Many traders have no consistency when sizing their positions.

The pros have this down to a science.

Here's my dead simple, 3-step guide to position sizing (and to outperforming 99% of other traders in the process):

Step 1:

Define how much of your account you're willing to risk per trade.

Personally, I never risk more than 1% of my account equity.

If I have $100,000 account, I will never risk more $1,000.

This ensures I will never blow up my account on one single trade.

There are successful traders who risk 2-3% of their account per trade, but I find it most calming to risk 1% or less.

The first step in this process is completely up to you - only you can dictate how much risk you can tolerate.

Step 2:

Look for entries & exits that are within 5% (preferably less) of each other.

This means if I buy a stock & have a 5% stop loss, I can put a 20% equity position on & still be risking 1% of my equity.

Your account will thank you w/ 20% in a stock that goes up 100%.

Step 3:

Position size using this formula:

Total equity (100%) / Trade Stop Loss %

So, if your stop loss is 4%, here's the math:

100% equity / 4% stop loss = 25% Equity Position Size

(assuming 1% equity risk).

Here's another hypothetical calculation:

1. Does the new trade deal deliver for the UK and the EU automotive sectors? I and other colleagues have been working tirelessly over Christmas to answer this question – thanks @mattogg @Mulk_Lloyd!!. Here are my thoughts - warning, very long 🧵ahead!

2. First, a necessary clarification. Comparing the UK-EU FTA with the status quo is simply futile. Even the most ambitious FTA cannot – and it is not intended to – deliver the benefits of the EU Single Market and Customs Union.

3. There is only so much an FTA can deliver. No FTA could avoid creating a customs border. No FTA could waive origin rules. No FTA could avoid new non-tariff barriers. It is no mystery that UK Automotive would have preferred other options precisely because an FTA has limits.

4. To compare apples with apples, a fairer question is not whether the FTA is better than the Single Market - it isn’t - but whether this is the most ambitious FTA we could get for the sector. And I hope the rest of the thread can shed some lights on this point.

5. Having a deal is, in itself, a major positive. The idea that having an FTA or not having one makes little difference could be true for some sectors. This is certainly not the case for Automotive. Without an FTA, tariffs would certainly apply.

Save The Economy, Not The Stock Market. https://t.co/Q1V0k04zVY business information

If you need a profession inside sales and advertising with an international perspective then get a High-up Bachelor’s diploma in International Gross sales and Marketing. It is a rare thing to attain AND preserve B2B gross sales and marketing alignment”,

A story of Mafia Integrity

You've heard bits of this
Funds offshore
Don't invest in the UK
Companies and factories moved out
Henry viii powers used to vanish Tax evasion and money laundering law

But the mafia at the heart of the Conservative party just got started.

Brexit deals may be closing, but the "brains" behind it,
whose gift is decades of damage,
who moved assets to profit from that damage
Is tightening its grip.

These are not the people to trust to decide our future or trade.

Unless you want it stolen

The examples
Tax evasion
Offshore funds
Currency speculation.

They're all a little distant.

So what about some examples closer to you or me?

Your word is your bond. Your promise is your reputation.

How do they build that reputation for our country?

1. China bought us Jan-March with heavy #Covid19 containment measures and clampdowns.

We wasted it.
Then worsened it, leaving airports open

Mafia called our response perfect and demanded reparations for the "China Virus"

2. Roles just reversed. Now WE have a new homegrown highly transmissible variant of #Covid19.

So where are the mafia? Shouldn't they be calling this the "English Virus?"

And screaming Blue Murder that Priti has again failed on airport checks, outbound this time?

Silence.

It's Sunday morning and I'm grumpy 😑😑 and bored 🥱🥱

Why you ask? It's the weekend, everybody loves the weekend. Time to chill and relax and unwind!!

Yeah talk to a Trader!! We hate weekends and Love Mondays 😂🤣😋

So anyway, my threads on real life practical trading seem to be helping you guys and getting lots of good questions

One which I'm getting asked a lot and a traders biggest dilemma is "WHEN TO SELL"!!

I mean we first look thru a 1000 charts, then we select one to enter, get the entry correct nd wowza it's moving in th right direction nd we're in some profits

Shud be super happy rite?

Unfortunately that's a traders worst nightmare!! Why you ask? Cos goddamit when do we sell?

