๐—›๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต ๐—™๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐Ÿ’ก

A backtested ๐—ฏ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ต trading strategy ๐Ÿ“ˆ ๐Ÿ“Š

Thread ahead ๐Ÿงต

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โญ ๐—ช๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ด๐˜†?

๐Ÿ”ธ We buy a basket of 5 stocks every Monday and sell them all on Friday.

๐Ÿ”ธ Yes, it's that simple.
โญ ๐—ช๐—ต๐˜† ๐—ฑ๐—ผ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐˜ ๐˜„๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ธ?

๐Ÿ”ธ Stocks in general keep going up & down, no rocket science there.

๐Ÿ”ธ But, interestingly some stocks when they go down considerably, they bounce back to some extent.

๐Ÿ”ธ This model tries to profit from such up moves through a basket of stocks
โญ ๐—˜๐˜…๐—ฎ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—น๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—น๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธโ€™๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐˜€
โญ ๐—›๐˜†๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜€:

๐Ÿ”ธ Universe - NSE500

1๏ธโƒฃ Create a basket of stocks that have the lowest returns in the past.

2๏ธโƒฃ Filter the stocks based on turnover to check for liquidity.

3๏ธโƒฃ Select stocks with the best odds to go up.
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐—˜๐—ป๐˜๐—ฟ๐˜† - Enter anytime during the day on Monday or the first trading day of the week

๐Ÿ”ธ ๐—˜๐˜…๐—ถ๐˜ - Exit anytime during the day on Friday.
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฝ ๐—Ÿ๐—ผ๐˜€๐˜€ - There is no stop loss in this strategy & being a basket strategy with a weekly holding, it offers stable returns with limited downside.
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐—ฃ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ ๐— ๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐˜€
๐—ช๐—ต๐˜† ๐—ฑ๐—ผ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐˜ ๐˜„๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ธ?

๐Ÿ”ธ Stocks are known to mean revert, meaning if a stock goes down, it tends to move upwards again, this model tries to capture that reversion.

๐Ÿ”ธ This phenomenon is more common and profitable in NIFTY 500 stocks when you have an upward bias.
โญ ๐—ช๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ป ๐—ฑ๐—ผ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐˜ ๐˜„๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ธ ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜?

๐Ÿ”ธ Works well when the stocks correct for a couple of days to weeks and bounce off from their lows.
โญ ๐—ช๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ป ๐—ฑ๐—ผ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐˜ ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜ ๐˜„๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ธ?

๐Ÿ”ธ In a secular bull market when most of the stocks are in an uptrend with minor or no corrections and in the sideways market, as there won't be any stocks that pass through the model criteria, that's very rare though.
โญ ๐—œ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐˜ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—บ๐—ฒ?

๐Ÿ”ธ If you have some funds to allocate to a positional model & can take time out just once a week to rebalance the stocks. Then, this is an ideal strategy for you.
โญ ๐—œ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜๐—ฒ

๐Ÿ”ธ Being a positional strategy, it has limited risk and offers a consistent return profile.
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—พ๐˜‚๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€
If you liked this quantitative model and want to see it in action check out the link for our Early Access Program in the bio!๐Ÿ”ฅ

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I like this heuristic, and have a few which are similar in intent to it:


Hiring efficiency:

How long does it take, measured from initial expression of interest through offer of employment signed, for a typical candidate cold inbounding to the company?

What is the *theoretical minimum* for *any* candidate?

How long does it take, as a developer newly hired at the company:

* To get a fully credentialed machine issued to you
* To get a fully functional development environment on that machine which could push code to production immediately
* To solo ship one material quanta of work

How long does it take, from first idea floated to "It's on the Internet", to create a piece of marketing collateral.

(For bonus points: break down by ambitiousness / form factor.)

How many people have to say yes to do something which is clearly worth doing which costs $5,000 / $15,000 / $250,000 and has never been done before.