𝗧𝗛𝗘 𝗢𝗣𝗧𝗜𝗢𝗡𝗦 𝗧𝗛𝗥𝗘𝗔𝗗-𝟮
So we had discussed a few pointers in the previous thread about options,its time now we discuss further implications and applicability in this thread which will help you in NEW YEAR.
Let’s go and dive into the world of options trading.

Top 5 trading blogs to read:
1-Trading with Rayner
2-New Trader U
3-Trading QnA by Zerodha
4-Factor Trading
5-SMB Capital
RETWEET for more such top 5 lists in future.

Books on trading which every SERIOUS TRADER should read
⚡Trading in the Zone : Mark Douglas
⚡Market Wizards : Jack D.S.
⚡Technical Analysis : J.Murphy
⚡How to make money using charts : Ashwini Gujral
⚡Japanese Candlesticks : Steve Nison
⚡ Reminiscence of a stock operator

𝐀 𝐭𝐡𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐝 𝐨𝐧 𝐈𝐧𝐝𝐞𝐱 𝐅𝐮𝐧𝐝𝐬
This thread will help you to understand the index funds really well. If you want more of such threads in future,do comment the topic you want me to cover and don't forget to RETWEET! Let's start :

Who started it?
John Bogle, commonly referred to as Jack, is known as The Father of Index Investing and The Father of Index Funds. Bogle was born in Montclair, New Jersey on May 8, 1929.

What was the first index fund?
After graduation, Bogle went to work for Wellington Management from 1951 to 1974, but was fired because of a merger decision he made. In 1974, he found the Vanguard Group Inc., and in 1976 he introduced the first retail index fund the Vanguard 500

Why should we trust Bogle and not telegram rockets?
Although Bogle was initially mocked for his introduction of the index fund, he proved to be a true visionary and was even named as one of the “World’s 100 Most Powerful and Influential People” by Time Magazine in 2004

What is Vanguard's position right now?
Vanguard has grown to become one of the world’s largest investment management companies, with more than five trillion in global assets under management. Although Mr. Bogle died in January of 2019, his philosophy of index investing is ALIVE.

𝐂𝐨𝐯𝐢𝐝 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐢𝐭𝐬 𝐢𝐦𝐩𝐚𝐜𝐭 𝐨𝐧 𝐈𝐧𝐝𝐢𝐚𝐧 𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐨𝐦𝐲
The entire thread will talk about covid and it's effect on our economy. The data will be backed by facts. If you want more informative threads in the future,don't forget to RT and share with friends.

1. The worst affected sector:
The worst affected of the lot will be travel industry. The incomes produced by movement and the travel industry, which contributes 9.2% of the GDP, will negatively affect the GDP rate. UNWTO assessments portray a fall of 20–30%in global travellers.

2. Positive replacement from China:
A chance to partake in worldwide stockpile chains, multinationals are losing trust in China. In'Make in India', a few changes are required,and if that takes place, manufacturing and API base companies will shift to India giving a growth blast.

3. Construction sector can see loss of revenue :
We saw an appalling mass migration of such coasting populace of travelers by walking,amidst of countrywide lockdown. Wage workers specially working in construction,may not turn back so quickly. Many have preferred farming too!

4. Bankning and Finance sector
For a moment stop comparing ground realities with stock market action. Nonperforming credits relating to retail and MSME sections are on the ascent. In its Financial Stability Report,RBI has also said it fears defaults of many loans in next 2yrs!

Banknifty has formed : BKBA pattern
Bhangarh ki bechain Aatma Pattern
Even kids know what happens next!

Technical Analysis Masterclass- Part 2

'Entering the trade'

Entering a trade without ascertaining a certain things is gambling.

In this masterclass we will learn the pre-requisites to enter a trade.

DON'T ENTER A TRADE WITHOUT DETERMINNG THE FOLLOWING.

Please share.

We understand what reward to risk (popularly called risk to reward) is.
It will be denoted by R:R.

We will also try to bust a few myths about R:R and how to avoid losing trades.

Before entering a trade, you need to determine 3 things.

1. Entry trigger
2. Stop loss
3. Target

1. Entry trigger = Reasons for entering a trade. There could be multiple reasons or a single reason for entry.

Generally a set of reasons AKA confluence is a higher probability trade and a generally a safer entry.

Example of an entry trigger.

2. Stop Loss.

The price in the opposite direction of the trade where the trade is exited, at a loss.

