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1/n] I think it's a very good decision to give this year's Peace Nobel to the World Food Programme.
Hunger is one of the world's biggest problems and the WFP ā one of the UN insitutions that works outstandingly well ā is making the world a better
2] The world has made a lot of progress against hunger. This is the decline of famine deaths over time.
The WFP helped to avert possible famines in southern Africa (1991ā92 & 2000ā01), Afghanistan (2001), and western Africa (2012).
[Our work on famines: https://t.co/Q73U6GE1Go]
3] But hunger remains a massive problem ā 11% of the world population are undernourished.
And after decades of progress the share of people that are undernourished has not fallen in recent years.
[@_HannahRitchie's work on hunger on @OurWorldInData: https://t.co/U9sMm9DoXc]
4] The WFP was long praised as an international organizations that achieves its objectives and does so cost-effectively.
At the top of the chart ā from this paper by Ranjit Lall:
https://t.co/Dig2b22Esg
His paper includes a very good discussion of why the WFP works so well.
5] Really lucky for the world to have such capable and dedicated people work in the UN's World Food Programme.
Great decision today! And huge congratulations to the team at the WFP!
Hunger is one of the world's biggest problems and the WFP ā one of the UN insitutions that works outstandingly well ā is making the world a better
2] The world has made a lot of progress against hunger. This is the decline of famine deaths over time.
The WFP helped to avert possible famines in southern Africa (1991ā92 & 2000ā01), Afghanistan (2001), and western Africa (2012).
[Our work on famines: https://t.co/Q73U6GE1Go]
3] But hunger remains a massive problem ā 11% of the world population are undernourished.
And after decades of progress the share of people that are undernourished has not fallen in recent years.
[@_HannahRitchie's work on hunger on @OurWorldInData: https://t.co/U9sMm9DoXc]
4] The WFP was long praised as an international organizations that achieves its objectives and does so cost-effectively.
At the top of the chart ā from this paper by Ranjit Lall:
https://t.co/Dig2b22Esg
His paper includes a very good discussion of why the WFP works so well.
5] Really lucky for the world to have such capable and dedicated people work in the UN's World Food Programme.
Great decision today! And huge congratulations to the team at the WFP!
1/9 Bitcoin has performed remarkably these past few weeks despite:
-Most of DeFi falling 50-80%
-CFTC charging BitMEX
-POTUS contracting Covid
-Delayed stimulus talks
-FCA announcing a derivative ban for retail
Why? Letās see what we can find on-chain
2/9 Bitcoinās Realized Cap has been steadily increasing just as it did before the 2017 bull market took off. If it continues as it did in 2017, 2021 should be an interesting year.
https://t.co/nqgX7vTMDV
3/9 Bitcoin MVRV, whilst more volatile this market cycle, is also is holding the same trajectory it did during the 2016/17 bull market
https://t.co/jadbn6nCOB
4/9 Looking at the supply of Bitcoin on exchanges is a good indication as to whether or not users are increasing trading activity, or increasing hodl activity. With supply reducing it looks like the tendency recently has been driven by hodlers
5/9 Despite the recent volatility, the number of Bitcoin whales continues to increase, indicating the growing number of large holders that have positive expectations for the future of Bitcoin
-Most of DeFi falling 50-80%
-CFTC charging BitMEX
-POTUS contracting Covid
-Delayed stimulus talks
-FCA announcing a derivative ban for retail
Why? Letās see what we can find on-chain
2/9 Bitcoinās Realized Cap has been steadily increasing just as it did before the 2017 bull market took off. If it continues as it did in 2017, 2021 should be an interesting year.
https://t.co/nqgX7vTMDV
3/9 Bitcoin MVRV, whilst more volatile this market cycle, is also is holding the same trajectory it did during the 2016/17 bull market
https://t.co/jadbn6nCOB
4/9 Looking at the supply of Bitcoin on exchanges is a good indication as to whether or not users are increasing trading activity, or increasing hodl activity. With supply reducing it looks like the tendency recently has been driven by hodlers
5/9 Despite the recent volatility, the number of Bitcoin whales continues to increase, indicating the growing number of large holders that have positive expectations for the future of Bitcoin
Excellent analysis! One of our biggest problems is that people think "democracy," all by itself, is a sufficient check on power. I frankly don't understand how anyone can still believe that, but of course they probably won't be taught otherwise in school.
The disturbing flip side of thinking democracy is a magic talisman against tyranny is the belief that democracy sanctifies power - the essence of majoritarianism. "They can't be dictators if we can vote them out of office!" is one of the most dangerous ideas in the world.
The restraints placed on power are MORE important than the process of choosing who gets to wield it. You would be more free under a tightly restrained hereditary monarch than in a "democracy" with totalitarian centralized power.
The human race learned, fairly recently, that elected government is the approach most likely to maximize liberty and human rights, but where on Earth did we get the notion that it's perfect and sufficient all by itself? The world is full of tyrannies that hold elections.
