#CHALET 239 . 11% up. Power of Stan Weinstein strategy.

#FreeTip If u r not used to any other adv strategies, just try this simple technique;
1) Mark PDL,PDH,PWH,PWL,PMH, PML.
2) Trade only at these levels based on price action. Either price will reverse at these levels or break.
3) Don’t trade at any other zone.

#FreeTip
Basic rule for day trading in option buying for beginners.
1) Stick to monthly atm options.
2) Suppose u have a capital of Rs 5 lacs. Your max risk appetite is 1% which is 5k. Assume u look at BNF chart and find a buy setup at 35000 ...

...
with a stop of 34900 ( 100 point difference). This essentially means that the 35000 atm options will have a stop of Rs 200 ( delta 0.5) assuming all other things are equal. So the number of lots U should typically deal with based on 1% Risk on 5 lacs capital ...

....
is 5000 / 200, which is 25 , ie 1 lot. If your risk appetite is 2%, then u are allowed to take 50, ie 2 lots. Hence if option price is say, Rs 400, ur stop will be 200 and u have to deal with one lot which means your deployment is 25 x 400 = Rs 10,000....

...
On the contrary if you deploy the full amount, 500000/(25x400) = 1250 , 50 lots, u r bound to lose the capital at the shortest possible time.
3) This might appear ridiculous, but this is the only way to go steady with control over risk.

Option stop difference is Rs 50 and not Rs 200 as mentioned. Simple calculation overlooked. Accordingly number of lots will increase . However concept remains unchanged.

#FreeTip Qrly EPS breakout stocks are more likely to move in excess of 5% multiple times after a technical price breakout. High double or triple digit Annual qoq EPS growth rate have even more chances. Best site to see this is @MarketSmithIND . Egs #Datamatics #Icil etc.

#NIFTY
Big Picture !!!
The monthly chart says it all for the next 2.5 years.
All u have to do is to continue your SIPs at any cost irrespective of violent volatilities.
Note: Dont start trolling if market comes down tom. It is big picture. Not for short term.
Good Luck.

This is in response to the question by @unseenvalue

If I had to buy 1 stock today, anywhere in the world, no avg. up or down, 5 year holding period (I will make that as 10 year for thesis to play out)

Since I track mainly Indian equities, restricting the choice to this space

Few points to look for
1. Strong macro tailwind rather than headwind, huge growth runway for company/segment. It can't be in a niche space & demand must not be easily substitutable
2. Strong Biz Model, high growth curve (15%+ over the period), strong ROE profile (hurdle rate 20%)

3. Low or no leverage, efficient capital allocation, (read minimal or zero fresh dilution requirements), strong cash flows and correspondingly high dividend payout ratios (consistent dividend history) and finally strong moat and with limited regulatory involvement / no reg issues

4. Promoter quality and intention must be beyond reproach, proven management with skin in the game
5. Capability to manage disruption, and if possible to even profit from it. If you can't be disrupted easily, you will eventually adapt your game to gain scale

6. There must be a possibility of non-linear growth if the scale-up hypothesis gets proven right. It's like an FD with low fixed return plus significant upside optionality. Multiple revenue streams / margin levers / IP that can provide non linearity in growth

NR7 candlestick simplified via @chartmojo

✅ Narrow Range Pattern
✅ R:R Favourable Pattern
✅ Market Psychology Driven

Hello Friends 🤗

Here is my filter to identify short term breakout in #stocks

Save it & Make a part of your trading tool

#USDINR is headed towards is All time highs this month

High USD oil + high USDINR = big headwinds

Absolutely fantabulous @vcpchartist bro..
Weekend learning..

https://t.co/OjhbqEKQhm

@VSInvesting