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Orwell & Goode
@OrwellNGoode 4 years, 4 months ago 821 views

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This year has been quite something.

But let's try to pick some of the most clownish stories this year had to offer.

Here's to 2020's end of year thread 1/50

Have you got a license for that opinion?

2/50

At least academics remain the same.

3/50

And Sweden didn't change

4/50

Don't have much to say about this one

5/50

Checks out

6/50

History has to be erased because it fails to stand up to progress.

7/50

Who wants to tell her?

8/50

Pure evil

9/50

Medical professionals revealing all

10/50

You must be unhealthy - it's the current year.

11/50

Empowerment has taken on a different meaning

12/50

Will quality suffer in the future?

13/50

Mask off mode

14/50

A healthy body image is problematic

15/50

...

16/50

A very weird hill to die on

17/50

A real heartbreak

18/50

Crosswords are bigoted

19/50

Some problems require different attention.

20/50

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President-Elect Gary H...
@gholland04

!!Decode/Thread (12/31/20)

Well this could be the LAST Decode/Thread of the Year ...

... Have a Happy and Safe New Years Eve ...

...

$Shravan Venkataraman \U0001f525\U0001f680\U0001f4b0$

Shravan Venkataraman 🔥...
@theBuoyantMan

Do you keep your gold assets in bank locker? You are probably paying some fees every year for your lockers.

Instead, what if you could get a locker for free?

What if I said banks would pay you to keep your gold assets safe?

Time for a thread. 👇👇👇

1/ The major issue with having gold in bank lockers is

- You pay hefty fees on an annual basis to the bank.
- The lockers aren't insured
- There's no real safety/security in case of theft or an unfortunate event.

Is there a work around?

Yes.

Enter "Gold Monetisation Scheme".

2/ GOI introduced the Gold Monetisation Scheme in 2015. The main objective was to cut down India's gold imports.

How it works:

You deposit your gold in bank.
They keep it safe for a fixed number of years.
You get it back as physical gold or cash on maturity.

3/ What should you do to be eligible?

You should take the gold you want to deposit to a Collection and Purity Testing Centre (CPTC). GOI has established over 300 CPTC's across India.

They will take your gold, evaluate its purity, and provide a receipt for the gold quantity.

4/ You take the receipt to your bank.

Create a gold monetisation scheme account in your bank.

Give them the receipt provided by PTC.

Your bank will then convert that receipt to a scheme certificate as part of your GMS account.

$Kostas \U0001f468\u200d\U0001f4bc \U0001f4c8 \U0001f4b8$

Kostas 👨‍💼 📈 💸...
@itsKostasWithK

The British Railway Mania

How a disruptive technology created the biggest speculative bubble in the history of England

/THREAD/

1/ Railways were the most disruptive technology of the 19th century, known as the "railway age", transforming England from an agricultural to an industrialized nation.

2/ The development of railway infrastructure and locomotives started at the end of the 18th century but experienced immense growth after 1830.

3/ Hundreds of railway related bills were passed every year with proposed rails totaling 10,000 miles, a third of which was never built due to poor financial planning, competition, or fraud.

4/ In the mid-1840s, the Bank of England cut interest rates rendering government bonds unattractive, and investors more willing to rush in the railway investments.

Ming Zhao
@FabiusMercurius

Day in the Life of a Hedge Fund Analyst

Few live to tell the tale.

"Was it like Billions?"
"Describe ur investment process?"
"What did u learn?"

I get these questions all the time, but for a while I was afraid of answering publicly. No more!

Hedge fund story time.
👇
🧵/

1/ ⏰ 6AM Pre-Market Review

Wake up thinking about ur overnight positions.
What happened during London/Asia trading?
Scan the major news on ur way to office.
🏢🚕🚶‍♀️

Think about how ur getting screwed by beta (general macro, FOMC, inflation, etc.) cuz ur net long (or net short).

2/ 7AM Portfolio Review

U'll typically have ~250 names in the portfolio "universe" (stocks w/ active positions & those on watchlist but already modeled).

Review each thesis vis-a-vis new market conditions. Anything changed?
Should u downside/upsize any?
New trade opportunities?

Here's a checklist of top items to check per company:

- Any earnings calls this week?
- Any product releases?
- Any new sell-side reports? Downgrades/Upgrades?
- Any M&A rumors in the space?
- Any management change announcements?
- Any guidance revisions?
- Any legal happenings?

3/ 8AM Plan out your daily/weekly agenda

Major types of events that'll populate ur calendar:
- Investor day at XYZ
- Q1-Q4 earnings call
- XYZ road show
- Dinner event w/ IR (investor relations) at XYZ
- Private buy-side bus trip (w/ mgmt @ XYZ) arranged by GS
- JPM conference

Eric Basmajian
@EPBResearch

Inflation is coming, inflation is coming!

Last month I wrote about the distinction between long-term secular inflation and shorter-term cyclical inflation

It has been clear for several months that we are in the middle of a cyclical rise in

Now, in the short-term, the manufacturing sector is red hot, driven by a pent-up demand rebound in goods consumption.

Commodity prices are screaming which gives legs to "goods" inflation in the short-term.

8) pic.twitter.com/rQcqHf1OD0
— Eric Basmajian (@EPBResearch) January 4, 2021

The full thread can be reviewed here:

Consensus continues to conflate the inflation story, mixing and matching long-term and short-term charts to fit what is generally a secular inflation narrative.

Here are my two cents to make the distinction clear.

1)
— Eric Basmajian (@EPBResearch) January 4, 2021

Today's PPI report should have been expected to surprise to the upside as the leading indicators of inflation have been screaming to the upside for months!

Here is the ISM prices paid index, cumulated into a growth rate

3/

Industrial commodity prices have also seen a major acceleration for months.

4/

So today's PPI report was in line with the leads, suggesting that we have a cyclical upturn in inflation that is * primarily concentrated in the manufacturing sector *

This is a key point.

5/