BC BREXIT
Saved by @CodyyyGardner

🇬🇧 Happy Independence Day patriots 🇬🇧

Its Day 1 outside the #EU so we wanted to remind you of all the things Remainers told you would happen on #Brexit day.

Never in the history of political movements has one side fibbed so spectacularly and (at times) hilariously.

[THREAD]

 [1] How are you all feeling today...down there?🍆

Well please be careful because now we've left the EU we are all due waves of super gonorrehoea.

Wrapping yourself in the #EU flag and putting #FBPE in your bio is the only known cure

https://t.co/WGQVjTg0mc
[2] Are you hungry? Well get used to it.

We were fed (excuse the pun) stories as late as November 2020 that #Brexit would lead to 60% reduction in haulage meaning 'months' of food shortages.

https://t.co/Nt8z84GwGy
[3] Forget those foreign holidays unless you fancy swimming the Channel.

As late as October 2020 we were told that all flights would be grounded.

Both sides quietly agreed to contingencies in December. Quelle surprise!

https://t.co/X4YUQRNclW
[4] In March 2020 as COVID hit Europe, we were told the only way to obtain ventilators was by joining the #EU scheme. We refused and Remainers screeched that the Government was putting Brexit over breathing.

The EU scheme obtained...zero...ventilators.

https://t.co/9mDtERNESp
[5] Another EU scheme another failure.

We were told the only way to get vaccines fast and efficiently was through the #EU. #Brexit 'would delay things'. Instead the UK fast tracked approval and is a month ahead of Brussels, saving thousands of lives.

https://t.co/QO0XQrdgNe
[6] 'CUSTOMS CHAOS', 'Thousands of trucks backing up for miles'...

In reality, the New York Times reports that "a new era began Friday morning without much fuss"

“It does seem pretty calm” Elizabeth De Jong, policy director of trade group Logistics UK

https://t.co/fOc1VEVJDc
[7] 'We need the EU to protect our oceans'

Yet on Day 1, the UK government have banned the environmentally catastrophic practice of pulse fishing putting our fishing standards above those of the EU.

Super trawlers next!

https://t.co/uvXnBPsbY8
[8] In March 2019 we were treated to an article by Remainer Dr Rebecca Grossman saying that #Brexit would lead to more unplanned pregnancies and the NHS running out of condoms...

Brexit baby boom anyone?

https://t.co/I0e9UsLuyH
[9] Despite the EU standing by while Russia annexed part of Ukraine, we're told we have them to thank for peace in our time.

So much so that Donald Tusk said #Brexit would lead to the 'destruction of western civilisation'.

Tins hats on!!

https://t.co/4r5VLMjr22
[10] Among all the warnings of blackouts and chaos, we seem to have forgotten the real casualty of #Brexit...

Sperm.

We were told our vote would lead to a national sperm shortage.

WON'T SOMEONE THINK OF THE CHILDREN!! 😭

https://t.co/PP8CWP83Qc
[11] Company after company told us they would leave.

Like Siemens who threatened to depart...

...then invested £310m into a wind turbine blade manufacturing facility in Hull creating 1,000 jobs, with a further £200m investment in Goole (700 jobs)

https://t.co/NLU3ssE48P
[12] Then of course there was the famous 'Brexodus' of talent and jobs from the City. Analysts predicted 'hundreds of thousands' would go.

Instead they got just hundreds. And the financial services sector went from strength to strength.

Humble pie 🥧

https://t.co/DZLPsBxZcL
[13] Remember when Goldman Sachs said #Brexit would see them reconsider their position in the UK?

Well they went on to spend £1 billion on a huge new European HQ...in London.

They have just said the UK is 'strong buy' in the medium/long term.

https://t.co/tpzwsge5iC
[14] The UK economy will crumble after Brexit the 'experts' said.

They now say the UK will strengthen its position as 5th biggest economy globally, roaring ahead of France - the EU's great hope - as our tech sector 'booms'.

Je ne regrette rien

https://t.co/kTp48FTndd
[15] ‘Tiny UK will never get the same trade deals the EU negotiated’

Errrrrrm. Wrong again.

We’ve rolled over or improved every single meaningful trade deal.

https://t.co/3VkiaoP3h1
[16] From the Government’s own leaflet in 2016, stating a zero tariff zero quota deal was not possible without paying millions to Brussels and accepting EU rules.

Paging ‘Dave’ and George Osbourne! We just agreed exactly that.
[17] Downbeat experts predicted the end of the UK’s tech sector. #Brexit would hand the crown to the continent.

Instead, post 2016, the sector grew even faster and widened the cap between the U.K. and it’s European competitors.

Whoops!

https://t.co/qZBdDCPIU2
[18] Has World War 3 started yet?

Might have missed it due to the NYE hangover 🥳

https://t.co/cRp9g7kWIP
[19] ‘Brexit will ruin the British food and drink sector’

Tell that to Aldi who are removing EU producers and making a £3.5 billion investment in over 1000 local UK food and drink companies.

Yum! 🥘

https://t.co/o8Z2H9ISya
[20] Lunchtimes will never be the same again.