"Democracy" would be the worst of all worlds - tyranny by mob rule, with the oppressors claiming their every fancy was fully and completely sanctified because they won a vote, and why should we let a stubborn minority thwart The Will of the People?
I wrote about how Mike Lee is right about "democracy" https://t.co/1dKUae4TUe
— David Harsanyi (@davidharsanyi) October 9, 2020
The disturbing flip side of thinking democracy is a magic talisman against tyranny is the belief that democracy sanctifies power - the essence of majoritarianism. "They can't be dictators if we can vote them out of office!" is one of the most dangerous ideas in the world.
The restraints placed on power are MORE important than the process of choosing who gets to wield it. You would be more free under a tightly restrained hereditary monarch than in a "democracy" with totalitarian centralized power.
The human race learned, fairly recently, that elected government is the approach most likely to maximize liberty and human rights, but where on Earth did we get the notion that it's perfect and sufficient all by itself? The world is full of tyrannies that hold elections.
"Democracy" would be the worst of all worlds - tyranny by mob rule, with the oppressors claiming their every fancy was fully and completely sanctified because they won a vote, and why should we let a stubborn minority thwart The Will of the People?
People are already attacking Siegel as a 'Fox News guy'.
See...this is why I don't believe the Left really believes in science either...just their narrative.
Siegel does work for Fox, but is a Professor at NYU, FACP, etc.
But liberals are going to dismiss him...why?
If your first response is to dismiss someone because of their political or media affiliation...maybe consider that it is YOU that is the biased one.
Just saying.
Siegel may do a good job, or bad job (like Sanjay Gupta, who has done a good job in the past, but been awful of late). But he is a good physician. Just dismissing him without evidence is exactly the kind of thing Trump would do.
If we were consistent, we'd demand Biden perform tests on air too.
Of course, Dems don't want to do that. So there is a ton of hypocrisy here.
See...this is why I don't believe the Left really believes in science either...just their narrative.
Siegel does work for Fox, but is a Professor at NYU, FACP, etc.
But liberals are going to dismiss him...why?
Fox News Dr. Marc Siegel Will Interview Trump, Conduct 'Medical Evaluation' On-Camera Friday Night https://t.co/iqOWU7ra4b
— Mediaite (@Mediaite) October 9, 2020
If your first response is to dismiss someone because of their political or media affiliation...maybe consider that it is YOU that is the biased one.
Just saying.
Siegel may do a good job, or bad job (like Sanjay Gupta, who has done a good job in the past, but been awful of late). But he is a good physician. Just dismissing him without evidence is exactly the kind of thing Trump would do.
If we were consistent, we'd demand Biden perform tests on air too.
Of course, Dems don't want to do that. So there is a ton of hypocrisy here.
Read this earlier. This is an excellent article.
In short, Sweden accepts that health care is ALWAYS ABOUT TRADE OFFS.
And they believe that harsh regulations will naturally have positive AND negative deleterious consequences...and intelligently, take both into account.
"Fans of Sweden are right to point out that, in the first phase of the disease, the government had a light touch...But that was not a particularly successful approach. Sweden has a fatality rate of around 60 per 100,000, ten times that of Finland and Norway, which did lock down."
"Swedesā freedom did not spare the economy, even though many deaths were among elderly people no longer working. Output in the second quarter alone shrank by 8.3%āalso worse than the other Nordic countries. A high caseload is bad for the economy."
"Swedenās new strategy for the second phase converges with Germanyās. Contrary to some claims, this is not dependent on herd immunity...entails rapid large-scale testing and contact-tracing so as to identify and suppress outbreaks early...accompanied by consistent [messaging]"
"Swedish policy is not libertarian, but that the government weighs up TRADE-OFFS of each restriction....when someone tests positive, their entire household must go into quarantine, but schoolchildren are exempt...gains are overwhelmed by the lasting harm to their education."
In short, Sweden accepts that health care is ALWAYS ABOUT TRADE OFFS.
And they believe that harsh regulations will naturally have positive AND negative deleterious consequences...and intelligently, take both into account.
"Sweden is a high-trust society, where people follow the rules. & yet its approach is based on the idea that, as covid-19 is here for a long time, asking too much of people will lower compliance and thus spread the disease."
— (((Howard Forman))) (@thehowie) October 9, 2020
BEST article on Sweden.
https://t.co/wXFKYjHjtP
"Fans of Sweden are right to point out that, in the first phase of the disease, the government had a light touch...But that was not a particularly successful approach. Sweden has a fatality rate of around 60 per 100,000, ten times that of Finland and Norway, which did lock down."
"Swedesā freedom did not spare the economy, even though many deaths were among elderly people no longer working. Output in the second quarter alone shrank by 8.3%āalso worse than the other Nordic countries. A high caseload is bad for the economy."
