I want to let you know when I made the decision to launch @StrikePac & directly get into electioneering I realized I wasn't going to continue issuing "race ratings" & "forecasts" each cycle- OBV that's a conflict of interest!

The hostility & sexism of

2. that world, I have to be honest, makes it very easy to walk away- the misogyny in the top tier of the election analysis community outside of @Center4Politics folks who are awesome & also more accurate than anyone else is intolerable. I'll still analyze politics, political
3. events, issue commentary, write articles, run the pod, go on TV, and generally succeed in ways that drive those men nuts but no, I won't be putting out ratings or "forecasts" anymore. Now, lots of people are asking me "what's going to happen in 2022?" The Midterm Effect, the
4. the long standing pattern of the president's party losing seats in the Midterm happens virtually every single cycle. I believe there are 2 recent exceptions: post-9/11 in the 2022 midterms and 1998 post-Lewinski gate. What I'm trying to do in building @StrikePac is completely
5. redesign/overhaul/modernize & reshape the way that Dems currently approach electioneering. I want to build a new organization with the funds capable of coming into cycle's like VA's 2021 cycle and the 2022 midterm cycle and start to deploy these new methodologies into the
6. the field. These new techniques include an offense attack strategy that brands the Republican Party as an extremist party trying to end democracy, one that must not be given governing power. 1 that has adopted a #PartyOfNo posture- so allegiant to an ideology of "limited gov"
7. it stood by and did nothing as a deadly pandemic washed over our country, killing us by the hundreds of thousands. I want to attack the party's brand as the party of the economy. Why? BC over the past 30 the Rep Party has murdered the American economy & taken us from a global
8. leader to a global laughingstock. Their economic performance record is SHIT and @strikepac is going to make them own it for the first time. They get walk around w a straight face say "Ds have no message for the working class" w/o ever being challenged to produce their
9. accomplishments for the same. And when they are challenged?? 🦗🦗🦗. @strikepac is going to link every single competitve R w their extremist agenda & their extremist colleagues like MTG. Its long past time that someone met the GOP's own electioneers on the field w an effective
10. counterpunch, and @StrikePac intends to be there, fighting 🔥 with 🔥.

BC if we're not there? If the Ds go into 2022 with the same messaging & electioneering approaches they brought to bear in the 2020 cycle- they lost seats under ideal fundamentals?

Yes, Ds are losing!
11. One more thing. @strikepac will be run with a high level of transparency, far beyond what the law requires. And although I am the "public face" and fundraiser for the pac, I do not control the pac's money. I took that role and gave it to @LaurieSpivak & told her the reason
12. is that it matter to me ALOT that anyone that gives money to @StrikePac knows that money, as best as we can do with it, will use it to fight the GOP. Now, this is my new job! I am getting paid a salary to do it. Well, at least I will be if it succeeds! But unlike all of the
13. rest of these pac things, I've chosen to design this one so that I have a flat salary, commensurate with my last salary at the think tank (eventually, hopefully!) that is based on my role & expertise. I am not making a cut on donations. I am not going to siphon off earning
14. from ads or make the kind of consultancy fees that I believe everyone else involved in pacs make. And the reason I'm doing these things is bc I will never give the GOP or the Nate Silvers of the world ammunition to hurt our effort to save democracy & improve the lives of the
15. lives of the millions of Americans that are depending on Democrats not to lose winnable elections. People like Silver, who are only capable of thinking about their own bottom lines, will never be able to understand someone like, who makes the opposite calculation. This info,
16. plus a whole lot more on what we're doing, how we're going to do it, and more is heading to the new website which is in progress. If you've already supported the effort- thank you! If you want to now https://t.co/dP8ZQhs68F

More from Rachel "The Doc" Bitecofer 📈🔭🍌

Yes, actually that's kind of the problem these days.

All the 🔥takes will be shown to be wrong once the voter file data & analysis like this one w the FULL RESULTS get done, which is why I'VE NOT PUBLISHED MY 🔥TAKE IN NYT yet

We'll have to decide if we want it fast, or right

There is ONE STORY in elections right now and its education. Its not rural vs urban, or Black and White, Latino and White

Its educated versus non-educated

And its global

1. I'll add that it's very imp that Ds understand, crystal clear, this fact (that edu is the divide that rules all other divides). After Parscale's success in 2020 the GOP will now double down on their efforts to come after non-college educated, non-white voters bc now they KNOW

2. they're gettable. The 2018 and 2020 cycle were "feelers." No doubt donors and strategists were skeptical. Now they have the analytic proof and the $ will be flowing. This is one reason that I decided that I had to get into electioneering myself. Someone is going to need to be

3. there talking to these voters from the Left (and talking to them with effective messaging- for ex they don't give two shits about insider trading corruption) or you'll see even more erosion in the D's vote share among non-college educated non-white voters, I'm sure of it. Its
1. You also have to give them a landing. It's tempting, I know, to take the pent up rage out on the only ones who respond to you (like @ProjectLincoln!) or Never Trumpers like @RadioFreeTom or @BillKristol bc they were "guilty" in the past or "waited too long" like @WalshFreedom

2. but at each of the big inflection moments where Trump lost support I've begged non-Rs to consider the fact that if Trump supporters see that they have nowhere to go, they will stay w the only people that DO accept them, & the price might actually be the collapse of democracy

3. which, until Weds, some people thought I was being hyperbolic about. I WASN'T! When the MAINSTREAM of a major political party divorces themselves from democratic norms & values & its supporters turn to a fictionalized world to justify their political party's actions, your

4. country's stability is at risk & one by-product of poor messaging on the Dem side is that extremism on the Right was able to not only take root in the Rep Party, it was able to take OVER the R party & become the party's mainstream- pinnacled w the presidential win via the EC

5. of Donald Trump, w/o the GOP paying any electoral price for their extremism. A healthy Rep Party might have found the courage to reject Trump's nomination & accept the short term costs that would have come w refusing to endorse his 2016 candidacy. But the Rep Party of 2016
1. Friends, yesterday we released a sample ad of what how @StrikePac will message against the GOP. Frustratingly, voters were never approached which the frame of the Rep Party's collapse into extremism in the 2020 cycle aside from work from outside groups like @ProjectLincoln,

2. @MeidasTouch, @votevets & other "super pacs" which are essentially grassroots funded organizations that are making use of the "super pac" designation to electioneer. Organizing as a super pac actually affords groups a great deal of flexibility to perform pro-democracy work

3. so despite the "ewww, yuck!" factor of that designation, not all SP's are, in fact, evil entities (other than the fact that so many of you I wholly support a fully publicly funded system w very strict limits & honestly, a 30 day electioneering window per cycle which would

4. decimate a multi-billion $ industry BUT do a great deal of work to save our democracy & that type of system, by the way, is BY FAR, the norm among western democracies. Ours is literally the Wild West of electioneering systems and if there is 1 "fix all" reform that would have

5. the greatest & most immediate impact on pulling our democracy back from the precipice of our democracy it would be a fully publicly funded, tightly regulated election/campaigning system. We don't have one of those right now & if we ever want to reach the majorities that could

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