BC BREXIT
Saved by @CodyyyGardner

[thread] I would be able to move on from brexit if......

 We had been told the UK holds some cards and not all of them
That it would be a difficult deal and not the easiest deal in history
That we would have liabilities to pay and these would be a substantial amount and that they are not zero and they do not buy us a trade deal
That we do not have "many solutions" to the NI border and that at the last having exhausted drones, blimps, random country examples that don't solve it and oh yes unspecified technology instead a border in the Irish Sea that no unionist can support is the answer
That far from cutting red tape this will introduce more red tape
That services will not gain access to the EU single market and they will be overlooked
That fish will be used to barter away for a deal
That we need them more than they need us
That when you say you have a plan that you can actually present evidence of its existence
That you don't cheat
That you don't lie
That you don't peddle simplist fantasy
That you don't use EU citizens as bargaining chips
That you don't say that from September 2016 we will negotiate new free trade deals with countries to be ready to sign in <2 years
That you don't lie about a dividend about a number that in itself is a lie
That you admit there will be economic damage but that you will try to take steps to minimise it
That rather than say there is no risk to sterling you admit the pound needs a correction anyway (to explain away Sterling moves after 23/6)
That you don't peddle racism, xenophobia and islamophobia fostering an atmosphere of hatred and fear that culminated in the murder of an MP
That you respect electoral law rather than sending emails scheming how to circumvent it
That you don't call the EU the 4th reich or EUSSR or any other fucked up conspiracy bullshit e.g. Kalergi conspiracy
That you don't threaten to starve the Irish, invade Spain, invade France
That you don't use EU citizens as bargaining chips
That you are able to rebut experts rather than insult and demonise experts with ad hominem insults
That you didn't invent the ridiculous brexit means brexit slogan to roll on a con
That you didn't invent the dangerous no deal is better than a bad deal without quantifying what a bad deal is or a no deal is
That you don't lie to the Queen to unlawfully prorogue Parliament
That you don't vote to break the law
That you don't call the french turds, employ nazi jibes or any other numbers of insulting words used to feed an atmosphere of hatred towards neighbours
Quite simply

I want you to be able to hold your held up high as you win

As Margaret Thatcher puts it

"The manner of winning is a matter of honour."
And at the last

You have nothing except empty hollow platitudes of "sea of opportunity", "seize the opportunity" , "move on" , "our friends and neighbours"

That really is lowering the barrel even further
https://t.co/RtUN38M8rb
@threadreaderapp unroll

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[thread]

Can I be the first to congratulate Boris Johnson

On getting a "British shaped deal"

On a "gold standard" trade deal

On making the UK "mightily prosper"

/joking

He won't

But he will sell it as such

And that is all that matters
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[thread]

On the UK "will not hesitate" to tighten border

For the record

Months the UK "hesitated"

January 2020
February 2020
March 2020
April 2020
May 2020
June 2020
July 2020
August 2020
September 2020
October 2020
November 2020
December 2020
January 2021
February 2021

Priti Patel

Is eager to divulge internal debate held in cabinet to bolster her reputation & get a boost for Tory leadership post Boris

“On ‘should we have closed our borders earlier?’ the answer is yes, I was an advocate [of] closing them last

So this is going to be a really simple thread

I have a larger thread on Priti Patel

Which we will come to at the last

But I want to focus on

“On ‘should we have closed our borders earlier?’ the answer is yes, I was an advocate [of] closing them last March.”

So I would ask of Priti

What evidence did you have that informed your advocacy?

Did you have (to borrow a phrase) an "absolute burden of proof"?

Was it just a hunch or belief?