"Swedenās new strategy for the second phase converges with Germanyās. Contrary to some claims, this is not dependent on herd immunity...entails rapid large-scale testing and contact-tracing so as to identify and suppress outbreaks early...accompanied by consistent [messaging]"
"Swedish policy is not libertarian, but that the government weighs up TRADE-OFFS of each restriction....when someone tests positive, their entire household must go into quarantine, but schoolchildren are exempt...gains are overwhelmed by the lasting harm to their education."
It always enrages me how when white people engage in criminal activity, other white people look for the social or systemic reasons to āexplainā why a white person did a bad thing and why itās not really their fault.
Yet, these same individuals cast aspersions on the entire Black race when one Black person commits a crime. Thereās no systemic or social analysis for Black people, no. Instead they make crimes committed by Black people pathological, a virtue of our very Blackness.
Whiteness affords itself the privilege of individualism such that when white people commit crimes, the entire white race isnāt implicated. When a white person commits a crime, they āstrayed from their true nature.ā When a Black person commits a crime, āit is our true nature.ā
Thatās because in the white racial imagination, whiteness is a state of pure and unassailable innocence, and it can only be imagined as such if it casts Blackness in the role of pure and immutable evil.
This explains why laws and all other institutional rules, customs, traditions, and practices are applied differently based on raceānegatively impacting, stigmatizing, traumatizing, and killing Black people.
This is the home of Joseph Morrison, one of the Michigan men recently arrested for his plot to kidnap Gov. Gretchen Whitmer.
— Walker Bragman (@WalkerBragman) October 8, 2020
Can we acknowledge that maybe economic circumstances play a role in radicalizing people? pic.twitter.com/zCbNjaZ10B
Yet, these same individuals cast aspersions on the entire Black race when one Black person commits a crime. Thereās no systemic or social analysis for Black people, no. Instead they make crimes committed by Black people pathological, a virtue of our very Blackness.
Whiteness affords itself the privilege of individualism such that when white people commit crimes, the entire white race isnāt implicated. When a white person commits a crime, they āstrayed from their true nature.ā When a Black person commits a crime, āit is our true nature.ā
Thatās because in the white racial imagination, whiteness is a state of pure and unassailable innocence, and it can only be imagined as such if it casts Blackness in the role of pure and immutable evil.
This explains why laws and all other institutional rules, customs, traditions, and practices are applied differently based on raceānegatively impacting, stigmatizing, traumatizing, and killing Black people.
Itās not clear how Dr. Sean Conley has determined Trump will no longer need to isolate only 10 days after symptom onset.
Looks like the CDC Guidelines say Trump should be in the category that needs to isolate for 20 days after symptom onset.š
Plus ...
2. Fauci on Thursday used a (test-based) approach, in which case, per Fauci:
Trump needs to isolate for 10 days after symptoms RESOLVE (not symptoms onset) and then two negative tests.
Note: based on his coughing on Hannity last night, Trumpās symptoms havenāt resolved yet.
3. Hereās a longer quote from Fauci (via @MarionRenault):
https://t.co/oRdrtxQe80
4. Also noteworthy: on Hannity last night, Trump wouldnāt say heās tested negative.š
Thus failing one of the conditions required by Fauci for Trump to be considered no longer contagious.
5/5. This resource on coronavirus (UpToDate) has been specially made available to the public. It describes the test-based and non-test-based approaches.
Looks like the CDC Guidelines say Trump should be in the category that needs to isolate for 20 days after symptom onset.š
Plus ...
Severe COVID Pneumonia defined as low oxygen sats <94 % as confirmed by the President\u2019s chief of staff, in addition to other clinically consistent information: shortness of breath to name one.
— Vin Gupta \u201c\U0001f637!\u201d MD (@VinGuptaMD) October 9, 2020
That buys 20 days of isolation. At 74 with co-morbidities, \u2066@CDCgov\u2069 is right pic.twitter.com/fR3jc9jYQI
2. Fauci on Thursday used a (test-based) approach, in which case, per Fauci:
Trump needs to isolate for 10 days after symptoms RESOLVE (not symptoms onset) and then two negative tests.
Note: based on his coughing on Hannity last night, Trumpās symptoms havenāt resolved yet.
Dr. Fauci: "If the President goes 10 days w/o symptoms & they do the tests-then you could make the assumption, based on good science, that he is not infected. But you have to make sure you go through those particular benchmarks delineated in the CDC guidelines." #AMRstaff
— Andrea Mitchell (@mitchellreports) October 8, 2020
3. Hereās a longer quote from Fauci (via @MarionRenault):
https://t.co/oRdrtxQe80
4. Also noteworthy: on Hannity last night, Trump wouldnāt say heās tested negative.š
Thus failing one of the conditions required by Fauci for Trump to be considered no longer contagious.
Mark the date, we have reached the point where even Sean Hannity is asking Trump simple questions that the president can\u2019t or won\u2019t answer https://t.co/HgMpIsOCJn
— Mehdi Hasan (@mehdirhasan) October 9, 2020
5/5. This resource on coronavirus (UpToDate) has been specially made available to the public. It describes the test-based and non-test-based approaches.
