BC BITCOIN
Saved by @Shubham51ngh

For those who were trading in 2017 or earlier bull markets this may be obvious, but these kinds of corrections are typically driven by overleveraged longs, not whales dumping on you. That hasn’t started yet. Let me break down why it happens and why it is worse on the weekends.

 I should probably have data to back this up, but I haven’t kept up to date with the latest trading data so much of this is based on intuition and experience trading through 2016-2018. If you have data that invalidates this please provide it, happy to be wrong here!
Firstly in an early bull market you have some OG holders taking profit around previous ATH, they have “learned their lesson” and are trying to not get rekt like last time. Once they finish taking some profits or hedging they are riding this up to multiples of previous ATH.
For example I sold around 5-10% of my ETH into stables between $500-$1200, over $1,200 you would need to claw it out of my cold dead hands before we hit $3k. If we don’t get there this cycle (we will) then I will just keep holding. I know a lot of people who did the same.
The problem with this is that the new money coming in and pushing the price up is highly leveraged, and the people with the most conviction are mainly holding and so while they might buy some dips they probably don’t have the dry powder to soak up huge liquidated positions.
That is why you get these very sharp corrections in a bull market, it is not people who held for years suddenly capitulating in a directional bull market, it is just longs being liquidated or delevered.
The most interesting thing about this BTC movement is that it appears to have been kicked off by institutional buying. If that is true what we can guess is they are not buying with leverage, and they are convicted enough they are not unwinding a position based on a -5% move.
That is why all of these deleveraging events keep getting bought up, but @fintechfrank is right, tomorrow (if we don’t bounce by then) will be a big test of that theory. If this dip is bought up Monday morning US time that would be strong evidence in favour.
Many of you remember this gem of a tweet: https://t.co/wpKpYWxlBp the question is why was I so wrong? Mainly because I kind of gave up on the institutions are coming narrative in 2018.
If institutions have actually arrived, we should see lower volatility during weekdays and high volatility on the weekends which over the last few weeks has started to become a pattern.
There is also a chance there is some unexplained magical process going on that lags the halvening by like six months that causes BTC to rally massively. I was never 100% convinced of this, but I mean three times now…
I’m confident the DeFi rally of summer 2020 would have picked up steam again this year without a massive BTC rally adding tailwinds, but this is obviously hugely helpful to both ETH and DeFi generally.
The key takeaway here is that if you are a new entrant to the market or you have been here for a while don’t be spooked by a -10% daily candle. While we all carry a little PTSD from late the 2018 capitulation it is important not to overreact to intraday moves, or even intraweek.
Make sure you are neither over-leveraged or over-exposed so you can comfortably ride out a few volatile days!

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@thebitcoinrabbi
Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System

Satoshi Nakamoto
[email protected]
https://t.co/G8BUvnF9nT

Abstract. A purely peer-to-peer version of electronic cash would allow online payments to be sent directly from one party to another without going through a financial

institution. Digital signatures provide part of the solution, but the main benefits are lost if a trusted third party is still required to prevent double-spending. We propose a solution to the double-spending problem using a peer-to-peer network. The network timestamps

transactions by hashing them into an ongoing chain of hash-based proof-of-work, forming a record that cannot be changed without redoing the proof-of-work. The longest chain not only serves as proof of the sequence of events witnessed, but proof that it came

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David Puell
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$BTC: Two Bitcoin FUDs to address this Thanksgiving weekend:

1. China PlusToken FUD: Old news. Please see linked thread.

2. U.S. Treasury FUD: Read thread below...


1/ These news are much more relevant, as they imply severe trade-offs for people who want to keep their bitcoins undoxxed, with the cost and risks of doing so. I would not disqualify the tweet as mere FUD in the sense that what he posted is false. It should be taken seriously.

2/ For all we know, his decision of making it public before TG weekend may come out of the urgency of informing CT of a poignant anti-Bitcoin move by a Trump administration trying to cut lose ends before leaving office—not just "price manipulation" as I've seen suggested around.

3/ It implies the acceleration of a process already planned for for months in advance, not something he just came up with to "crash the market."

4/ In practicality, assuming this passes, it will have two major consencuences:

a. Armstrong's analysis is correct. And I would go further in saying, this regulation would leave the U.S. severely handicapped to continue to be the leader in the cryptocurrency industry worldwide.
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1/ If, like me, you've been looking at #Bitcoin over the last few years with interest, but you have never really decided which side of the fence you sit on, this thread might be good for you.

This isn't another opinion piece on #Bitcoin , in-fact, it's exactly the opposite. 👇🏼

This thread is a list of resources I have found to be useful and insightful when it comes to understanding the pros and cons of #Bitcoin .

Below, you'll find knowledgeable people 👩🏽‍💻, articles/essays 📝, podcasts 🎧 and videos 📹 about #Bitcoin . Enjoy!

/2 People 👩🏽‍💻

These individuals are valuable to listen to, whilst they are bullish, they justify their stance:

@RaoulGMI
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A video library of interviews from various Bitcoin enthusiasts. 👇🏼

https://t.co/CJJvHavSOn

A great guide for new investors to Bitcoin. 👇🏼

https://t.co/fOoSfTlWr5

A portal for people to go from zero knowledge to intermediate level.

/4 Tweet threads 🐦

A great thread on rebuttals from common #Bitcoin queries/criticisms. 👇🏼

https://t.co/tPEpFMMPhH

Why companies are starting to put BTC on the balance sheet. 👇🏼

https://t.co/lL71M1A3NF

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Simon Lelieveldt
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Ok, so what is the significance of the @lagarde statement on bitcoin?

We were offered a very open insight (but slightly flawed analysis) into top level policy perspective behind the crack down on selfhosted wallets.

https://t.co/1LTzrxHbgs 1/32


'It is a speculative asset, by any account. If you look at the price movements... '

It starts with an economic price perspective and we can learn that ECB is closely monitoring this price movement as one of the many indicators.

So we are in the classic central bank frame 2/32

'Those who thought it would turn into a currency. Sorry, it is an asset not a currency.'

Here she summarises a classic debate on what is currency and what is needed for that. Based on the holy three: unit of account, means of payment, store of value. 3/32

The summary is classic, but too narrow and does not incorporate the wider financial history viewpoints on money, currencies and the way we pay. 4/32

ECB overlooks the de facto unit of account role of bitcoin, having been used to 200 years of having cash around whic is both the unit of account and a means of payment. 5/32
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Timothy Peterson
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1/ Thread explains the rationale for $GBTC over #bitcoin. (Speaking from experience, but not necessarily an endorsement of GBTC):

2/ $GBTC fills a need and is designed to permit exposure to #bitcoin for professional, registered investment advisors in the US. Money managers have unique circumstances compared to individual investors.

3/ #Imagine you are an investment mgr with 250 client accounts (an average-sized separate account manager would have 400). Owning #bitcoin means setting up another 250 accounts - major work with not a lot of reward. If you want to rebalance (stocks/bonds/bitcoin)...

4/ you have 250 transfers to make. Doubles admin workload, makes operational life very complicated. Lots of work for a 5-10% allocation (or less!) to $BTC.

5/ Client reporting is a nightmare. 2 sets of custodian statements not easily combined... A typical client already has 3 accounts, now it is 6 accounts & 6 statements, and there are few software feeds to consolidate data from #crypto exchanges into traditional portfolio reports.
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Switch from WhatsApp to Signal and enable disappearing messages. Most of us cannot stop using WhatsApp entirely but at least turn off back ups to Google Drive or iCloud. 2/n

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