If we sell too early we risk losing big profits

If we wait too long it might just reverse and we lose most of our profits and most likely even end up in a loss

If we do nothing then our blood pressure goes up cos hey we're traders and that's how we are 😋😋

So here's a "DEEP DIVE WITH DEEPS" on "When To Sell"

** Took me several days to come up with this catch phrase for my learning threads. I hope you guys like it

@IndianEnergyXch
Transformation drivers
1) Decarbonization - use of solar & wind ,RE (renewable energy)
2) Decentralisation - RE a threat to centralized energy productn
3) Digitization
4) Democratization- peer 2 peer energy trading

Changing energy mix
2020/ 2022 /2030 % of contribution
Thermal 62 /53 /35
Wind 10 /12 /17
Solar 9 / 20/ 36
Hydro 12 / 10 /8

Electricity value chain 4 parts
Generation - Transmission - Distribution - Consumption

Power sector construct
Long term 90%
Short term 10%

Power markets in developed countries are in range 30 - 80% of total power demand ,India 5%

Share of exchange in total generation
2016 - 2.9 %
2021 - 5.2%
Share of ST market in total generation
2016 - 9.9%
2021 - 10.3%
Exchange mkt & ST MKT as % of total gen
2016 29.9
2021 50.2

Electricity consumption to increase
Per capita consumption India 1/3rd global avg,to double over 5 yrs
- Core sector growth ,industrializationrapid urbanization to drive demand
Last mile connectivity- Saubhagya ,power for all 24/7
Demand
2017 - 1236 BU
2020 - 1381 BU

#stocks

Per capita electricity consumptn (KWh)
US 12994
Brazil 2601
China 3927
Global avg 3127
India 1181

IEX India leading power Xchange platform,mkt share 95%
Avg daily trade 6000+ MW
Record day vol 308 MUs

Customer
Industries 4000+
Discoms 55+
ES Cert 100+
Generators 500+
REs 1500+

1/ What Happens with More Funds than Stocks? (Madhavan, Sobczyk, Ang)

"Funds differ meaningfully in terms of individual stock holdings, and we examine the factor exposures of the typical fund and the cross section of holdings of different funds."

https://t.co/d6vU4Fgszg

2/ * Data on fund holdings are from Morningstar
* Sample: Jan. 1, 2007 to Dec. 31, 2018
* Only funds with at least 80% of holdings from the Russell 3000 universe are considered
* Mean AUM-weighted expense ratio for mutual funds (ETFs) is 70 bps (14.2 bps) as of Q4 2018

3/ "The holdings of ETFs and active mutual funds across U.S. stocks can be efficiently summarized by approximately 10 canonical funds.

"There is more commonality explained by the first few canonical funds for active mutual funds than for ETFs."

4/ "Commonality among equity mutual funds has remained approximately constant, but there has been increased dispersion in ETF offerings.

"We see no apparent rise in concentration or crowding for mutual funds over the period from January 2007 to December 2018."

5/ "We examine commonality in active mutual funds in Morningstar style box categories. While Value and Blend commonality has remained roughly constant over the period 2007-2018, Growth funds have exhibited a marked increase in crowded positions."

A dumb thing I did in 2020:
Saw something that wasn't there on a maiden RE trade and bot late. Should have known bulk tonnage MRE/PEA etc almost all sold news in 2020 but was busy and rushed. Need to be early to best win those types of deposits. -25%ish for my trouble. 1/11

It was small money fortunately. <---GT Gold. Embarrassing thinking back on it. Industry guy told me it was kinda dumb after.😀I would say the lesson is to never rush into things but that's not true. There's times you can rush into things but it depends on the circumstances. 2/11

Example: I just happened to be watching the trading on Kodiak Copper as I thought it was through an interesting spot then all of a sudden the stock just started getting walked up. Grabbed some. It halts a minute later and releases proof of concept assays the next day. 3/11

Context is everything. Don't be afraid to try some things but keep it small when trying. You can learn really important lessons. Save piling in on concepts for when you've been doing this for years (10+?). You might win big early and think you're smart. Most of us are not. 4/11

No substitution for the grindstone. I won on a couple positions early. Tough to lose on Claude Resources buyout & finding Nexgen. Was saying to a few of the guys last night that I am surprised I did not go -50% on portfolio next. My strength was knowing I still knew little. 5/11

This year, my trading income crossed ₹3CR in profits.

