Long-term thoughts about the #crypto market

Get ready to get into a VERY long thread, full of charts.

Popcorns ready? Let's start!

1/n

In this thread I will try to put together most of the reasons that make me think that we are not yet close to a top in the market, but rather that there is still the best part...

2/n
First of all, let's talk about #Bitcoin. Bitcoin is still the king, although it is losing dominance lately due to the altseason.

In my opinion, it still has a lot of room to rise in terms of price (not so much in terms of time)

3/n
1) Bitcoin Investor Tool

As you can see, this indicator marks the cycle tops very well. However, these do not happen when it crosses the red average, but after a parabolic movement above it. At the moment it is not even above this MA.

4/n
2) 200W MA Heatmap

No red dots yet visible. I'd say we're halfway. An analysis cannot be based on a single indicator, but it all adds up.

5/n
3) Puell Multiple

Another very good indicator to know where we are in the cycle. All cycle tops have occurred in the red zone, but as with the first indicator, they happen rather when it leaves the red zone.

6/n
4) Stock-to-Flow Model

Many of you will know this model, and it is really good. Assuming a constant or increasing demand in the long term, and an increasingly reduced supply, the price tends to rise.

7/n
By fractals, there is still the most parabolic part of the move, which could reach up to $900k-$1M in a few months.

Sounds good, right?

8/n
5) Bitcoin Logarithmic Growth Curves

Another indicator that has a margin of going up, like the previous ones. Currently the top of the logarithmic curve is above 100k, so nothing indicates that the top will be now.

9/n
6) MVRV Z-Score

I really like this one. Similar to the Puell Multiple, cycle tops usually happens when it crosses the red zone. Not there yet!

10/n
7) RHODL Ratio

This is an awesome indicator. It marks both bottoms and tops perfectly. As you can see, it can also go higher.

11/n
8) All Exchanges Reserve (Bitcoin)

When Bitcoin reserves in exchanges wallets drop, the price tends to increase. This can mean that strong hands are accumulating, which is confirmed in the following tweet (outflows)

12/n
9) Coinbase Pro Outflows

Whenever there have been big outflows on this exchange, the price has had big pumps in the following days.

These outflows are usually followed by news such as MicroStrategy, Grayscale or Tesla buying $BTC (OTC deals) The amounts match.

13/n
10) Bitcoin Velocity

Each top is usually marked by a divergence of this indicator with the price. There is no divergence yet.

14/n
11) Bitcoin Open Interest

It shows that we are in a very strong trend. Open interest going up and price going up, and during the shakeouts OI goes down. This is a very healthy trend, and I don't see any signs of weakness yet.

15/n
12) Funding + Premium

I read many people saying that funding is high, not only in Bitcoin, but also in altcoins. This is relative.

16/n
If we compare the current funding levels with those of the top of 2017, we see that they are low levels, taking into account that the price is three times higher. Also, the current trend is led by spot trading, and not by derivatives.

17/n
13) Printers going brrrrrrrrr

First Covid Stimulus had a big impact on the market. In fact, it marked the beginning of this bull cycle. After that, two new Stimulus have taken place.

18/n
We are also seeing a big increase in the supply of Tether (and other stablecoins), which is a clear bullish sign (more demand)

19/n
Now some $BTC technical analysis.

Bitcoin has broken out of an accumulation range of over 1000 days. This usually results in long extensions.
Currently, the increase over the previous ATH is only 200%.

20/n
$BTC Monthly RSI

https://t.co/odD5h45wsL

21/n
Ok, Bitcoin looks pretty bullish but... what about #altcoins? Here comes the interesting thing.

Let's summarize why I think many altcoins will continue to outperform BTC.

22/n
Altseason Schematic

A few months ago I made this schematic, which shows very well how an altseason is developed. This is dynamic and it may not quite fit reality, but it gives us a clear vision.

We are currently in phase 2 of the second altseason.

23/n
How long will this second phase last? If we analyze the dominance of Bitcoin, we can see that the key level is 48-50%

At this level the second phase could end, and there would be a bounce of the dominance. Consolidation below = third phase

24/n
In my opinion there will be a third phase, or at least a longer second phase. Why?

👇
$ETH / $BTC looks VERY good. Every time I see this chart I get goosebumps.

0.10 is inevitable, and a new ATH is very likely. With a new ATH, we could see ETH above BTC in the ranking for a few days.

