❗️[POTUS] UPDATE 🏰👑💥👀🌎🦅🌫
Hold the line for 30 days.
Several new entries below.
Donald Trump appears to be continuing to use military aircraft suggesting he is still de facto Commander in Chief.
Clarity emerges in two weeks.
Monkey Werx tracks where he thinks Trump is and why he thinks it. Trump still keeping military travel, wouldn’t if he weren’t still president.
More from Trump
I read part of the transcript of the Trump call.
— Eric Weinstein (@EricRWeinstein) January 4, 2021
The following strikes me.
A) Trump is a true political outsider & the only one to reach the Presidency with zero government experience.
B) There is an obvious open institutional conspiracy to prevent any outsider gaining power.
If you look at the situation from a predictive models perspective instead of the more rigorous and appropriate (under normal circumstances) "prove your case or gtfo" perspective, trusting the opposite of whatever the left side says has an AMAZING track record, as we know it.
Literally, the best heuristic most people have right now, in terms of how often it gets things right versus *completely* wrong, is "whatever CNN, the NYT, public health officials, and the Democrats said... yeah, the opposite." That is, they're wrong WAY outside of statistics.
They're also not just wrong. They're *completely* wrong, backwards, often transparently covering something up that they don't want known or refuse to believe. This isn't just a legitimation crisis because there's a heuristic: whatever the official left narrative is, is wrong.
There are a few reasons why such a heuristic would be more predictive than not. One of those is conspiracy, and another is mass hysteria with ideological capture. We know at least one of those is happening and have rather strong evidence both are. That makes conspiracy reasonable
Reporter's both-sides question:
"What was your role in what happened at the Capitol?
Proper question:
"Are you going to take responsibility for your role in inciting insurrection?"
Disgraced President Trump claims his speech was analyzed and people thought it was totally appropriate and MSNBC cuts away pic.twitter.com/sg5yIxWWBc
— Acyn Torabi (@Acyn) January 12, 2021
The press enabled the storming of the Capitol because they never held GOP accountable for pushing #TheBigLie that election was stolen
I have been yelling about this for months. Starting here where @TerryMoran got it right
But after press returned to form
ABC News on Trump's speech:
— Texan (@Texan_21C) November 4, 2020
"This isn't law... It's theater. Let's be blunt. It's the theater of authoritarianism"
"It's an attempt to end the election illegitimately to remain in power"#ABCNews #TerryMoran #Authoritarianism pic.twitter.com/t0pfZaReOz
Not long after Nov 4th press started both-sidesing again. Question Republicans were asked over & over was:
"Do u think Biden won?"
This enabled the coup
The proper question at minimum:
"Why are u enabling this charade? Why are u spreading
Media should shove a mic in every Republicans face & demand to know why they are going along with this charade!
— Texan (@Texan_21C) November 11, 2020
These, \u201cdo you think Biden won the election\u201d questions are weak bothsidesism that allowed a conman to become president
After repeatedly yelling that press wasn't demanding answers of GOP for spreading #TheBigLie I hoped this political violence on Dec 10th would finally get press to demand answers. But no. They continued to both-sides
Maybe political violence most likely inspired by Trump saying Dems are stealing the election will cause press to actually hold GOP accountable? Probably nothttps://t.co/1VZXCwuPc6
— Texan (@Texan_21C) December 11, 2020
I noted how impotent the American press was acting by treating #TheBigLie as credible. The press is supposed to hold people in power accountable, but beside @TerryMoran on election night, they by and large
Reminder that there was political violence 2 days ago bc the GOP is conning their supporters & actively engaging in a coup
— Texan (@Texan_21C) December 11, 2020
I am trying to come up with an analogy that fully captures how much American press is behaving as if it's impotent, during Americas 1st coup attempt!
Yes.. https://t.co/wntoQdyMZs
A lot of conversations today among Republican senators over move by @HawleyMO to challenge the certification of Biden\u2019s Electoral College victory. Small groups of Rs were huddling on & off the floor trying to game out the politics of what will happen Jan. 6
— John Bresnahan (@bresreports) January 1, 2021
2. to hedge off these threats will also create fissures & fractures for these incumbents among other elements of their party that could complicate their renominations. Indeed, what worries me the most about the potential for the country to slip into @anneapplebaum territory is
3. that what should be robust and intense push back from the party establishment against actually ending democracy- bc that's what Trump's request would do, if it was granted, is fairly muted. What we SHOULD be seeing from the mainstream of the party is threats to strip committee
4. assignments, chairs, privileges, even reelection funds, if anyone gets involved in this bullshit- in the House & the Senate, and the fact that you don't see it is more than a story of McConnell & McCarthy being afraid of Trump & his base. Its a story of receptivity, of the
5. level of receptivity the congressional and party leadership is dealing with both within the rank and file membership of the party and within its donor class, and THAT, my friends, is why you find me so concerned. That, and my decision to finally pull @anneapplebaum's book
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Covering one of the most unique set ups: Extended moves & Reversal plays
Time for a 🧵 to learn the above from @iManasArora
What qualifies for an extended move?
30-40% move in just 5-6 days is one example of extended move
How Manas used this info to book
The stock exploded & went up as much as 63% from my price.
— Manas Arora (@iManasArora) June 22, 2020
Closed my position entirely today!#BroTip pic.twitter.com/CRbQh3kvMM
Post that the plight of the
What an extended (away from averages) move looks like!!
— Manas Arora (@iManasArora) June 24, 2020
If you don't learn to sell into strength, be ready to give away the majority of your gains.#GLENMARK pic.twitter.com/5DsRTUaGO2
Example 2: Booking profits when the stock is extended from 10WMA
10WMA =
#HIKAL
— Manas Arora (@iManasArora) July 2, 2021
Closed remaining at 560
Reason: It is 40+% from 10wma. Super extended
Total revenue: 11R * 0.25 (size) = 2.75% on portfolio
Trade closed pic.twitter.com/YDDvhz8swT
Another hack to identify extended move in a stock:
Too many green days!
Read
When you see 15 green weeks in a row, that's the end of the move. *Extended*
— Manas Arora (@iManasArora) August 26, 2019
Simple price action analysis.#Seamecltd https://t.co/gR9xzgeb9K