Reasons for taking this trade violating the stock price < 200MA were:
~ capitulation move
~ no further selling left
~ a major TL validated on a weekly scale
~ highest R:R ratio
With such capitulation & tight SL = capital put in was 30%
Risk = 50, Reward = 350
Jubilant Food https://t.co/M1vLYEsngf
The selling climax is accompanied by volume bars of such magnitude that I highlighted in the chart. In almost all cases, they signify that even the last bull has thrown in the towel & there is no further selling left. Will observe in this case.
— The_Chartist \U0001f4c8 (@charts_zone) March 15, 2022
Jubilant Food pic.twitter.com/j7bGSdhkRW
More from The_Chartist 📈
ITC - how beautifully the price patterns work. All of a sudden an increased momentum right from the support of the channel boundary. Has a minor resistance to nail down in the middle.
— The_Chartist \U0001f4c8 (@charts_zone) March 18, 2022
Anyone observing it would have gone aggressive at lower end for a swing move pic.twitter.com/YqxkdFlJXQ
More from Jublfood
As the stock price trying to enter in to
new Orbit (#Fibonacci extension6.857%(4491)
Further Fibonacci extension projection ploted on chart.
Long term perspective.
#Probability https://t.co/fPSLKLDxln
#JUBLFOOD -3940
— Waves_Perception(Dinesh Patel) \u092e\u0948\u0902Schedule Tribes) (@idineshptl) August 17, 2021
Moving higher towards objective
6.857%(4491)#Probability https://t.co/oKppKL59mG
Holding this from lower levels - the reason being capitulation.
Jubilant Foodworks https://t.co/M1vLYEbkef
The selling climax is accompanied by volume bars of such magnitude that I highlighted in the chart. In almost all cases, they signify that even the last bull has thrown in the towel & there is no further selling left. Will observe in this case.
— The_Chartist \U0001f4c8 (@charts_zone) March 15, 2022
Jubilant Food pic.twitter.com/j7bGSdhkRW
Jubilant Foodworks https://t.co/oarPRnT0Vk
The chart signals an upcoming violent move. I may be wrong but the risk is getting too low in here. Keep an eye out.
— The_Chartist \U0001f4c8 (@charts_zone) April 18, 2022
Holding this from lower levels - the reason being capitulation.
Jubilant Foodworks https://t.co/M1vLYEbkef pic.twitter.com/TVXZKo028g
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Decoded his way of analysis/logics for everyone to easily understand.
Have covered:
1. Analysis of volatility, how to foresee/signs.
2. Workbook
3. When to sell options
4. Diff category of days
5. How movement of option prices tell us what will happen
1. Keeps following volatility super closely.
Makes 7-8 different strategies to give him a sense of what's going on.
Whichever gives highest profit he trades in.
I am quite different from your style. I follow the market's volatility very closely. I have mock positions in 7-8 different strategies which allows me to stay connected. Whichever gives best profit is usually the one i trade in.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) August 13, 2019
2. Theta falls when market moves.
Falls where market is headed towards not on our original position.
Anilji most of the time these days Theta only falls when market moves. So the Theta actually falls where market has moved to, not where our position was in the first place. By shifting we can come close to capturing the Theta fall but not always.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) June 24, 2019
3. If you're an options seller then sell only when volatility is dropping, there is a high probability of you making the right trade and getting profit as a result
He believes in a market operator, if market mover sells volatility Sarang Sir joins him.
This week has been great so far. The main aim is to be in the right side of the volatility, rest the market will reward.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) July 3, 2019
4. Theta decay vs Fall in vega
Sell when Vega is falling rather than for theta decay. You won't be trapped and higher probability of making profit.
There is a difference between theta decay & fall in vega. Decay is certain but there is no guaranteed profit as delta moves can increase cost. Fall in vega on the other hand is backed by a powerful force that sells options and gives handsome returns. Our job is to identify them.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) February 12, 2020