BC OPTIONSLEARNING
Saved by @SAnngeri

Technical Analysis and 3 Strategies to deploy for Aggressive, Moderate, and Conservative Traders.

🧵Weekly Bank Nifty Analysis for 18th August Expiry:

 To form a view, let's have a look at:

1. Multi-timeframe Technical Analysis
2. Option Chain Data

Also, 3 strategies to deploy for:

1. Aggressive Traders (3.36%)
2. Moderate Risk Traders (1.89%)
3. Low-Risk Traders (0.72%)
1. Technicals

Let's start by doing some basic technical analysis.

We'll look at:

• Weekly charts
• Daily charts.
• Hourly / 60 min charts.
1. Weekly-

• The market has broken out from the trendline and is extremely bullish.

• However, also note that there are 4 continuous green candles in the weekly chart.

• Until Bnf closes below the current green candle low which is 37680, bias should not be bearish.
2. Daily:

• Candlestick pattern—Bullish Marubozu on the daily timeframe.

• Chart Pattern—Gave a rectangle breakout and is running up.

Buyers are in control so until we close below the wick made today can't take aggressive bearish positions.
3. Hourly

• We are in a higher high and higher low formation in the hourly chart. (Bullish)

• It's going up continuously which means there is buying pressure present on every dip.

• Support on the hourly chart for the week comes at 38180.
Option chain data:

• Opstra shows that the options chain data is bullish.

• ATM Puts were being written very aggressively yesterday and that's the strike where the highest number of puts are sold on Friday.

• Data is matching with our bias and technicals which are bullish.
Strategies to deploy?

1. Aggressive Traders

Aggressive traders would have sold puts as market closed at day high.

For eg, 38200 puts with a stop loss of 38600.

ROI is around 3.36%
2. Moderate Risk Traders

Can sell 38000 puts with a stop loss of 38400.

ROI is approximately 1.89%.
3. Conservative Traders

Can sell strangles of 37500 puts and 40100 calls. Fetches you approximately 0.72% ROI.

You guys should be targeting 2% per month and playing far away from spot levels of BNF.

4 expires per month to make 0.50% each week and end with 2%.
If you ❤️ this analysis and derived some value from it, consider liking and sharing the first tweet.

Check out @niki_poojary's analysis which she will post before Tuesday, hers is a bit different from mine each time.

Retweet the first tweet and help others find this Thread.

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A THREAD on . . . .

How @ITRADE191 selects strikes to trade in and how he follows risk management.

Short thread explained via pictures with the help of @niki_poojary.

1. At the start of the week

i.e. on Friday and Monday, DJ Sir prefers to sell OTM options of 50 rs premium in Nifty.

- ATM options won't decay a lot at the beginning
- With this premium reward is good
- Since these strikes are 4-5 strikes away they are relatively safer


2. On Tue/Wed/Fri

He prefers to trade in ATM or near OTM options.

- ATM options have the highest theta decay
- Since there are only 2-3 days to expiry options sellers by default have a higher probability of winning
- Huge reward if market stays flat


3. Directional/Trending days

- Capture huge profit via ATM option selling
- Futures only where he has good conviction
- Even if doesn't trend much decay will be huge
- Only on days Tuesday to Thursday


4. Which series to trade options in?

- INTRADAY trades option selling is ONLY in weekly expiry
- Option buying for hedging is done MAJORLY in next week/monthly expiry
- This way we have time to adjust
- Theta decay slower than weekly
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A THREAD:

BEST OPTIONS STRATEGY FOR CONSISTENT INCOME -

OPTIONS WHEEL STRATEGY

Everything to know about this strategy I'm posting in this thread.

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Step 1: Stock Selection

1. For this strategy you're going to have to choose some stocks that you think will be doing well in the future/long term.

2. Stock must be in an uptrend.

3. Stock options should be liquid enough to trade in.

4. List of stocks attached

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Step 2: Which option to sell?

1. Sell put at a support according to charts.

2. Sell put at a strike far away from the spot where you think the probability of the stock falling will be very very low.

3. Sell put at a price where you're willing to buy the stock at.

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Step 3: What to do when in profit/loss?

1. If in profit you can just roll up the puts thereby increasing the ROI or shift to other stocks to make more profit.

2. If in loss take delivery of the shares equivalent to the lot size in cash market.

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Step 4: What to do after taking the delivery?

1. Sell calls to lower your cost price of the stock. For eg, you took delivery of Reliance at 1900, sell 2100 CE which is about 10% away.

2. Keep doing this till your CE expires ITM and then give delivery of your stock away

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I listened to @Ronak_Unadkat Sir's recent interview with @iarjuntandon on Groww so you don't have to.

