A durable market bottom will be formed at:
Peak Interest rates
Peak US Dollar
Peak Inflation.
Sentiment has to move to expectations of poor economic outlook, falling inflation and imminent rate cuts by central banks to support the economy .
Still some way off.

This is in response to the question by @unseenvalue

If I had to buy 1 stock today, anywhere in the world, no avg. up or down, 5 year holding period (I will make that as 10 year for thesis to play out)

Since I track mainly Indian equities, restricting the choice to this space

Few points to look for
1. Strong macro tailwind rather than headwind, huge growth runway for company/segment. It can't be in a niche space & demand must not be easily substitutable
2. Strong Biz Model, high growth curve (15%+ over the period), strong ROE profile (hurdle rate 20%)

3. Low or no leverage, efficient capital allocation, (read minimal or zero fresh dilution requirements), strong cash flows and correspondingly high dividend payout ratios (consistent dividend history) and finally strong moat and with limited regulatory involvement / no reg issues

4. Promoter quality and intention must be beyond reproach, proven management with skin in the game
5. Capability to manage disruption, and if possible to even profit from it. If you can't be disrupted easily, you will eventually adapt your game to gain scale

6. There must be a possibility of non-linear growth if the scale-up hypothesis gets proven right. It's like an FD with low fixed return plus significant upside optionality. Multiple revenue streams / margin levers / IP that can provide non linearity in growth

#TradingTool
A free market breadth tool that I have left open to public.
1) % stocks above 20 day / 50 day / 200 day MA for Nifty 50 and 500 index and all Cash stocks.
2) % stocks above 20 period / 50/200 period MA intraday for N50 and

Screeners helps trader in saving lot of time in filtering best stocks out of 5000+ listed stocks.

Here is the list of top 7 Free Strategy and its respective screeners that I use:

Also, last screener is my favorite to pick early momentum stocks.

1/ Golden Crossover:

Golden Crossover of 20 EMA above 200 EMA is a good strategy used by the trader. This screener will help you in identifying stocks that has given golden

2/ CCI Momentum:

CCI is a good indicator to find out stocks that are bullish and are in momentum. I had already shared a thread on the same.

This screener will help in identifying stocks for which CCI has crossed above

3/ Bullish Engulfing:

Bullish Divergence is a setup used by contrarian traders.
This screener will help in identifying stocks in which bullish divergence is

4/ Bearish Engulfing:

Bearish Divergence is a setup used by traders to take contra trades.
This screener will help in identifying stocks in which bearish divergence is

Triggers and Sequence of Events that will propel #Nifty to new
"All Time High" 👉🏻 18,604.50

Small 🧵👇🏻

- Russia - Ukraine War comes an end shortly.

- Will result in immediate fall of Crude oil,
major Reason for Inflation.

- Fed Turns Dovish as inflation Cools off.

- Lower Inflation = Better earnings declared by companies.

- Better Earnings mean Higher EPS and PE Contraction.

- Lower Inflation = Dovish Fed

- Dovish Fed Will result in Major Correction Dollar.

- Bearish Dollar will lead to Bullish trend Emerging Market.

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