BC FINANCE
Saved by @CodyyyGardner

Next 10 years in FinTech.

The Fintech tsunami is happening, and there is no way back.

Long thread 🧵👇🏼

 1) In 2030, the largest “bank” in the world will not-be-a-bank.🏦 Think- Square, Stripe, Affirm, AntFin, PayPal, etc. Many large asset categories are still untouched by Fintechs, and once that starts to happen, several new ~$100BN - $500BN 💰 companies will be created.
2) Major economies will have low or no-Cash 💵; primarily due to ‘digitization-of everything’, and CBDC. Major central banks will transition to a digital currency paradigm, where national currencies will compete on features (like software does) as well as economics.
3) Credit Bureaus will become redundant. The 'spending-to-income-habits' indicator will overtake credit score. In the new decade: How responsibly one spends the money will become a stronger indicator of creditworthiness than all bureau data scores.
4) Algorithms— built into MoneyOS — will automatically refinance debt to the lowest possible rate, triggering massive compression in profit pools for banks. These “Systems of Intelligence” companies will create massive value.
5) The onset of Collaborative-AI will blur the line between deposits and lending, and ‘cash-flow-as-a-service’ will be a reality - resulting in ‘the death-of-deposits’, and growth of newer asset classes/investment vehicles. Deposit accounts will no longer be the locus of control.
6) Personalisation and automation will explode. The era of a customer making decisions about their money is behind us. 'Autonomous finance' reimagines the whole idea of financial services delivery by integrating technology at the heart of each system.
7) Fintechs will be portable and interoperable: Like mobile phones, customers will be able to easily transition between ‘carriers’. Basic financial products will become a commodity. FinTech will centralize into a few places and steer on ‘autopilot’.
8) Banks will become invisible and move to the background and centralize into one place where our money is managed for us. Large fintech enabled marketplaces- curated with thousands of apps and APIs- will emerge.
9) Data will become openly portable and will not be a competitive moat for Fintechs. Basic financial services will become simple open-source protocols, lowering the barrier for any company to offer financial products to its customers.
10) Fintech will become part of the basic functionality of non-finance products. Embedded finance is the next stage in the evolution of fintech. The hierarchy of unbundling that we observe in Asia will be replicated in ecosystems around the world.
11) Financial services will fragment further. Also, the demarcation between spending, borrowing, and wealth management will break down as one service-based offering manages the flow of customers’ money across multiple accounts.
12) Regulatory landscape will change. With a fast-growing industry comes a constantly evolving regulatory regime. Regulators around the world are playing catch up and trying to provide the necessary regulation needed to balance the interests of businesses and consumers.
13) More collaboration and consolidation– from all angles. For the last decade or so, FinTech companies have grown, disrupted, and moved at an exponential rate. This has forced traditional incumbent firms to adjust, rethink their business models, and embrace digital innovations.
14) MoneyOS: In 5-10 years people will control their financial lives in one place. The FinTech market, born as a disruptor, is beginning to mature and enter into a period of rapid “re-bundling”. The second-order effect is multifactorial by nature.
15) Expanding scope and diversity: The scope of products and services that FinTech firms offer will expand rapidly. These new offerings might span right across the spectrum of financial services, tokens, loyalty, digital assets, investment banking, insurance, retail, and wealth.
16) The dominance of the legacy banks will continue to be eroded. Moats in banking are dead. Consumers will continue to shift away from legacy banks towards newer service providers.
17) Death of manual underwriting. AI systems will eventually underwrite credit and insurance across the world. Future product experiences will be centered around AI, which automates most of the customers’ financial lives and improves their financial outcomes.
18) AI + Blockchain: The ‘ultimate’ future - will enable complex & automated smart contracts to be executed, allowing more use-cases to enter the mainstream. e.g. AI-Marketplaces, Crowdsourced Predictive Models for Hedge Funds, Collective AI Investment Management Platforms.
19) True emergence of Fintech Cloud and Infrastructure (BaaS/IaaS). AI will become a standard feature in applications, not a novelty. Technology is reshaping the operating-model of FIs. A clear vision of the future financial landscape is critical for good governance.
20) The eternal cycle of unbundling and rebundling will create new operating models + new future scenarios: Trust as an API, Tokenized Illiquid assets, Online platforms as debt warehouses, API economy, Bank-as-lifescript, FinTech as Asset Network, etc.
21) New blockchain payments and identity systems will become mainstream turning money into pure bits thereby allowing software developers to creatively design new services around money the way they have done with photos and text.
22) The Future is Decentralized. Several DeFI projects will gather significant momentum and scale. DeFi is on a path to create an alternative financial system. Non-custodial protocols give users full control over their assets.
23) All hail the new king!- Bitcoin: As more dollars💵 are printed, large public companies and FIs will add Bitcoin to their balance sheet. Major companies- with cash reserves - will start building Bitcoin “New Gold”🪙 reserves- to protect assets and build wealth. #BTC
24) A new financial system powered by Bitcoin will emerge. Bitcoin marks the end of fiat and the beginning of a new monetary standard.
We always overestimate the change that will occur in the next two years and underestimate the change that will occur in the next ten.

