IRCTC below 640 today !
Have no intention to enjoy the misery of fellow market participants but 'Maine Bola Tha' !
#ProfGyan - If a freak low gets made some day, Stocks/Indices always try to visit it at least once (seekh lo, mere mentorship course ka launch kuch pukka nahi hai) https://t.co/3B6e2nMx0y
Two prophecies about IRCTC:
— Professor (@DillikiBiili) May 1, 2022
1. It would touch 640 someday
2. It would get expelled from F&O https://t.co/qJ04hG0qFH pic.twitter.com/TPUBSQFW1y
More from Professor
Bringing Data Science to Nifty Analysis. A small 🧵
As per Normal Distribution 68% of the time movement is with 1% SD Limits.
For 95% pf the times movement is within 2% SD limits.
And its only 0.3% of the times that movement exceeds 3 SD.
Since 95% covers a lot of ground that's why 2SD is considered to be a a safe range for most events.
The farther we move from the average, chances of occurrence go down. This is what Taleb sahab calls Tail risk, because it lies in the tail of the standard distribution curve.
Normal distribution occurs everywhere. See this
Bollinger Band, which is a very popular indicator has a setting of 2SD. Because its expected that 95% of the time moves will be confined to 2SD limits.
When we say that price is at upper/lower Bollinger band, we are saying that it has reached 2 SD limits and likely to reverse.
Now coming to current scenario, open Nifty daily chart and apply two bollinger Bands on it.
First with default setting and in second change settings to 3 standard deviation.
Crossing 3 SD boundary means that Nifty is now in very rare territory where it has been only 0.3%
As per Normal Distribution 68% of the time movement is with 1% SD Limits.
For 95% pf the times movement is within 2% SD limits.
And its only 0.3% of the times that movement exceeds 3 SD.
Since 95% covers a lot of ground that's why 2SD is considered to be a a safe range for most events.
The farther we move from the average, chances of occurrence go down. This is what Taleb sahab calls Tail risk, because it lies in the tail of the standard distribution curve.
Normal distribution occurs everywhere. See this
The Galton Machine shows order from randomness. Each ball bounces left or right at random, 12 times, but together where they fall can be predicted - the normal distribution. This one made by: https://t.co/oI9wOGq7nG pic.twitter.com/VQtVu66OSE
— Tom Stafford (@tomstafford) April 19, 2018
Bollinger Band, which is a very popular indicator has a setting of 2SD. Because its expected that 95% of the time moves will be confined to 2SD limits.
When we say that price is at upper/lower Bollinger band, we are saying that it has reached 2 SD limits and likely to reverse.
Now coming to current scenario, open Nifty daily chart and apply two bollinger Bands on it.
First with default setting and in second change settings to 3 standard deviation.
Crossing 3 SD boundary means that Nifty is now in very rare territory where it has been only 0.3%
More from Screeners
Chartink Screeners Complete Compilation
Sharing 9 Screeners🧵
1. Swing Trading Techno Funda https://t.co/sV6e8XSFRK
2.Range Breakout
https://t.co/SNKEpGHNtv
3. Stocks in Tight Range :
https://t.co/MqDFMEfj82
Telegram Link : https://t.co/b4N4oPjqm9
Retweet and Share !
4.Stock Closing up 3% Since 3 days
https://t.co/vLGG9k3YKz
5. Close above 21 ema
https://t.co/fMZkgLczxR
6. Days Fall and Reversal
7. 52 WEEK high Stocks.
https://t.co/H6Z6IGMRwS
8. Intraday Stocks :https://t.co/JoXYRcogj7
9. Darvas Box
Sharing 9 Screeners🧵
1. Swing Trading Techno Funda https://t.co/sV6e8XSFRK
2.Range Breakout
https://t.co/SNKEpGHNtv
3. Stocks in Tight Range :
https://t.co/MqDFMEfj82
Telegram Link : https://t.co/b4N4oPjqm9
Retweet and Share !
4.Stock Closing up 3% Since 3 days
https://t.co/vLGG9k3YKz
5. Close above 21 ema
https://t.co/fMZkgLczxR
6. Days Fall and Reversal
7. 52 WEEK high Stocks.
https://t.co/H6Z6IGMRwS
8. Intraday Stocks :https://t.co/JoXYRcogj7
9. Darvas Box
Time for a new thread on the possibilities I am looking for.
Do read it completely to understand the stance and the plan.
1. The moving average structure - Many traders just look at the 200 ma test or closing above/below it regardless of its slope. Let's look at all the interactions with 200 ma where price met it for the first time after the trend change but with 200 ma slope against it
One can clearly sense that currently it is one of those scenarios only. I understand that I might get trolled for this, but an unbiased mind suggests that odds are highly against the bulls for making fresh investments.
But markets are good at giving surprises. What should be our stance if price kept on rising? Let's understand that through charts. The concept is still the same. Divergent 200 ma and price move results in 200 ma test atleast once which gives good investment opportunities.
2. Zig-Zag bear market- There are two types of fall in a bear market, the first one is vertical fall which usually ends with ending diagonals (falling wedges) and the second one is zig zag one which usually ends with parabolic down moves.
Do read it completely to understand the stance and the plan.
This thread will present a highly probable scenario of markets for the upcoming months. Will update the scenario too if there is a significant change in view in between.
— Aakash Gangwar (@akashgngwr823) May 15, 2022
1/n https://t.co/jfWOyEgZyd
1. The moving average structure - Many traders just look at the 200 ma test or closing above/below it regardless of its slope. Let's look at all the interactions with 200 ma where price met it for the first time after the trend change but with 200 ma slope against it
One can clearly sense that currently it is one of those scenarios only. I understand that I might get trolled for this, but an unbiased mind suggests that odds are highly against the bulls for making fresh investments.
But markets are good at giving surprises. What should be our stance if price kept on rising? Let's understand that through charts. The concept is still the same. Divergent 200 ma and price move results in 200 ma test atleast once which gives good investment opportunities.
2. Zig-Zag bear market- There are two types of fall in a bear market, the first one is vertical fall which usually ends with ending diagonals (falling wedges) and the second one is zig zag one which usually ends with parabolic down moves.
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