26/n
$ETH/BTC vs. $LINK/BTC

These two trends are very similar and I would not be surprised if Ethereum repeats the cycle of LINK against Bitcoin.

27/n
Altcoins Market Cap

The most bullish chart you'll probably see these days.

After that accumulation range, extension could be huge.

28/n
Altcoins dominance (OTHERS.D)

It's confirming the break of the range high, which is very good for altcoins.

https://t.co/5RJ8fb8M36

29/n
DEFI PERP (DeFi Index)

This chart keeps looking very bullish to me.

https://t.co/dMXGGAB54o

30/n
Many individual charts look awesome against USD and also against BTC. I will post examples of coins that I'm currently holding, explaining why do they look bullish (only TA)

31/n
$NOIA / USD

As some of you know, this is one of my favourite projects.

Chart against USD is a perfect bullish trend. Not even a single sign of weakness. How long can this trend last? Only time will tell, but it will probably be epic.

$10-20 by EOY wouldn't be crazy

32/n
$NOIA / BTC

Massive accumulation range with potential parabolic extension.

33/n
$RSR / USD

Another very bullish altcoin. Solid trend as the previous one, with strong fundamentals.

Targeting $1+ this year

34/n
$RSR / BTC

Accumulation range + rounded formation, which could it very high.

35/n
$DOT / BTC

A S/R flip for the books. #Polkadot will keep performing very good imo, and it will be one of the majors with better perfomance in the coming months.

36/n
$XOR / ETH

This one will caught many people by surprise. Bullish on the entire #Sora Ecosystem ( $PSWAP, $VAL)

37/n
$PHA / BTC

Ascending triangle in one of the best projects being built in the Polkadot ecosystem.

38/n
$TRB / BTC

Bearish trend broken, re-entering the value zone with strength. A new uptrend is forming.

39/n
$EPAN / ETH

Perfect rounded formation with bullish confirmation.

40/n
$SAND / BTC

Hidden bullsih divergence formed on higher timeframes. One of my favourite NFT projects.

41/n
$LIT /BTC

Waiting for a reclaim of the range high. Project is very good so it should do it soon.

42/n
$ADA / BTC

Another major looking great against BTC.

43/n
These have been only some examples of good looking charts. There are a lot. Majors also look good against Bitcoin.

Bitcoin bullish and alts/btc bullish = altseason

Right?

44/n
Sources:

-@tradingview

-@cryptoquant_com

https://t.co/5TRVGWKg4v

Disclaimer: nothing posted here is a financial advice. Always do your own research before investing.

45/n
Final conclusions:

With all this, and some things that although I want to explain, they cannot be explained because they are intrinsic in the mind of an analyst, I can say that the best is yet to come.

46/n
My strategy will continue similar to that of recent months: HODL and DCA in strong projects

When there are REAL bearish signs, I will start DCAing out.

47/n
We are in the best place at the right time. What cryptocurrency defends goes beyond wanting a better financial situation. Holding cryptocurrencies is a first step to defend what is ours, to defend our rights and freedoms, which are under attack nowadays.

48/n
It means not depending on third parties. It means giving power back to the people. It means freedom.

I'm not bullish for a reason. I'm bullish for many reasons.

END

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Margatha Natarajar murthi - Uthirakosamangai temple near Ramanathapuram,TN
#ArudraDarisanam
Unique Natarajar made of emerlad is abt 6 feet tall.
It is always covered with sandal paste.Only on Thriuvadhirai Star in month Margazhi-Nataraja can be worshipped without sandal paste.


After removing the sandal paste,day long rituals & various abhishekam will be
https://t.co/e1Ye8DrNWb day Maragatha Nataraja sannandhi will be closed after anointing the murthi with fresh sandal paste.Maragatha Natarajar is covered with sandal paste throughout the year


as Emerald has scientific property of its molecules getting disturbed when exposed to light/water/sound.This is an ancient Shiva temple considered to be 3000 years old -believed to be where Bhagwan Shiva gave Veda gyaana to Parvati Devi.This temple has some stunning sculptures.
#தினம்_ஒரு_திருவாசகம்
தொல்லை இரும்பிறவிச் சூழும் தளை நீக்கி
அல்லல் அறுத்து ஆனந்தம் ஆக்கியதே – எல்லை
மருவா நெறியளிக்கும் வாதவூர் எங்கோன்
திருவாசகம் என்னும் தேன்

பொருள்:
1.எப்போது ஆரம்பித்தது என அறியப்படமுடியாத தொலை காலமாக (தொல்லை)