The new decade will be the golden-age of Fintech. Exciting times ahead!


https://t.co/EkWwjWFPjR

More from Finance

Tren Griffin
Tren Griffin
@trengriffin
1/ Peter Bevelin, who has written books like “Seeking Wisdom: From Darwin to Munger,” provided me with a rough transcript of the Charlie Munger talk from yesterday. I did some clean up and editing and focus on points I didn’t make in my tweets yesterday.

2/ “All successful investment involves trying to get into something where it's worth more than you're paying. That's what successful investment is. There are a lot of different ways to find something worth more than you're paying. You can do what Sequoia does [e.g, in VC]."

3/ “Good investing requires a weird combination of patience and aggression and not many people have it. It also requires a big amount of self-awareness about how much you know and how much you don't know. You have to know the edge of your own competency."

4/ "A lot of brilliant people are no good knowing the edge of their own competency. They think they're way smarter than they are. Of course, that's dangerous and causes trouble.” Charlie Munger

5/ “When I was young, there was practically nobody involved in investing and they weren't very smart. Now almost everybody's smart. A good proportion of the people in investing are sucked into finance by the money. That's an important development. I don't welcome it at all."
FINANCE
Dave Nemetz
Dave Nemetz
@davenemetz
1/ A lot of people ask me how Bleacher Report found our first writers when we were tiny and had no funding.

So here's a thread on all the things we tried, what worked best, and lessons on growing a community from scratch:

2/ When we first started B/R, all the articles were written by my co-founders, our friends, and me.

This led to some hilariously bad takes. Like this article where I panned the SF Giants for drafting future World Series MVP Madison Bumgarner.

3/ When we were ready to start building our community, we started with word of mouth. We drafted an email pitching our concept. It went out to everyone we knew, asking them to share it with anyone who would be interested.

This got us maybe a few dozen signups.

From the email:


4/ With only a handful of members, we needed to make the community feel more active.

So we faked it til we made it.

Our team created multiple accounts and posted using different fake names. This created the sense of more activity and encouraged new members to join in.

5/ Later, I learned that the founders of Reddit did the same thing early on.

Sometimes the solution to the "chicken and the egg" problem of building community is to create the illusion of more chickens (or
CULTURE , FINANCE
Advertisement
Kostas \U0001f468\u200d\U0001f4bc \U0001f4c8 \U0001f4b8
Kostas 👨‍💼 📈 💸...
@itsKostasWithK
The British Railway Mania

How a disruptive technology created the biggest speculative bubble in the history of England

/THREAD/


1/ Railways were the most disruptive technology of the 19th century, known as the "railway age", transforming England from an agricultural to an industrialized nation.

2/ The development of railway infrastructure and locomotives started at the end of the 18th century but experienced immense growth after 1830.


3/ Hundreds of railway related bills were passed every year with proposed rails totaling 10,000 miles, a third of which was never built due to poor financial planning, competition, or fraud.

4/ In the mid-1840s, the Bank of England cut interest rates rendering government bonds unattractive, and investors more willing to rush in the railway investments.
FINANCE
Lewis Goodall
Lewis Goodall
@lewis_goodall
Weird feeling. After 10.5 years and roughly £21,000 of debt- I finally paid off the last instalment of my student loan today.

Next month, for the first time- I’ll receive my full post tax salary, for the first time since I graduated.

Sharing as an example of how the system works in practice. In truth I only seriously started paying off the capital in the last few years, when I started to earn a good salary, paying roughly £400 a month off. I suspect many will never significantly eat into the capital.

That’s especially the case for those those under the new regime, who have over £50k of debt. I was lucky in a) lower fees (3k not 9k) and maintenance grant (not loan) still existed.

Indeed IFS forecasts that 83% of students from PST 2012 reforms won’t fully pay back their loan.

Of course those who don’t pay off their fees, the cost will eventually have to be absorbed by the Treasury. Having 17% pay back all and the rest some will still be cheaper for HMT than no loans at all. But we should recognise the a) odd conceit that we have a system of loans...

...which the vast maj will never pay back and that instead b) that graduates are paying in effect a topped up rate of income tax for many, many years.
FINANCE
Eric Basmajian
Eric Basmajian
@EPBResearch
Inflation is coming, inflation is coming!

Last month I wrote about the distinction between long-term secular inflation and shorter-term cyclical inflation

It has been clear for several months that we are in the middle of a cyclical rise in


The full thread can be reviewed here:


Today's PPI report should have been expected to surprise to the upside as the leading indicators of inflation have been screaming to the upside for months!

Here is the ISM prices paid index, cumulated into a growth rate

3/


Industrial commodity prices have also seen a major acceleration for months.

4/


So today's PPI report was in line with the leads, suggesting that we have a cyclical upturn in inflation that is * primarily concentrated in the manufacturing sector *

This is a key point.