It took 300 days, no big drawdowns & operated at a 86% win rate percentage in weekly.

Here are the 6 steps for you to do great in trading:

Hope it's helpful to someone.

[🧵 thread]

Collaborated with @niki_poojary

1/ Learn Price Action

First of all, you need to focus on learning about price action.

If you do so, you'll be able to understand the big player's footprints better which is critical to know as we can side with them to make profit.

Better to be with them than against them.

2/ Journal your trades

Journaling will change your trading forever.

Why? Because you will precisely know where you are going wrong and whether you keep repeating the same mistakes.

You'll also know in which market you perform the best and in which type of markets you don't.

3/ Avoid losing more than 2% on a trade

I have seen many traders including the really good ones as well, where one big loss will spoil a month or two of their trading year.

The loss becomes so big to overcome that more mistakes are made.

So don't go in a big loss itself.

4/ Think only from a buyer vs seller point of view

You should know who is in control, a buyer or a seller not in options but in futures.

Also understand, at which points do these traders usually tend to give up.

Can take trades confidently and aggressively then.

The baby wakes me up at 5am these days, so let’s talk about $RH. I’ve been following $RH for half a decade now, and I started off with a profound misunderstanding of the company. When $RH started its membership program back in 2016, I thought it was a stupid idea and 1/

a half-assed way to graft a Costco membership dynamic onto what was supposed to be a high-end furniture store. Very confusing. Of course, I was the one who was stupid because my girlfriend at the time (now wife) was an interior designer, and I didn’t bother to ask her about /2

it. $RH employs a bunch of interior designers to help you with your design needs, and you get access to them for the $100 membership fee + you get 25% off all full-priced items. What’s going on here? $100 to save hundreds of dollars + you get interior design services? You 3/

might think it’s $100 fee to have the interior designer upsell or sell more products, and it… sort of is? But what I didn’t know and hadn’t bothered to ask my gf/wife was how interior designers worked. It turns out that if you’re a licensed interior designer, you get 20-25% 4/

off high-end furniture for your clients anyway. And once she told me this everything clicked. The $100 rate was a way to aggregate clients for their internal RH interior design folks, and these interior designers were going to get a 25% discount on their purchases anyway, so 5/

This FT piece on deb #cancellation is interesting and poses a few interesting questions.

Let me begin with what I do not like.

The case against cancelling debt at the #ECB https://t.co/o0Vvvf6leU

#monetization 1/

The excessive focus on Italy is off the mark. Any serious discussion on sterilizing this exceptional debt linked to the pandemics should concern all EMU countries. All have had a spike in deficit

2/

Nor I like the argument that debt sterilization would not bring fresh cash. It would not, and of course it would not be needed. EMU public debt is today (and for a long period to come) in excess demand. On top of that the ECB will keep the PEPP umbrella open for a while

3/

Sterilizing the EMU pandemics-related public debt is a medium term issue, related to future fiscal space. Will this exceptional stock of debt that built in 2020 constrain EMU countries in their ordinary fiscal policies in the future? This is the question to ask
4/

If the answer is yes (I believe it is), then sterilizing that debt is eventually going to be an issue to be dealt with. And the ECB will have to be part of the solution
This is what the FT seems to suggest too (this is why the piece is more complex than it seems)
5/

1/#VeFam, I see a lot of heated discussions regarding $VTHO and it’s speculative value. I thought I’d write a thread to clear out some misconceptions.

First up, VTHO is NOT yield from an investment ( $VET).The whole argument that VET has to give xx% returns via VTHO is pointless

2/Why? Because VTHO is a utility token required for network participation. While it is good that we ordinary holders can trade it, its primary purpose is to enable entities to use the network. VTHO is not a dividend, it is not yield, it’s simply a network participation enabler

3/is it undervalued? depends on if you’re talking about value arising from utility or speculation. Regarding the former, as long as the daily burn rate is lower than daily generation rate (~37m), value appreciation from utility is not a factor. But this will change.