RIP to the BLT after #Brexit

I mean sure, it has been a staple of the British table since the 1700s, but apparently we now need to be part of the EU to enjoy a ham sarnie.

https://t.co/RR1q1wMvpX
[21] 'European doctors will all leave and our NHS will collapse'

The number of European doctors working in the UK has been declining since 2010, long before #Brexit, but actually went UP in the last 12 months.

Nurse! Remainers are telling fibs again!

https://t.co/77lpvBAt3q

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john milbank
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This very short article by Jeremy Cliffe is the best thing I have ever read on Brexit and the EU. It pivots on the contrast between Delors’ and Thatcher’s authentically provincial Christian visions and suggests the battle in Britain between the two is not over.


Thatcher: Protestant believer in the totally free market and absolutely sovereign centralised nation state. Delors: Catholic believer in third way personalism, corporatism and federalism. Individualism versus relational love. Heterodoxy versus Orthodoxy.

The article useful gives the lie to the idea that the Catholic vision of the EU has altogether vanished even though it is weakened. Delors wanted a social dimension to the free market and single currency and yet lexiteers laughably insist the EU is more neoliberal than the U.K.!

Subsidiary federalism is a doctrine of democracy and human fraternity. State sovereignty is a doctrine of naked power. It is a face of Antichrist. Leviathan.

Those combined that democracy can only be inside a single state fail to power just how much of private law and evermore so is necessarily international. Thus if political institutions don’t extend over borders there can be no democracy.
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Tony Connelly
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BREAKING: The EU’s chief negotiator has told MEPs that negotiations on a post-Brexit deal could continue until Wednesday but no further.

2/ According to sources present, Michel Barnier also warned the UK that a deal would not be approved by member states if it pressed ahead with passing the Internal Market and the Finance Bills into law.

3/ He told the European Parliament’s Brexit coordination committee this morning that US President Elect Joe Biden was also “sensitive” to any impact of UK law on the Good Friday Agreement.

4/ Mr Barnier told MEPs the talks were in the “endgame” and that there would have to be a decision on whether or not there was to be an agreement by Thursday.

5/ He said if there was no deal then the European Commission would be ready “to react immediately” with contingency plans, according to sources present.
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Ian Dunt
Ian Dunt
@IanDunt
Commons debate of the Brexit deal kicks off in a bit and lasts until 2:30pm, when it goes off to the Lords. You can follow here.

I'm going to tweet along to the Commons bit because fuck it, what else is there to do. Just to eat and drink and be merry and relaxed, and why would anyone want to do something like that.

In the mean time, I strongly recommend this blog by @Brigid_Fowler of the Hansard Society

"Parliament’s role around the end of the Brexit transition and conclusion of the EU future relationship treaty is a constitutional failure to properly scrutinise the executive and the law."

The great irony at the heart of it all. This entire process was done to give parliament control. In reality, it is spending much less time scrutinising constitutional changes than when we were in the EU.
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Dmitry Grozoubinski
Dmitry Grozoubinski
@DmitryOpines
1/ A challenge in parsing Brexit news is that businesses are facing overlapping types of challenges that can be difficult to separate.

The key questions are:
1⃣ Given the model of Brexit chosen, could this have been prevented, and by whom?
2⃣ Can it get better?


2/ To put those another way:

"If you knew everything you needed to know and did everything right, is your existing business and delivery model still viable and competitive?"

The answer to that question determines if for you the problem is Brexit, or how Brexit was delivered.

3/ Some of the challenges at borders could have been prevented while still having the exact same model of Brexit (No Single Market, No Customs Union, but an FTA).

That they're appearing is an implementation failure and you can fully support Brexit but still be pissed about them.

4/ Examples include:

1) Government guidance and IT systems being ready earlier and/or easier to navigate;

2) More support for businesses, and more affordable bespoke help;

3) More time to prepare and better government communication about what preparation actually requires.

5/ This thread you've all seen from Daniel Lambert the wine merchant (primarily) deals with problems in this category.

There's no policy reason he can't export his product, but the procedures are a nightmare to navigate and he's badly under-supported.
BREXIT
Nick Reeves 3.5% #FBPE
Nick Reeves 3.5% #FBPE
@nickreeves9876
1/ Brexit politics is built on fear. Frightened people tend to seek security in the tribe. Once that tribe might have been the Labour movement, but now in a fragmented post-industrial society it is the nation. Tribal identification is emotional, not rational.


2/ A tribe that feels under threat wants to control its borders, and who enters into its territory. It demands loyalty and solidarity, and its prime virtue is self-sacrifice - economic arguments won't persuade tribalists. Its members want to feel it is strong and powerful.

3/ Tribalism at a time of crisis is intolerant of dissent. The tribe must pull together against its enemies. Dissent and questioning cause division and disrupt the collective effort. Criticism is seen as treason. The Brexit right have ruthlessly exploited tribal psychology.


4/ To understand Brexit politics it is necessary to understand that the working and middle classes are dead as coherent political forces and that frightened and insecure people are now clinging to the only available powerful tribe, the nation-tribe.

5/ The Brexit right understands and ruthlessly exploits basic social emotions. In contrast the centre and centre-left mostly can see no further than the blinkered logic of rational individualism, from which perspective everything else is irrational and incomprehensible.
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