These are long term Moving Averages, which in my view are irrelevant for short term positional trades.
For my trading strategy, 13-day & 22-day EMAs are more suitable.
If SmallCap dips below these MAs & they get into the bearish sync, I get cautious & reduce my position size.
Sir as you follow the smallcap index,do you take full positions when it\u2019s trading below its key moving averages or wait for some confirmation? pic.twitter.com/ph6HTJ9rbD
— Dhanesh Gianani (@dhanesh500) November 30, 2021
More from Ravi Sharma
I have made some minor tweakings to this timing model since this tweet but it still will give you an idea and primer 👇
Trading 101 with SmallCap Index
— Ravi Sharma (@StocksNerd) August 20, 2019
1. Swing trades when bullish divergence in MACD-H forms
2. Breakout trades if Index closes above 22-Day high
3. Pullback/Pocket Pivot trades if Index consolidates constructively while13-EMA>22-EMA
4. Sell, go cash if Index breaches 10-Day low, NQA pic.twitter.com/u8VjXrU0Re
While buying breakouts, your odds will improve a lot when you prefer the following:
1. Strong Relative Strength.
2. Tight price range on low Volume and a pattern which is easy on eyes. https://t.co/CprKpAfgtj
#BAJAJFINSV
— Ravi Sharma (@StocksNerd) August 14, 2021
Setting up in a tight base. Volume has been drying up.
Waiting for the breakout. pic.twitter.com/KWoGZAwkLO
More from Screeners
Do read it completely to understand the stance and the plan.
This thread will present a highly probable scenario of markets for the upcoming months. Will update the scenario too if there is a significant change in view in between.
— Aakash Gangwar (@akashgngwr823) May 15, 2022
1/n https://t.co/jfWOyEgZyd
1. The moving average structure - Many traders just look at the 200 ma test or closing above/below it regardless of its slope. Let's look at all the interactions with 200 ma where price met it for the first time after the trend change but with 200 ma slope against it
One can clearly sense that currently it is one of those scenarios only. I understand that I might get trolled for this, but an unbiased mind suggests that odds are highly against the bulls for making fresh investments.
But markets are good at giving surprises. What should be our stance if price kept on rising? Let's understand that through charts. The concept is still the same. Divergent 200 ma and price move results in 200 ma test atleast once which gives good investment opportunities.
2. Zig-Zag bear market- There are two types of fall in a bear market, the first one is vertical fall which usually ends with ending diagonals (falling wedges) and the second one is zig zag one which usually ends with parabolic down moves.
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