Were you trying to "do-good" so to
SOCIETY
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[THREAD]

This is good news

The securing of British jobs

Is good news

Though to secure them

It admits two things

1. They were under threat
2. Something was done to address that
GOVERNMENT
ScottishPanda
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[thread]

Let's unpack this


"Since Brussels is convinced"

I like that

Personalise it to Brussels

Not 27 EU nations, our friends, neighbours

"convinced that leaving is an unprecedented act of self-harm"

it has been an act of self-harm

see the damage so far

see why no deal has to be sold as an Australia style deal

see why it has to be hidden within the "massive success" of covid

"it could be proved right"

See UK government forecasts

Not a single one positive

See Liz Truss - unable to explain how any trade deal will make us better off

But not to worry we will "mightily prosper"

"I don't see why they want to crib and confine the UK"

The UK is asking for a deal

The EU will offer one

If the UK doesn't like it well perhaps you should have thought of that before selling simplist fantasy bullshit to lie to voters
EU &AMP; UK
ScottishPanda
ScottishPanda
@PandaScottish
[thread]

I am going to do a thread on several numbers

1

2,996

4,494

43,730

106,158

Now

We go back into the dim and distant past in British politics

We go back over 2 decades

A lesson from the past

Now I am going to focus on the words of two politicians

Two politicians who have held high offices in this land

And I am going to agree with their words

So those with a long memory

May have already figured out perhaps what I am going to do based on the first two numbers

And you'd be right

So let me get going on the journey

In my first post

I deliberately anonymised those numbers

Let me now give them context

1 Princess Diana or Margaret

2,996 9/11

The final 3 are UK coronavirus death tolls:

4,494 (5th April 2020)

43,730 (30th June 2020)

106,158 (1st February 2021)
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AZ an extra three months to sort out manufacturing and supply problems relating to the UK contract (there were plenty of problems). Here is the important timeline. In May AZ reached agreement with Oxford and the UK government to make and supply the vaccine. In fact Oxford...

had already started work on the supply chain. The following month AZ reached a preliminary agreement with Germany, the Netherlands, France and Italy, a group known as the Inclusive Vaccine Alliance, based on the agreement with the UK. The announcement was 13 June. BUT the EU...

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Allegro MicroSystems Europe, semiconductors and ICs, owned by Sanken Denki, now importing into EU via Netherlands rather than UK. Amano Enzyme Europe transferred EU stock to warehouse in EU 2/13

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Amid all the announcements today, it's easy to overlook that the OBR has updated its scenario on a no-deal Brexit. It exposes an undeniably hard reality for the Govt that claims that the UK would "prosper mightily" under no-deal next year.

(Short thread)

1. Key chart: a no-deal/WTO/Australia-style Brexit would delay the point at which econ output regains its pre-virus peak by "almost a year to the third quarter of 2023."

In the upside scenario, this cross-over point could be at the start of 2022; in the downside, in 2025. Grim.


2. Next year, a no deal Brexit would reduce real GDP by around a further 2% - as a result of immediate disruption to the border and uncertainty facing businesses. That's on top of the Covid-related contraction.


3. While there's some short-term border disruption, most of the costs come in the medium term: from lost employment; productivity losses; lower business investment.

Exactly the opposite of what the Chancellor said to @AndrewMarr9 on Sunday.

4. Underneath these numbers, output would fall *below* the Covid levels for several key sectors: Manufacturing, professional services, financial services, retail, energy.

All trade intensive sectors that have been spared the same drop in output as the non-tradables this year.
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In fact a long running joke in our 'group' is that Brexit will be a roaring success, if we all just believe hard it will be a roaring success.

2. The last couple of weeks have made it clearer than ever that blind belief that is impervious to evidence and facts is not a leave/remain thing. It's a human thing

3. I was accused of lying and hounding a 'vulnerable' person off Twitter. When the victims of that 'vulnerable' got the same treatment, it became necessary to take action.

4. So I gathered evidence (not all, but enough) and wrote a blog with contributions from several others. Then the blog was checked by experts to ensure that it was neither libellous (to protect authors) or a risk to any possible legal action (to protect victims).

5. I naively thought that would put an end to the false accusations and trolling.
Since publishing I've been accused of having called the "vulnerable' person and threatened members of their family, forcing them to confess to the police
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