At this level, the reason for the entry becomes invalidated according to TA and the price can then move in the opposite direction, probabilistically.

3. Target is the possible price level that the asset might touch based on previous trends or confluence AND where a possible reversal could occur.

Target is the next path of least resistance from where the price might reverse.

We will always ONLY use TA to determine all 3.

A thread on Trend-lines

// What are trend-lines?

Trend-lines are support and resistance lines which are formed by connecting Important swing points.

The beauty of using them is that We can use them when stock is not Respecting the Horizontal S&R zones, they can indicate us when the trend may change.

// Things To consider while Making trendlines?

• A trendline formed by using 3 Major-Swing points is a potential trendline, But we will also use 2 points to form a trendline, will discuss how, as you read further.

• Trendline can be formed by two ways-

1. Wicks-

In this method we only connect the wicks to make a trendline, this is a precise way of making a trendline.

// Why only connect the wicks?

There are two type of levels - Precise and Less precise (Which we call zones).

So what we are doing is by only connecting the wicks we are making a precise level where we can take trades, either Mean reversion or Breakout trades.

Examples-

A THREAD:

BEST OPTIONS STRATEGY FOR CONSISTENT INCOME -

OPTIONS WHEEL STRATEGY

Everything to know about this strategy I'm posting in this thread.

(1/12)

Step 1: Stock Selection

1. For this strategy you're going to have to choose some stocks that you think will be doing well in the future/long term.

2. Stock must be in an uptrend.

3. Stock options should be liquid enough to trade in.

4. List of stocks attached

(2/12)

Step 2: Which option to sell?

1. Sell put at a support according to charts.

2. Sell put at a strike far away from the spot where you think the probability of the stock falling will be very very low.

3. Sell put at a price where you're willing to buy the stock at.

(3/12)

Step 3: What to do when in profit/loss?

1. If in profit you can just roll up the puts thereby increasing the ROI or shift to other stocks to make more profit.

2. If in loss take delivery of the shares equivalent to the lot size in cash market.

(4/12)

Step 4: What to do after taking the delivery?

1. Sell calls to lower your cost price of the stock. For eg, you took delivery of Reliance at 1900, sell 2100 CE which is about 10% away.

2. Keep doing this till your CE expires ITM and then give delivery of your stock away

(5/12)

How to manage risk in Option Selling?

10 frameworks to improve your risk management in 1 month:

Collaborated with @niki_poojary

In this thread you'll how to manage risk with:

1. Directional markets
2. Range-bound markets
3. Mtm stop loss
4. Booking profits
5. Overnight hedging
6. Event Risk
7. Position Sizing
8. No leverage
9. Reducing positions when wrong
10. Calculating risk upfront

Let's go ↓

Directional markets:

There is no point in the market being directional and you adjusting a non-directional trade.

As a general rule, you should only adjust once or maximum twice and then give up on firefighting.

Then you should side with a directional move.

Mistake of a non-directional trader:

Non-directional traders face heavy losses in directional markets.

If you are able to limit your losses in such scenarios, your risk management will improve.

The "I can adjust any move" mindset has to vanish for this to improve.

Big Range:

Moves in a big range are usually violent, and this is where non-directional traders lose money despite the fact that they are correct in assuming that the market is range bound.

Level-based stops work best in such an environment with reduced quantities.

In my 20 years of trading I have noticed this cycle play out again and again with traders that "make it":

1. Overconfidently reach for returns
2. Get humbled by the market
3. Simplify + concentrate on clear, high probability edges.

1/n

Nearly everyone starts with a lack of respect for how hard it is to consistently make money trading.

That leads them to pass over high-probability sources of returns in favor of more marginal ideas.

Or they overcomplicate the trading of a good edge.

2/n

Here's an example...

It is 2015. You look at a simple strategy.

You hold an equal dollar exposure to:
- Cap Weighted US Stocks (VTI)
- 20+ Yr US Treasury Bonds (TLT)
- Gold (GLD)

And rebalance each month.

(I've extended back a bit with mutual fund prices.)

3/n

It made money consistently with a few blips.

You'd have 4x your money from 1997 to 2015.

It makes sense. It's harnessing two big sources of risk premia (equity + duration).

It diversifies across 3 macro assets that tend to outperform in different econ environments

4/n

But, naturally, you turn your mind to how you could do better...

And here is where it gets dangerous!

There are good ways to try to "do better", and there are bad ways to try to "do better".

5/n