2. இருந்து வரும் (இரும்)


3.பிறவிப் பயணத்திலே ஆழ்த்துகின்ற (பிறவி சூழும்)

4.அறியாமையாகிய இடரை (தளை)

5.அகற்றி (நீக்கி),

6.அதன் விளைவால் சுகதுக்கமெனும் துயரங்கள் விலக (அல்லல் அறுத்து),

7.முழுநிறைவாய்த் தன்னுளே இறைவனை உணர்த்துவதே (ஆனந்த மாக்கியதே),

8.பிறந்து இறக்கும் காலவெளிகளில் (எல்லை)

9.பிணைக்காமல் (மருவா)

10.காக்கும் மெய்யறிவினைத் தருகின்ற (நெறியளிக்கும்),

11.என் தலைவனான மாணிக்க வாசகரின் (வாதவூரெங்கோன்)

12.திருவாசகம் எனும் தேன் (திருவா சகமென்னுந் தேன்)

முதல்வரி: பிறவி என்பது முன்வினை விதையால் முளைப்பதோர் பெருமரம். அந்த ‘முன்வினை’ எங்கு ஆரம்பித்தது எனச் சொல்ல இயலாது. ஆனால் ‘அறியாமை’ ஒன்றே ஆசைக்கும்,, அச்சத்துக்கும் காரணம் என்பதால், அவையே வினைகளை விளைவிப்பன என்பதால், தொடர்ந்து வரும் பிறவிகளுக்கு, ‘அறியாமையே’ காரணம்

அறியாமைக்கு ஆரம்பம் கிடையாது. நமக்கு ஒரு பொருளைப் பற்றிய அறிவு எப்போதிருந்து இல்லை? அதைச் சொல்ல முடியாது. அதனாலேதான் முதலடியில், ஆரம்பமில்லாத அஞ்ஞானத்தை பிறவிகளுக்குக் காரணமாகச் சொல்லியது. ஆனால் அறியாமை, அறிவின் எழுச்சியால், அப்போதே முடிந்து விடும்.
The best morning routine?

Starts the night before.

9 evening habits that make all the difference:

1. Write down tomorrow's 3:3:3 plan

• 3 hours on your most important project
• 3 shorter tasks
• 3 maintenance activities

Defining a "productive day" is crucial.

Or else you'll never be at peace (even with excellent output).

Learn more


2. End the workday with a shutdown ritual

Create a short shutdown ritual (hat-tip to Cal Newport). Close your laptop, plug in the charger, spend 2 minutes tidying your desk. Then say, "shutdown."

Separating your life and work is key.

3. Journal 1 beautiful life moment

Delicious tacos, presentation you crushed, a moment of inner peace. Write it down.

Gratitude programs a mindset of abundance.

4. Lay out clothes

Get exercise clothes ready for tomorrow. Upon waking up, jump rope for 2 mins. It will activate your mind + body.

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THE MEANING, SIGNIFICANCE AND HISTORY OF SWASTIK

The Swastik is a geometrical figure and an ancient religious icon. Swastik has been Sanatan Dharma’s symbol of auspiciousness – mangalya since time immemorial.


The name swastika comes from Sanskrit (Devanagari: स्वस्तिक, pronounced: swastik) &denotes “conducive to wellbeing or auspicious”.
The word Swastik has a definite etymological origin in Sanskrit. It is derived from the roots su – meaning “well or auspicious” & as meaning “being”.


"सु अस्ति येन तत स्वस्तिकं"
Swastik is de symbol through which everything auspicios occurs

Scholars believe word’s origin in Vedas,known as Swasti mantra;

"🕉स्वस्ति ना इन्द्रो वृधश्रवाहा
स्वस्ति ना पूषा विश्ववेदाहा
स्वस्तिनास्तरक्ष्यो अरिश्तनेमिही
स्वस्तिनो बृहस्पतिर्दधातु"


It translates to," O famed Indra, redeem us. O Pusha, the beholder of all knowledge, redeem us. Redeem us O Garudji, of limitless speed and O Bruhaspati, redeem us".

SWASTIK’s COSMIC ORIGIN

The Swastika represents the living creation in the whole Cosmos.


Hindu astronomers divide the ecliptic circle of cosmos in 27 divisions called
https://t.co/sLeuV1R2eQ this manner a cross forms in 4 directions in the celestial sky. At centre of this cross is Dhruva(Polestar). In a line from Dhruva, the stars known as Saptarishi can be observed.