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One of the hardest things about writing is how to make a start, and when. Many would-be writers spend their lives planning to write a book, and never get round to it. If this is you, maybe consider the following. #TenThingsAboutStartingOut

1. Lots of people spend their lives waiting for "the right time" to start writing. Full disclosure: There IS no right time. There's only now, and whatever time you're willing to give to writing. #TenThingsAboutStartingOut

2. In the same way, lots of people think that if they wait long enough, they will feel ready to begin. That's not how it works. You'll never feel ready. But if you start now, you will have begun your writing journey. #TenThingsAboutStartingOut

3. Some people feel that they need to wait for "inspiration to strike." That's not how it works. You don't wait for fitness to happen to you when you're embarking on a get-fit scheme. #TenThingsAboutStartingOut
Amazigh (Berber) languages are quite close to each other and in most places nearby varieties are mutually intelligible. They function like a discontinuous dialect continuum.

A loooong thread with maps (and no memes☹️).

So can we do sub-classification?

Many people say “no”, like André Basset’s famous quote: “cette langue s’éparpille directement ou à peu près en une poussière de parlers de 4 à 5 mille peut être” (1952:1) and Alfred Willms (1980). Others are a bit more nuanced.

For example, the fantastic studies by Lafkioui (
https://t.co/hHKMgEPjK2) give a synchronic classification of Tarifiyt dialects. To cut a very long story irresponsibly short: all variables are counted the same.

However, we should ask ourselves: Does this continuum hide a more discontinuous past? Has there never been major disruption, or has much of it been smoothed out by later convergence?

In order to study this, one has to classify variables and their isoglosses. Some variables are continuous and can be assigned to the latest convergence period. Others are clustered in a group unrelated to the continuum. Still others are scattered.
👀‼️Remember as a kid, your parents used to talk in code around you so wouldn’t know what they were really talking about? Do you remember when it was really hot because of the forest fires and DJT said that it was actually going to get really cold?


What if the is the climatic year of all Corona themes, only we didn’t know about the most important one because they didn’t want us to worry and had it handled?

Keywords, first image, top of page: geomagnetic polarity, bottom of page, things cooling.


Look at the current, the satellites and the towers.


Note the words “coronal” and “magnetic”.


Remember all this mix up over Covfefe?
Pompeo is a perfect example of this thing that just baffles me. He owes America *everything.* His grandparents immigrated from dirt-poor regions of Italy at the turn of the C19th. He graduated *first in his class* at West Point.


He has a law degree from Harvard. He was the editor of the Harvard Law Review. Went to DC and joined a blue-chip firm. Also made a fortune in private enterprise. America gave the grandson of dirt-poor immigrants the opportunity to do all of that.

He knows *damned well* what the Constitution says.

He's also seen enough of the world to know *damned well* how lucky he was to grow up in a country at peace, governed by that Constitution--and to know *damned well* what happens to a country in a civil war

--which is exactly the brink to which Trump has taken the United States, only recently the inarguable leader of the free world. We now have a GOP that thinks, "storming the capitol in an attempt to assassinate our elected leaders" is somewhere between "great" and "no biggie."

He knows *damned well* what the world thinks of us now, and how endangered we are because of it--and not just us, our generation, physically, but the idea of government of the people, by the people, for the people. It could, truly, perish from this earth-
🇺🇸THREAD:🇺🇸

OKAY!

Yes... that was my very dramatic first reaction.

Yes... we still have viable paths to victory.

But now we must do more than hold the line. We need to start looking ahead to what victory will really look like.

Because as I've tried to show you, They have.


Here is what we absolutely know to be true:

1. They fucking cheated.

And it wasn't just Biden. Senators, Representatives, State Attorney Generals, Governors, Mayors... all the local initiatives...

We really do not yet know the extent of the this. If those currently in positions of power are legitimately there by the will of the people.

We don't know if the procedures that allowed this were put in place by officials with no rights to the offices that allowed them to do so.


2. We know half of this nation and all of the rest of the world is being told that even Trump's own (illegitimately gained) Supreme Court is against him.

I have family in Italy & Germany. They were shocked to discover there was any reason to doubt the legitimacy of Biden's win.

The media has absolutely and with clear intent fabricated a narrative and are acting in concert to spread it faster and farther than COVID.

Hey, non sequitor: isn't it funny that in the Hunger Games she was a Mockingjay?

That's a bird that mocks, right?

A mocking bird?
The ECB's long-standing negative rates policy remains unpopular in a union of chronic high savings (demand deficits) & yield-hungry investors. Here I argue that the ECB must do everything it can to escape its liquidity trap of “negative rates forever” CC @elerianm @VMRConstancio


First, negative rates are a reflection of a problem. Sub-zero arrived in Europe in 2014 in response to a critical problem of policy credibility – the arrival of the zero lower bound for the ECB’s main policy rate in the face of persistently low inflation expectations /thread/ 2/n

Europe, like much of the developed world, had seen a secular decline in the trend real rate even before the Covid19 shock, reflecting ageing populations and slower trend productivity growth - higher hhlds savings demand, lower business demand for capital #ECB #negativerates 3/n

The structural shock of the pandemic only accelerated the processes that began a decade ago with the Global Financial Crisis and the Euro government debt crises, pushing the eurozone trend rate even lower. #ECB #negativerates 4/n

This leaves the ECB facing a symmetric credibility challenge. In normal times, the ECB policy rate will follow the trend rate lower. If expected inflation adjusts to the demand-determined output gap, then the policy rate must fall below the equilibrium rate to bridge the gap. 5/n