Niti Ayog is one of the best places to look at, if you want to learn more about the upcoming reforms, outlook on India for next decade and some of the most pressing economical issues of our generation.

Here is a recent one on EV charging infra.

https://t.co/BGoCTVnlRS

It's the weekend!

Grab a cup of coffee, in this thread we will explore

1. What is risk management?
2. What is position sizing?
3. How to apply both these concepts to reduce volatility and drawdowns in your portfolio?

Lets dive right in.

What does losing $20 Billion in 24 hours and A Bank being sold for less than $1, have in common?

The answer is Risk Management.

Through this thread we will explore 2 stories - Stories that will teach us the importance of risk management and position sizing in a portfolio.

These stories will show you that no matter

How Rich You Are
How Respected You Are
How Educated You Are

Improper risk management will blow up your portfolio and most likely bankrupt you.

Our first story is the story of Bill Hwang and the saga of Archegos Capital Management.

Whenever I am bored, I just go watch Alpha Series on @IIC_Conference
Learn something new everytime.

Watching @tusharbohra present on API industry
https://t.co/WYr2DIpVfD

Highly recommended.

Semi conductor index is often considered a leading indicator of health of the economy

Micron: 'we see upcoming significant sequential declines in revenue & margins'

Nvidia: 'Will slow down hiring & control expenses as the company deals with a challenging macro environment'

A lot of websites provide you with data for trading.

However, I liked the free website of Icici Direct the most.

Here is a breakdown of what it can do: 🧵

Collaborated with @niki_poojary

Advantages:

1. Quantitative Analysis in one place
2. Easy to find stocks where action taking place
3. Find the exact price levels at which OI is being added.

You can check out this free website by clicking on this

Where is the action taking place?

For eg, Nifty Heatmap Can easily scan for:

- Long Build up = Price Up and OI up
- Long Unwinding = Price Down and OI down
- Short Buildup = Price Down and OI up
- Short Covering = Price Up and OI down

Price levels of OI being added:

• Check 15 mins Built-up in any stock
• Can find Intraday Bullish and bearish trend
• Eg of IBUL who was down 5% on Friday. Short Built-up had started in the morning itself.
• Shows the quantities which are being traded in those intervals.

Time Intervals:

• There are 25, time intervals available every day.

• If a stock has to go up or down a lot it will be heavily dominated in these time intervals.

• IBUL had 10 times short built up on Friday. -5.79 %

• ITC had 14 long built-ups on Friday. +2.6%.

A NEW BULL MARKET:

originates when Dr #Copper bottoms out.

Equities and Copper have tended to correlate positively over the past 4 decades.

Remember: “Dr. Copper” is often seen as a proxy for the health of global industry and manufacturing

Good News: Daily charts are oversold

A durable market bottom will be formed at:
Peak Interest rates
Peak US Dollar
Peak Inflation.
Sentiment has to move to expectations of poor economic outlook, falling inflation and imminent rate cuts by central banks to support the economy .
Still some way off.