First, we have to realize that all of Trumps lawsuits aren’t actually claiming fraud. He’s trying overturn the elections in court through technicalities within mail-in voting because he knows that he lost the mail in votes by an extensive margin.
On election night, Trump tried to prematurely claim victory due to the fact that most states counted in person ballots first, then early and then mail in. Trump knew this and was trying to make it seem that the results on election night represented the country as a whole /2
when it really just represented those who voted in person on Election Day, which tends to favor republicans heavily. Trump knew this would happen and knew that his numbers would dwindle throughout the next few days when mail-in and early ballots would begin to be counted. /3
Nearly all counting, opening, and scanning rooms had cameras available to the public. His few claims of fraud are based on little video evidence but rather what people say. Which would be trustworthy, if they claimed fraud in court, which they don’t. He has used all of these /4
hearings and affidavits to turn to state legislators rather the courts because in court these people are under the penalty of perjury. So ultimately, this was just a big ploy by Trump to overturn the election in a way that would smear the public’s trust in the election process /5
the country he is so obsessed with protecting from the “radical left”. His lawsuits will go nowhere, most legislators don’t believe him, and most sane Americans realize he’s a fraud.
But this begs the question, how did Biden actually win? /6
Other than the fact that Trump lost a large part of the Republican Party, including my former self, his stance on the police brutality cases and the protests, his lack of leadership with Covid, his lack of appreciation for the military, his smearing of John McCain and /7
General Mattis as well as many other things turned most Americans away from him. But the bigger thing that helped Biden win in all reality was mail in voting. The hard data doesn’t lie and there was a reason Trump wanted to disqualify and rally against mail in voting. /8
He knew from the beginning it would be his downfall, and would lead to a Biden victory. /9
So how did it help Biden? First we have to look at where a large number of mail in ballots came from extremely populated urban areas and highly populated lower income areas. These areas are often disenfranchised by the voting system, with limited polling places with extremely /10
large numbers of voters, predominantly black and Hispanic. Many people do not have the interest to vote when they have to spend the entire day waiting in line to vote. So when mail in voting was put in place it allowed a simpler method of voting for all those who had interest /11
in voting but didn’t have the time or access to stand in line 8 hours on Election Day to vote. This shift in mail in voting, which tends to favor democrats more heavily, swung in Biden’s favor in extremely large numbers, which one expected. However, Trump makes a fair point /12
when stating that he somehow managed to pull in more Hispanic and African American Voters this election than any other Republican candidate. However, volume is the key here. /13
Take this for example, normally 1 million people of color (African-American, Hispanics... etc) vote in a given state. This vote tends to favor democrats at around a 75%-25% split. So with one million votes, roughly 750,000 would go to Biden and 250,000 would go to Trump. /14
However, Trump managed to get more votes from this community and cut that split to 70%-30% which is somehow unbelievable but it happened. But when you calculate the increase in voters from 1 million to 2 million, Biden now gets 1.4 million votes while Trump only gets 600,000. /15
Now let’s say the rest of the state splits 40/60 in favor of republicans and there are 3 million other votes which equals to 1.2 million for Biden and 1.8 million for trump. Without mail in voting, Biden’s total with 1 million colored voters would be 1.95 million and trumps /16
would be 2.05 million. This would mean that Trump won that given state. However, with the increase in mail in votes from these urban areas, Biden would now get 2.6 million and Trump would get 2.4 million, and now Biden is the winner. When you look at the total electorate of a /17
state, and the other demographics don’t change as much, this change in the number of votes drastically changes the number of votes Biden gets in that given state. /18
The mail in votes undoubtably helped Biden win and is the reason that Trump is so against them. However, this allowed ALL people to have their voice heard without limitations and more accurately reflects the republic that is so important during these elections. /19
Understandably, Trump is mad at vote by mail and this is why he has called them fraudulent. But in reality, he is just sad because he lost. Thanks for coming to my TED Talk. Go vote in Georgia and turn Georgia blue. /Done
