I am not of the belief that this is going to be the "final cycle" where BTC soaks up the world's wealth, goes to $1 million and rewrites financial history. I do not think...
For the sake of a public record, I would like to lay out my prediction for how this next #Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto bull market plays out...
@RaoulGMI @PrestonPysh @AriDavidPaul
I am not of the belief that this is going to be the "final cycle" where BTC soaks up the world's wealth, goes to $1 million and rewrites financial history. I do not think...
The macro narrative is taking shape that BTC is a hedge against inflation, however...
In order to get secular, painful, obvious inflation I think that several things need to happen. We need a more accommodating government (MMT) which we don't...
At this point we don't have the system necessary to fire the fiscal bazookas fast enough to overcome the forces of deflation.
I think that we'll get a MMT government eventually, but it could take several years...
The Obama administration spent $400 million on a website that didn't work, how fast do we really believe the United States government is going to be able to create a 99.99999% reliable...
Who the hell knows, but it sure as hell isn't coming in 2021, 2022, or probably even 2023. A full rollout might not even happen till 2025 or 2026.
So without a...
Yet...
By that time the situation may be very, very different. Central bank printing will be off the charts, more than anyone imagines. There is MMT, UBI...
There may even be a pilot version of a CBDC, or at the very least the government has figured out how to quickly distribute $$$ to the people without using dead trees.
Against this macro backdrop I think BTC will...
Ironically, we've all heard the maxim that markets love to dole out maximum pain...
Those investors may be hesitant to buy BTC next cycle, since inflation never happened before...
More from Crypto
1/ A thread on Nexgen’s Arrow & the #uranium cycle ($NXE)
2/ Given the scale and cost structure of Arrow, it makes sense that investors are intensely focused on its delivery timeline. This thread will discuss possible timelines, current market expectations (i.e., what’s “priced in”) & how different Arrow scenarios will impact the mkt.
3/ As you can see from the litany of responses to Michael’s tweet, there is great skepticism in the market regarding Arrow’s timeline. This is largely due to a bearish narrative conveyed by competing CEO’s whose assets only hold value if Arrow is substantially delayed.
4/ Those who played “King of the Hill” as a child would remember that it is the person at the top who is constantly attacked, not the kid sitting at the bottom of the hill in the mud. No one cares enough about that kid to attack them. This is a good parable for $NXE & Uranium.
5/ First a quick note on “this cycle” – Segra generally defines this cycle as the deficits forecasted from the mid-2020s to late-2030s. When people imply an asset producing in the mid-to-late 2020s will “miss the cycle”, they clearly have not done any real S/D modelling.
Can anyone tell me an estimated time frame that Nexgen could be permitted, start building their mine and be producing #uranium ??? @quakes99 @JekyllCapital @travmcph @NexGenEnergy $nxe
— Michael Pierce (@Big_U_Dawg) January 22, 2021
2/ Given the scale and cost structure of Arrow, it makes sense that investors are intensely focused on its delivery timeline. This thread will discuss possible timelines, current market expectations (i.e., what’s “priced in”) & how different Arrow scenarios will impact the mkt.
3/ As you can see from the litany of responses to Michael’s tweet, there is great skepticism in the market regarding Arrow’s timeline. This is largely due to a bearish narrative conveyed by competing CEO’s whose assets only hold value if Arrow is substantially delayed.
4/ Those who played “King of the Hill” as a child would remember that it is the person at the top who is constantly attacked, not the kid sitting at the bottom of the hill in the mud. No one cares enough about that kid to attack them. This is a good parable for $NXE & Uranium.
5/ First a quick note on “this cycle” – Segra generally defines this cycle as the deficits forecasted from the mid-2020s to late-2030s. When people imply an asset producing in the mid-to-late 2020s will “miss the cycle”, they clearly have not done any real S/D modelling.
