500 (18/n)
Decorative & Industrial paints mix (company wise) - Asian Paint & Berger are Decorative paints leader and Kansai & Akzo are Industrial. (19/n)
Top players by market share – Market share has been more or less flat for years and Asian Paints have been able to maintain the market share (20/n)
Top player by profitability – Interesting is 2 observe Kansai & Akso. Kansai’s profitability share is smaller vs the market share as the margin in the industrial business is less. Where as Akzos profitability share is higher bcz margins r higher in Emulsion paints (Dulux) (21/n)
You would observe how the PAT growth is much lower than the Market cap growth. This is a clear sign of PE rerating because of which the stocks have gone up. (22/n)
Content credit to the very brilliant @raj_mehta89. I have just tried simplifying his content in my own way. (23/24)
Hope the thread added value :) Hit the 're-tweet' and help us reach more investors. We have written multiple similar educative threads on personal finance. You can find them as a pinned tweet on my profile or click the link below (**END**)
https://t.co/tBHgTHieJE

More from Kirtan A Shah

You May Also Like

Rig Ved 1.36.7

To do a Namaskaar or bow before someone means that you are humble or without pride and ego. This means that we politely bow before you since you are better than me. Pranipaat(प्राणीपात) also means the same that we respect you without any vanity.

1/9


Surrendering False pride is Namaskaar. Even in devotion or bhakti we say the same thing. We want to convey to Ishwar that we have nothing to offer but we leave all our pride and offer you ourselves without any pride in our body. You destroy all our evil karma.

2/9

We bow before you so that you assimilate us and make us that capable. Destruction of our evils and surrender is Namaskaar. Therefore we pray same thing before and after any big rituals.

3/9

तं घे॑मि॒त्था न॑म॒स्विन॒ उप॑ स्व॒राज॑मासते ।
होत्रा॑भिर॒ग्निं मनु॑षः॒ समिं॑धते तिति॒र्वांसो॒ अति॒ स्रिधः॑॥

Translation :

नमस्विनः - To bow.

स्वराजम् - Self illuminating.

तम् - His.

घ ईम् - Yours.

इत्था - This way.

उप - Upaasana.

आसते - To do.

स्त्रिधः - For enemies.

4/9

अति तितिर्वांसः - To defeat fast.

मनुषः - Yajman.

होत्राभिः - In seven numbers.

अग्निम् - Agnidev.

समिन्धते - Illuminated on all sides.

Explanation : Yajmans bow(do Namaskaar) before self illuminating Agnidev by making the offerings of Havi.

5/9
Trading view scanner process -

1 - open trading view in your browser and select stock scanner in left corner down side .

2 - touch the percentage% gain change ( and u can see higest gainer of today)


3. Then, start with 6% gainer to 20% gainer and look charts of everyone in daily Timeframe . (For fno selection u can choose 1% to 4% )

4. Then manually select the stocks which are going to give all time high BO or 52 high BO or already given.

5. U can also select those stocks which are going to give range breakout or already given range BO

6 . If in 15 min chart📊 any stock sustaing near BO zone or after BO then select it on your watchlist

7 . Now next day if any stock show momentum u can take trade in it with RM

This looks very easy & simple but,

U will amazed to see it's result if you follow proper risk management.

I did 4x my capital by trading in only momentum stocks.

I will keep sharing such learning thread 🧵 for you 🙏💞🙏

Keep learning / keep sharing 🙏
@AdityaTodmal