4/regarding the latter,it’s anyone’s guess. It can go 1000x overnight,like anything in crypto.But remember,this is not a good thing for an enterprise focused utility token
Why?
Bcoz value appreciation from utility is organic. @vechainofficial and their customers can plan for this

5/value appreciation from speculation is not organic. It can disrupt budgets and planning. This is the reason there are several levers in place to cushion the speculation around VTHO. Read this article to understand what they

Everything that I’m about to say is coming from someone that has been in the investment management industry for well over two decades now and knows the inner workings of trading and compliance. I also worked for Morgan Stanley early in my career.

1/15

As a registered representative who is fully licensed by FINRA, SEC, and other regulatory agencies, we are tasked with ongoing education, the bulk of which deals with compliance, anti-money laundering and other kinds of malfeasance that may occur while working with clients.2/15

The recent trending of #HunterBiden’s name on Twitter got me thinking back to when #LaptopFromHell was the big story. Some of the material that was released included investment/banking statements that belonged to him. The BD that custodied Hunter’s account was Morgan Stanley.3/15

This is not a conspiracy theory. I’m a believer that there’s truth and then there’s a not quite the truth. Now, every year I must attend a few Anti-Money Laundering (AML) courses to stay current on my continuing education. This is a BIG FUCKING DEAL in the investments world. 4/15

Rarely trust what you hear and always verify everything...including this tweet. MS’s internal trade review desk and other compliance groups SHOULD HAVE FLAGGED Hunter Biden’s accounts for suspicious activity. As far as we know, they didn’t. Why???

5/15

THREAD: Do the people on Reddit's #WallStreetBets who are buying Gamestop, AMC, and other stocks have any legal liability to do so?

1/ Although the facts are still evolving, it appears that many users on #WallStreetBets (a "sub-reddit" on Reddit, a social media site) and others starting buying Gamestop, AMC, and other stocks that they believed were being "shorted" by certain Wall Street firms.

2/ You "short" a stock when you sell a stock that you don't own, betting that the price will go down. The goal is to sell high and buy low. If you "short" a stock and the price goes up, you can lose a lot of money by buying shares at a higher price than you sold them at.

3/ Based on media reports, it looks like a lot of Redditors didn't like that certain Wall Street firms had bet big that the price of Gamestop and AMC would go down via COVID.

By buying up Gamestop and AMC stock, they caused the price to shoot way up in a short period of time.

4/ That caused fast gains for them and potentially huge losses for firms that shorted those stocks.

So did they engage in "market manipulation," as some people on social media have claimed? Could they get in trouble with the SEC, which is "watching" the matter, or go to prison?

1) The Ecosystem, Part 1:

Getting Dressed

2) NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE

and even more importantly, not clothing advice

3) This story ends with @bonfida, but it starts with @SushiSwap.

By now pretty much everyone knows the story:

The meteoric rise, the sudden crash, the dormant period, and the recovery.

This story starts at the lowest point: right after the migration.

4) See, the lowest point *should* have been right after nomigate.

But of course there was negative sentiment then! That was expected.

The brutal part for the project was after the fires were put out--the dev funds returned, the migration successful.

5) That should have been the recovery.

But instead, Sushiswap endured a month of the most negative sentiment I've ever seen a project have.

There was a chat, as the major builders and multisig holders got things off their chest.

Short thread on emotions in trading

A common meme is that the best traders are the least emotional. I’m calling BS on this.

I’ve analysed the Psychological make-up of many brilliant traders over many years using psychometrics. And whilst this isn’t scientific research.

1/9

I’ve not found a correlation between people’s emotional intensity & their performance. Some of the very best traders I come across are highly emotional.

Risk is felt, it’s not something that can be quantified despite the failed attempts of many. 2/9

Of course allowing your emotions to control your trading is unhelpful, but some of the ‘emotional’ types have learned to master this and have become incredibly adept at it.

The fact that they don’t suppress their emotions aids this process.

They use their emotions as

3/9

clues and triggers on their internal radar. It’s a skill which great traders learn to do.

Feeling their emotions & being aware of them enables them to identify opportunities & threats with great haste, giving them an edge over ‘less emotional’ types who are not able to

4/9

recognise some signals.

By contracts the less emotional types can tend to be overconfident & don’t always see (because they don’t feel) the degree of risk or threat in situations.

I am not saying emotional or unemotional is superior. Both types can and do succeed.

5/9