a $250M fund could do a $5-10M deal every month for two years and still be under-allocated
and there aren’t enough companies raising series B / C / D rounds!!!
every deal i’ve done lately is under $50M valuation
1/ crypto VC is going through an explosive 🧨 phase
there are big funds (>$500M AUM), a lot of small funds (<$50M AUM), and *tons* of prop firms + angels
i’ve done 15 deals in the last 3 months as an angel + small fund @CoinSharesCo VC.
observations + implications... 👇🏾
a $250M fund could do a $5-10M deal every month for two years and still be under-allocated
and there aren’t enough companies raising series B / C / D rounds!!!
every deal i’ve done lately is under $50M valuation
a recent series A financing had two firms competing to take down the ENTIRE ROUND, and it eventually got upsized, a LOT.
if a company is putting up user acquisition / growth and a revenue story, it’s highly competitive
so the valuations go up, but available allocations go down, resulting in an even bigger squeeze on allocators who *need* to deploy
add in the wave of SPACs and direct listings taking later stage opportunities out
there just aren’t enough places to put capital in size rn
what’s a fund to do?
but your pedigree and reputation matter - founders can be choosy since there’s so much $$$
perks include code audits, marketing, hiring support, research, etc
expect to see this grow exponentially (it already has in trad VC)
and once @coinbase IPO goes out at $50B+, even more capital is going to come hunting for ROI in crypto
the crunch is going to get intense
for investors, be careful and DYOR - always down to trade deal notes
for founders, be choosy. raise less. demand more value! your investors work for YOU 🤩
we are about to enter a brand new era of crypto VC and i couldn’t be more excited 💥🧨💥
my personal portfolio including companies and protocols can be found at https://t.co/K3fVxXPq0v (overdue for an update tho!)
More from Crypto
Where should I start?
1) Is Blockfi profitable?
2) How much money does BlockFi have on its balance sheet?
3) Is the yield that BlockFi pays to its depositors earned or subsidized by billionaire investors?
4) Has BlockFi ever been profitable?
5) Are you planning to go public?
1) Is Blockfi profitable?
2) How much money does BlockFi have on its balance sheet?
3) Is the yield that BlockFi pays to its depositors earned or subsidized by billionaire investors?
4) Has BlockFi ever been profitable?
5) Are you planning to go public?
When is the interview published? @otisa502
— Jakob.Cel (@HedegaardJakob) February 14, 2021
1/ A thread on Nexgen’s Arrow & the #uranium cycle ($NXE)
2/ Given the scale and cost structure of Arrow, it makes sense that investors are intensely focused on its delivery timeline. This thread will discuss possible timelines, current market expectations (i.e., what’s “priced in”) & how different Arrow scenarios will impact the mkt.
3/ As you can see from the litany of responses to Michael’s tweet, there is great skepticism in the market regarding Arrow’s timeline. This is largely due to a bearish narrative conveyed by competing CEO’s whose assets only hold value if Arrow is substantially delayed.
4/ Those who played “King of the Hill” as a child would remember that it is the person at the top who is constantly attacked, not the kid sitting at the bottom of the hill in the mud. No one cares enough about that kid to attack them. This is a good parable for $NXE & Uranium.
5/ First a quick note on “this cycle” – Segra generally defines this cycle as the deficits forecasted from the mid-2020s to late-2030s. When people imply an asset producing in the mid-to-late 2020s will “miss the cycle”, they clearly have not done any real S/D modelling.
Can anyone tell me an estimated time frame that Nexgen could be permitted, start building their mine and be producing #uranium ??? @quakes99 @JekyllCapital @travmcph @NexGenEnergy $nxe
— Michael Pierce (@Big_U_Dawg) January 22, 2021
2/ Given the scale and cost structure of Arrow, it makes sense that investors are intensely focused on its delivery timeline. This thread will discuss possible timelines, current market expectations (i.e., what’s “priced in”) & how different Arrow scenarios will impact the mkt.
3/ As you can see from the litany of responses to Michael’s tweet, there is great skepticism in the market regarding Arrow’s timeline. This is largely due to a bearish narrative conveyed by competing CEO’s whose assets only hold value if Arrow is substantially delayed.
4/ Those who played “King of the Hill” as a child would remember that it is the person at the top who is constantly attacked, not the kid sitting at the bottom of the hill in the mud. No one cares enough about that kid to attack them. This is a good parable for $NXE & Uranium.
5/ First a quick note on “this cycle” – Segra generally defines this cycle as the deficits forecasted from the mid-2020s to late-2030s. When people imply an asset producing in the mid-to-late 2020s will “miss the cycle”, they clearly have not done any real S/D modelling.
