(note: Brexit was not done, it's just begun)
- I worried about those most impacted.
My logic was while those wishing to remain would be most disappointed, they would also be most prepared.
#BrexitDeal would hurt its supporters.
Starting ☝️
When Jacob Rees Mogg threw dead fish into the Thames at WETminster, I thought, like most of you, he was making a point on behalf of the Fishing INDUSTRY.
It was only yesterday that we all learned he was acting on behalf of the FISH.
Fish happiness, not Brexit, was the goal!
(note: Brexit was not done, it's just begun)
- I worried about those most impacted.
My logic was while those wishing to remain would be most disappointed, they would also be most prepared.
#BrexitDeal would hurt its supporters.
Starting ☝️
1. Famously the economic consequences would hurt Leave voters the most (albeit no one expected the madness of combining #Brexit with #Covid19)
2. Sovereignty and independence would be reversed; we'd end up with less of both (as we have).
Number 3?
Also a dilemma. It would have needed remainers to be listened to. Or leavers to question #Brexit.
3. What happens: A small leave group realise the con; disagree with Leave Mainstream?
Mogg boasts of having fish back while:
* The fishing industry is in arms; screaming betrayal
* Some fisheries are already bankrupting
* Because fish we can't sell is rotting
Yet Jake's happy the fish are happy.
Almost as if ☝️ he had nothing to do with this
I could be accused of believing it was just this sort of moment he was concerned about when he used to represent the now bankrupting⏬
https://t.co/efdaTMDD9R
But anticipating #Brexit flaws is easy as catching blind sloths.
The new game is WHAT BREXITERS DO to clean up the 💩 they laid.
But wait says Jacob Rees Mogg we can find new markets for beef, like Australia.
— Hilary Abernathay. Some #Covid19 & #Nexit for all? (@atatimelikethis) October 22, 2019
Yes but the EU is 82% of your market and 90% of your transport, it's many many years to reduce that below 50%, until it goes to zero you're still maintaining same EU transport provisions as a Vassal
Can the Brexiter machine, move on from
blaming everyone for anything while promising everything
=>
Delivering any promises?
When it comes to Mogg, I'm not neutral: Doubtful.
https://t.co/2aclI7HZ1p
I mean think about the poor Mogster. He's having a \U0001f4a9 time of it. From toff clone to gaffe prone without even blinking.
— Hilary Abernathay. Some #Covid19 & #Nexit for all? (@atatimelikethis) January 7, 2021
People finally began to forget he voted against Landlords being required to make properties fire safe.
**Boom** that accidental slip of the Grenfell tongue.
He turned a huge UK success story into an EU failure.
It's hard to turn that psychology into a diligent concerned bureaucrat.
https://t.co/o8sCmfwjtX
there's anger in Leave about fish, and whether the 25% is correct.
— Hilary Abernathay. Some #Covid19 & #Nexit for all? (@atatimelikethis) December 27, 2020
For me this is one cognitive dissonance too far to understand.
To attempt that calculation you need to know this\u23ec
And once you know that, every other leave story on fish is shown to be a lie.
~confused~ https://t.co/L89Vz8Q7QQ
Mr FARTage and countless others did this sort of cherry-picking all the time.
And people believed them.
But that simply reinforces the problem of NUMBER 3.
What happens now?
More from Brexit
A quote from this excellent piece, neatly summarising a core impact of Brexit.
The Commission’s view, according to several sources, is that Brexit means existing distribution networks and supply chains are now defunct and will have to be replaced by other systems.
Of course, this was never written on the side of a bus. And never acknowledged by government. Everything was meant to be broadly fine apart from the inevitable teething problems.
It was, however, visible from space to balanced observers. You did not have to be a trade specialist to understand that replacing the Single Market with a third country trade arrangement meant the end of many if not all of the complex arrangements optimised for the former.
In the absence of substantive mitigations, the Brexit winners are those who subscribe to some woolly notion of ‘sovereignty’ and those who did not like freedom of movement. The losers are everyone else.
But, of course, that’s not good enough. For understandable reasons Brexit was sold as a benefit not a cost. The trading benefits of freedom would far outweigh the costs. Divergence would benefit all.
The Commission’s view, according to several sources, is that Brexit means existing distribution networks and supply chains are now defunct and will have to be replaced by other systems.
Brexit reality bites: The new dawn of trade friction via @RTENews https://t.co/p6VdlhZUAN
— Tony Connelly (@tconnellyRTE) January 9, 2021
Of course, this was never written on the side of a bus. And never acknowledged by government. Everything was meant to be broadly fine apart from the inevitable teething problems.
It was, however, visible from space to balanced observers. You did not have to be a trade specialist to understand that replacing the Single Market with a third country trade arrangement meant the end of many if not all of the complex arrangements optimised for the former.
In the absence of substantive mitigations, the Brexit winners are those who subscribe to some woolly notion of ‘sovereignty’ and those who did not like freedom of movement. The losers are everyone else.
But, of course, that’s not good enough. For understandable reasons Brexit was sold as a benefit not a cost. The trading benefits of freedom would far outweigh the costs. Divergence would benefit all.
You May Also Like
THREAD: 12 Things Everyone Should Know About IQ
1. IQ is one of the most heritable psychological traits – that is, individual differences in IQ are strongly associated with individual differences in genes (at least in fairly typical modern environments). https://t.co/3XxzW9bxLE
2. The heritability of IQ *increases* from childhood to adulthood. Meanwhile, the effect of the shared environment largely fades away. In other words, when it comes to IQ, nature becomes more important as we get older, nurture less. https://t.co/UqtS1lpw3n
3. IQ scores have been increasing for the last century or so, a phenomenon known as the Flynn effect. https://t.co/sCZvCst3hw (N ≈ 4 million)
(Note that the Flynn effect shows that IQ isn't 100% genetic; it doesn't show that it's 100% environmental.)
4. IQ predicts many important real world outcomes.
For example, though far from perfect, IQ is the single-best predictor of job performance we have – much better than Emotional Intelligence, the Big Five, Grit, etc. https://t.co/rKUgKDAAVx https://t.co/DWbVI8QSU3
5. Higher IQ is associated with a lower risk of death from most causes, including cardiovascular disease, respiratory disease, most forms of cancer, homicide, suicide, and accident. https://t.co/PJjGNyeQRA (N = 728,160)
1. IQ is one of the most heritable psychological traits – that is, individual differences in IQ are strongly associated with individual differences in genes (at least in fairly typical modern environments). https://t.co/3XxzW9bxLE
2. The heritability of IQ *increases* from childhood to adulthood. Meanwhile, the effect of the shared environment largely fades away. In other words, when it comes to IQ, nature becomes more important as we get older, nurture less. https://t.co/UqtS1lpw3n
3. IQ scores have been increasing for the last century or so, a phenomenon known as the Flynn effect. https://t.co/sCZvCst3hw (N ≈ 4 million)
(Note that the Flynn effect shows that IQ isn't 100% genetic; it doesn't show that it's 100% environmental.)
4. IQ predicts many important real world outcomes.
For example, though far from perfect, IQ is the single-best predictor of job performance we have – much better than Emotional Intelligence, the Big Five, Grit, etc. https://t.co/rKUgKDAAVx https://t.co/DWbVI8QSU3
5. Higher IQ is associated with a lower risk of death from most causes, including cardiovascular disease, respiratory disease, most forms of cancer, homicide, suicide, and accident. https://t.co/PJjGNyeQRA (N = 728,160)
