Mollyycolllinss Categories For later read
So I have a theory on this. And if I'm right, there's bad news about that acceleration in the overall case trend, and possibly good news about vaccines in the over-80s. WARNING: This is going to be another long, maths-y thread (involving cubic coefficients this time!) https://t.co/EiszSAIL9t
— James Ward (@JamesWard73) January 29, 2021
This is one of those university / job interview 'order of magnitude' estimation problems. So feel free to disagree with any or all steps on my logic chain, and please explain why - it will help improve / refine (or falsify) the analysis.
So let's focus on the primary-school-age kids as that's where the effect is strongest. We have 3.5m 5-9 year-olds in England. I don't know how many were in school on 4th Jan - we know some regions (London / Kent etc.) didn't go back, and a lot of schools had INSET days etc
So I'm going to make a wild guess and say 40% were in school on that day. Better ideas (particularly if backed by data) very welcome. So that's about 1.4m children in school
Now ONS tells us that about 1.5% of that age group would test positive for coronavirus in early January. So that's about 20,000 kids with the virus heading into school.
Such “pseudo-cuneiform” text is known from some seals and charms, like these Lamaštu amulets (https://t.co/JBcbmybEmH & https://t.co/fByNIVOzF5). Presumably the intended viewers couldn't read cuneiform, so it didn't matter if the signs were nonsense. They still looked impressive!
Of course, such “pseudo-writing” is not restricted to cuneiform, but is found all over the world and for all writing systems. For a nice overview, see e.g. Houston 2018, “Writing that Isn’t: Pseudo-Scripts in Comparative View”, https://t.co/G0at5siAxS
In fact, some authors have suggested that “pseudo-texts are relatively rare in cuneiform” (Veldhuis, via Houston 2018) — of course excluding modern fake antiquities, which we already mentioned in a previous thread a few days ago:
Fact 20: Cuneiform tablets have been forged for ages! Ancient forgeries are often more difficult to identify, while modern fakes can sometimes be pretty clumsy. Here\u2019s a short thread on cuneiform forgery. #AdventCalendar pic.twitter.com/zPKSfCmNLQ
— Team Cuneiform (@cooleiform) December 20, 2020
Certainly they seem to be a lot harder to find than I expected! The few images above are pretty much all we found while researching (a.k.a. googling) material for this thread. I'm sure more are known in the literature, but my usually decent web search skills are failing me here.
Big changes in the food situation today.
More about that below.
This was my last
Tales from the Taiwan quarantine hotel, day 2 thread.
— Klaus Bardenhagen (@taiwanreporter) January 10, 2021
Not entirely unexpectedly, not a lot happened today.
Except for the food.
This is how it started the other day:https://t.co/akwi4oxskT
There is one spot in my room where I can catch some sunlight, so that's what I saw from today's nice blue-sky winter weather in Taipei. (Hey look, I can see a tree.)
While the balcony looks nice, I'm not able to access it, probably to contain my aerosols. So these were taken through the window that can be opened just enough to stretch out my hand.
On the positive side, there is a window and it can be opened. Neither is a given in qu. hotels.
Let me share with you the 4 most useless items during quarantine.
Presenting the color scheme of my world right now.
So yesterday I conducted a Poll to understand the views of my followers with respect to what capacity should women serve in, within the army. It gained more traction than I had thought. With hindsight I should have divided it into male and female. 1/n
Poll: Women in the Army Edition
— Tripura Sundari (@tripureshwari1) January 27, 2021
In what capacity should women be serving in the Army
Maybe next time.
So personally I am against women being in the army in any capacity. That is, they can be employed as civilians if needed, but not as military personnel. I would like to thank @fiercelyvirgo and @agnisrivatsa Sir for their inputs. 2/n
I will explain my stand via all the arguments of those who are for women participating in the army in varying capacity
Women can be in non-combat roles: Strictly speaking, non-combat roles have been created specifically for women. 3/n
Men in these so called non-combat roles do in fact get into combat when required. For similar pay, you are actually getting more out of a male nurse in the army than a female one.
4/n
Women are also physically strong, if they qualify, why not: Women are biologically stronger than men as evidenced by their ability to give birth and their longer life expectancy. Women are also less likely to be stupid , compared to men. 5/n