Asian Paints took a bounce exactly from the level given on 21st October.

It has string resistance at 3200, so fresh up-move will be confirmed only when it opens above 3220-3230 levels

#ASIANPAINT
#DKBPositional https://t.co/Q6fTbK5VHM

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Starting the Beginner’s Pathway thread for Fundamental Investing.

One Chadarmod on timeline posted that I’m giving gyan without having experience or expertise.

So I’ll begin with paying my portfolio performance tribute to these charlies.

https://t.co/GNM5SsNFNo


Fundamentals based investing can generate serious wealth as the most famous (rather infamous) Warren Buffett has shown.

In India also we have many success stories like @VijayKedia1 @Raamdeo R K Damani Rakesh Jhunjhunwala Late Chandrakant Sampat and many many more....

Though I can't stop mentioning that both Rakesh Jhunjhunwala and R K Damani were traders in their initial days.

Rakesh Jhunjhunwala still trades, he once said Traing is fun, its le fatafat, de fatafat

A lot of people (specially the beginners) buy stocks based on some friend's recommendation : XYZ le le, pukka chalega, maine bhi le rakha hai.

Few might have made money this way, but most do not. Why ?

There has to be a process.

Fundamentals based investing need thorough analysis of the Business & Company.

Here is a preliminary checklist by the legendary investor Peter lynch
Bringing Data Science to Nifty Analysis. A small 🧵

As per Normal Distribution 68% of the time movement is with 1% SD Limits.

For 95% pf the times movement is within 2% SD limits.

And its only 0.3% of the times that movement exceeds 3 SD.


Since 95% covers a lot of ground that's why 2SD is considered to be a a safe range for most events.

The farther we move from the average, chances of occurrence go down. This is what Taleb sahab calls Tail risk, because it lies in the tail of the standard distribution curve.

Normal distribution occurs everywhere. See this


Bollinger Band, which is a very popular indicator has a setting of 2SD. Because its expected that 95% of the time moves will be confined to 2SD limits.

When we say that price is at upper/lower Bollinger band, we are saying that it has reached 2 SD limits and likely to reverse.

Now coming to current scenario, open Nifty daily chart and apply two bollinger Bands on it.

First with default setting and in second change settings to 3 standard deviation.

Crossing 3 SD boundary means that Nifty is now in very rare territory where it has been only 0.3%

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