He went from 4Lakh to 4,00,00,000 Rs. (4 Crore)

Let's learn how he 100x his capital

Takeaways from the interview: 🧵

Collaborated with @niki_poojary

1/ How did he begin his journey?

Started stock market journey in 2012. Went into full-time in 2021.

Colleagues used to invest in mutual funds and that's how he started in the stock markets.

Started to make 8-10% return per year initially.

2/ Initial Profits

After that he attended a seminar due to his friend where he understood that there's a term called Futures and Options as well.

He had 4 lakh rupees, so he started with that amount.

3/ Lost 60% of his capital

In the next 5 days, his capital grew to 5 lakh rupees followed by another increase of 1 lakh profit in the next 5 days.

In the coming 10 days post his profits, his capital reduced to 2 lakh from 6 lakh.

4/ Instrument traded?

Which instrument was he trading during that initial period?

He was trading full quantities in futures and options buying during that time, without any hedging.
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Want to become better at Positional Trading?

Read this thread...

12 Rules for Professional Positional Traders:

THREAD: 🧵

Collaborated with @niki_poojary

Rule 1:

"Trade with a stop loss of 2% on your capital for the week."

If you're losing more than 2%, chances are your reading of the market is wrong. The best would be to call it quits for that week.

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Rule 2:

" Don't trade in the first 10 mins of any day"

Every day, there is far too much noise in the first few minutes. Positional traders should avoid some time in order to avoid being butchered right away.

(2/N)

Rule 3:

" Wait for candle closings in your timeframe"

Beware of wicks. They are buyer/seller traps. Rather wait for a good candle to close above your support/resistance to open/close a trade.

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Rule 4:

" Don't lose more than 10% of your capital in a big gap"

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A THREAD

Topic: HOW TO TRADE IN RISING PREMIUMS SCENARIO

Option sellers specially Straddle sellers feel that rising premiums give them excellent opportunity to make easy money. So what they are seeing is the theta aspect of options & ignoring the delta/gamma/vega forces.

1/

With rising premiums come high delta moves. There is a reason why premiums are all increasing up in the first place. High uncertainty & fear is what's controlling the markets during such times. So a volatile 200 point move in nifty is always on the cards.

2/

Adjusting during such delta moves involves high slippages. Such costs go in our system & are irrecoverable. So if the ATM straddle is around 400 & after 200 point downmove, the next straddle is at 450 & the loss is not just 50points but compounded much more.

3/

Also there are chances that there is no decay throughout the day. So a straddle seller has to take that heavy risk of carrying it forward & chances of gap openings are high during such times. If converted into Ironfly, then the cost of the wings is too expensive.

4/

Thus cutting down the initial credit significantly.

There will also be very few instances when premiums don't fall till expiry day. So with each delta move the cost of holding a straddle gets accumulated & pressure keeps mounting for the stubborn option sellers.

5/
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How to sell option?
Here let me explain through simple math.
Say BN at 30000
30000 straddle trading at combine premium 800 ( based on current volatility)
Put at 400
Call at 400
You don’t know direction. Sold both.

If move will not come than both will decrease gradually.

At day end it will come down to 720-740 if move will not come. Difference is your profit.

Now case 2:
Move started.
At one points combine premium will start increasing.
Say 810.
Exit immediately. No need to do adjustment.
Let market settle.

Sell again straddle once market settle.
Now repeat same thing.

Straddle selling webinar over.
Good luck.

One can keep SL 550 for both strike to escape from sudden movement.
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@RajeshK03075893 Hello! This thread is older than a week. To save it, please reply to the last tweet in the thread with the "save" keyword. Thanks!
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Again sharing bank nifty intraday weekly straddle. How to play by selling straddle.
Mostly will work on Monday to Wednesday. Sometimes on Friday.
Why to pay your money to learn this if u can get it here.
U need only practice.
Let’s go.

Say bank nifty future is at 32000.
Sell both 32000 call and put.
Considering current volatile market lest say premium on Monday morning is 350 on both sides.
Sold with 700 points combine premium.
If bank nifty will trade in narrow range say +\- 100 hold it.
If moving 200 points

then exit previous sold straddle. Sell new one. Let’s say BN moved +200
Now sell 32200. If bank nifty will move here within range then u will get profit through theta decay. Follow same procedure for next 150-200 pts move.

This is only for single straddle sell position.

Now in second case sell three straddle. 31900/32000/32100
In case of 100 points move no need to change.
If 200 + then future is 32200.
Exit 31900 and sell 31200 straddle.
If moving another 100 then exit 32000 and sell 32300. Continue same with 100 points move.
If no move then

it will consolidate between 32000-32200 or 32100 to 32300 and u will get theta decay.

This is for normal move. Sudden big move may come anytime. So keep SL in system.
If u r selling at 350-350 then keep SL in system 475 for both legs.
Practice it. No need to attend webinar.
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