Hello folks, Today I got a map of the Milwaukee Metropolitan area. We are going to be looking at Scott Walker's 3rd and 4th Election.

Walker has always been a polarizing figure in Wisconsin politics. He's been pretty much hated by Liberals and loved by Conservatives ever since he ending collective bargaining for public employees. He managed survive 2 very close re-elections (2012 recall, 2014 General)
However, his luck ran out in the 2018 Blue wave. Support for Walker fell pretty much everywhere. He did worse in pretty everywhere with a sizable population . The only place ,he really gained from 2014, was the small towns in Northern Wisconsin.
Walker went from winning the Milwaukee metro by 6 to losing it by 2.4 . Him doing worse in the Metro can be attributed by losing support virtually everywhere.
Ironically, the only place where Walker did slightly better was in the heavily African American wards of Milwaukee. Turnout went down pretty badly in this area, so most of his gains were likely due to population loss .
Walker also crated along his base. He went from winning Waukesha County by 46% to 34% and Ozaukee County by 41% to 27% ( a swing of 12% and 14%). Both of those counties swung more to Evers than Milwaukee county! Only a swing of 8.3%
Where did Scott Walker lose support the most? Ironically in his home Wauwatosa. (He use to represent this area in the State Assembly) . He went from from winning it by 5% to losing it by 10.7%. a 16% swing!
It's not just Trump that is losing in the Suburbs. Even Scott Walker, who is From Milwaukee county and tailor made for the WOW, cratered hard in the area. Although he outperformed Trump both times in his 2018 election, he still came no where near his 2012 and 2014 numbers.
@SenhorRaposa @umichvoter99 @Uncrewed @WI_Forward @BlDEN2020

More from Politics

My piece in the NY Times today: "the Trump administration is denying applications submitted to the United States Citizenship and Immigration Services at a rate 37 percent higher than the Obama administration did in 2016."

Based on this analysis: "Denials for immigration benefits—travel documents, work permits, green cards, worker petitions, etc.—increased 37 percent since FY 2016. On an absolute basis, FY 2018 will see more than about 155,000 more denials than FY 2016."
https://t.co/Bl0naOO0sh


"This increase in denials cannot be credited to an overall rise in applications. In fact, the total number of applications so far this year is 2 percent lower than in 2016. It could be that the higher denial rate is also discouraging some people from applying at all.."

Thanks to @gsiskind for his insightful comments. The increase in denials, he said, is “significant enough to make one think that Congress must have passed legislation changing the requirements. But we know they have not.”

My conclusion:

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