Quick thread on why I think EDM will finish better than most models and pundits predict
1) Pundits underestimate how much playing with “meh” players can drag down even the best in the league. McDavid having “meh” help from Jan 1 on effected his results until Nuge got there (1/

Nuge w/ 97 to start will be huge for 97
2) McDavid was on a rehabbed knee all year and looked slower/tired by the last couple months. Fresh and healthy this year
3) Drai having his own line with reasonably good player in Yamamoto and Kahun gives EDM a good 2nd line. (2/
4) I project 97’s line at 55% GF and Drais at 52% GF. There ‘s ~32 5v5 minutes per game won
5) Turris wasn’t good last 2 years in NSH, but I can’t come up with any way of seeing him replicate Sheahan’s 31%(!!!!) GF% last year. JP could be good help there (3/
Turris' line penciled in at 45% GF

6) Wingers like Ennis, Neal and Chiasson will be fine if not above their level and penciled in on 4th line, they’ll be good. I got the 4th line being close to 50% GF (4/
7) EDM won’t miss Klefbom as much as feared. Jones looks like the real deal. Klef’s Achilles’ heel has been defensive and I don’t think Jones is a down grade there much if at all with quicker feet. (5/
8) 7th and 8th Dmen (Russell-Bouchard) don’t scare me at all if they get pressed to play 3rd pair. 2nd pair is a different story, but D-depth is good (6/
9) Koskinen is criminally under rated. Top 15 goalie by many metrics last year. Back up goalie however…….and CAR poaching Forsberg hurts a bit too (7/
10) PP will still be all world. Won’t shoot 20% again (probably) but good PPs are good PPs for years (see WSH, TBY, and EDM since Gulutzan started coaching it 2 years ago) if players and coach don’t change and they haven’t. (8/
11) PK SV% will regress, but not as much as assumed. Players had said they played a similar system to SJS where they try to force shots from certain areas. SJS had worst 5v5 SV and best PK SV% in the league last year.. (9/
EDM was tied with SJS at .906. Teams will scheme around it and it will regress, but I don’t have it going down to league average of .865. .875 may be fair to assume. We’ll see. *crosses fingers* (10/
12) So I have EDM having a better 5v5 GF% than last year. Was 47.3% last year, I got them ~51.5% this year. I also have them with a very good (if not the best) Special Teams goal differential in the league again. (11/
Goal differential drives wins and they’ll have a better goal differential per game than last year when they had the best points percentage of all Canadian teams

I have them 1st/2nd/3rd in North Division.

Might miss if too many key injuries (like Koskinen/97/29)
(12/
Here hoping that the Good Gords are willing and the creek don't rise.

GOILERS!!!

*clapclap* (13/13)

More from For later read

1. The death of Silicon Valley, a thread

How did Silicon Valley die? It was killed by the internet. I will explain.

Yesterday, my friend IRL asked me "Where are good old days when techies were


2. In the "good old days" Silicon Valley was about understanding technology. Silicon, to be precise. These were people who had to understand quantum mechanics, who had to build the near-miraculous devices that we now take for granted, and they had to work

3. Now, I love libertarians, and I share much of their political philosophy. But you have to be socially naive to believe that it has a chance in a real society. In those days, Silicon Valley was not a real society. It was populated by people who understood quantum mechanics

4. Then came the microcomputer revolution. It was created by people who understood how to build computers. One borderline case was Steve Jobs. People claimed that Jobs was surrounded by a "reality distortion field" - that's how good he was at understanding people, not things

5. Still, the heroes of Silicon Valley were the engineers. The people who knew how to build things. Steve Jobs, for all his understanding of people, also had quite a good understanding of technology. He had a libertarian vibe, and so did Silicon Valley

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