5/
FINANCE

You May Also Like

FT Trading\u2503Stock Trader
FT Trading┃Stock Trade...
@FT__Trading
Ever wonder how traders get in stocks before they explode? 🧐

Or find options that move 1,000% in a single day/week?🤯

I made a thread going over exactly how I find these stocks BEFORE they take off 🚀
👇👇👇

So, let's start with the software I use…

Finviz!! Finviz is a free website that I use to scan for stocks.

They have a lot of other cool features as well, but I only use their scanner.
👇

Head on over to finviz and go to the screener

Click on the “All” tab on the top and put in the criteria in the next tweet
👇

This is the first scan that I use for bullish swing setups
✅Quarter +10%
✅Week Down
✅Vol over 400k
✅Optionable
✅Price > $20
👇


The next scan I use is the opposite of the first one.

Simply change:
✅Quarter +10% to -10%
✅Week Down to Week up

This is my bearish scan for swing setups. 👇
TRADINGTHREAD , OPTIONS
EverythingOppresses
EverythingOppresses
@SoOppressed
The first area to focus on is diversity. This has become a dogma in the tech world, and despite the fact that tech is one of the most meritocratic industries in the world, there are constant efforts to promote diversity at the expense of fairness, merit and competency. Examples:

USC's Interactive Media & Games Division cancels all-star panel that included top-tier game developers who were invited to share their experiences with students. Why? Because there were no women on the

ElectronConf is a conf which chooses presenters based on blind auditions; the identity, gender, and race of the speaker is not known to the selection team. The results of that merit-based approach was an all-male panel. So they cancelled the conference.

Apple's head of diversity (a black woman) got in trouble for promoting a vision of diversity that is at odds with contemporary progressive dogma. (She left the company shortly after this

Also in the name of diversity, there is unabashed discrimination against men (especially white men) in tech, in both hiring policies and in other arenas. One such example is this, a developer workshop that specifically excluded men: https://t.co/N0SkH4hR35
TECH
Advertisement
Cole Escola
Cole Escola
@ColeEscola
If you know me, you know I don't like broadcasting details about my personal life on this website, but I have been getting asked why I'm not doing Christmas this year so I just wanna put this whole mess to bed. First of all, I don't agree with gay marriage... (1 of 4,625)

... full of dog food and she said, "I'm pretending this is ice cream! Treat me like a baby!" and proceeded to hump her own arm and I thought, "something tells me this isn't the real Norah Jones"... (117 of 4,625)

...cost me $7,000. I had to put it on two separate credit cards! It wasn't 'til I got to my car that I realized "that's way too expensive for one onion." But I didn't have time. Amanda Seyfried was begging to change my diaper... (1,001 of 4,625)

...another Christmas miracle. Mistletoe, stockings, sleigh bells, snow! All these things I have put up my ass. The taste of coffee... (2,974 of 4,625)

...I felt a *very* cold finger on my cheek and I turned around and I said, "Grandma?" and she goes, "Surprise, I'm alive and I work at Sears!" I said, "okay"... (3,047 of 4,625)
SOCIETY
Kentaur Wolf2
Kentaur Wolf2
@fragma_dia2
Хајде да направимо мали осврт на случај Мика Алексић .

Алексић је жртва енглеске освете преко Оливере Иванчић .
Мика је одбио да снима филм о блаћењу Срба и мењању историје Срба , иза целокупног пројекта стоји дипломатски кор Британаца у Београду и Оливера Иванчић


Оливера Илинчић је иначе мајка једне од његових ученица .
Која је претила да ће се осветити .

Мика се налази у притвору због наводних оптужби глумице Милене Радуловић да ју је наводно силовао човек од 70 година , са три бајпаса и извађеном простатом пре пет година

Иста персона је и обезбедила финансије за филм преко Беча а филм је требао да се бави животом Десанке Максимовић .
А сетите се и ко је иницирао да се Десанка Максимовић избаци из уџбеника и школства у Србији .

И тако уместо романсиране верзије Десанке Максимовић утицај Британаца

У Србији стави на пиједестал и да се Британци у Србији позитивно афирмишу како би се на тај начин усмерила будућност али и мењао ток историје .
Зато Мика са гнушањем и поносно одбија да снима такав филм тада и почиње хајка и претње која потиче из британских дипломатских кругова

Најгоре од свега што је то Мика Алексић изговорио у присуству високих дипломатских представника , а одговор је био да се све неће на томе завршити и да ће га то скупо коштати .
Нашта им је Мика рекао да је он свој живот проживео и да могу да му раде шта хоће и силно их извређао
ALL
Patrick McKenzie
Patrick McKenzie
@patio11
A thing which I unironically and enthusiastically believe which is unpopular among smart people of my acquaintance: financial engineering has in the recent past and present contributed substantially to human welfare. We should hope to see more of it.

Maybe more geeks need to meet someone who says “My job is teleporting value across time and space.”

Financial engineering is sort of a squishy term. I don’t primarily mean payments infrastructure or financial rails, although both of those involve substantial engineering.

I mean more “We took a thing and performed some alchemy, and now have a new thing.”

Except instead of alchemy it is generally quite a bit of math, a huge amount of contract law and due diligence, often an impressive amount of ops work, and a dusting of technology that web devs would recognize as such.
ALL