More from Trading
1/ Feels like a good time to tell the story of how I went from broke to a millionaire to broke again in 2017/18 again...
Yesterday was brutal for some people...
Losing life-changing money sucks, losing any money sucks...you can chase the market or you can change your strategy.
2/ The original thread is gone but you can read it here.
https://t.co/cLLNs75rB0
tl;dr
- Traded $32k to $1.2m
- Thought I was a genius
- Made poor investments
- Didn't conserve capital
- Peaked at 150 BTC
- Lost nearly all of it
2 weeks from losing my house + no income. Oops.
3/ I am going to assume you are in it for the money rather than the tech. Yeah, you might Tweet about the amazing blockchaining of cross-border payments and oracles yadda yadda...really, you are in it to make money.
If you are really in it for the tech, go and build something.
4/ Okay, so if you want to make money, trading is super hard, you are trading against:
- Better traders than you
- People who can move markets
- Unknown information
And if you are trading with leverage you might blow up your account with the volatility.
5/ If you are not trading, you are investing. Okay, so what are you investing in?
I made the decision that the crypto with the best opportunity of existing in 10 years is #Bitcoin:
- Solves a genuine problem
- The right tech
- A proven track record
Yesterday was brutal for some people...
Losing life-changing money sucks, losing any money sucks...you can chase the market or you can change your strategy.
2/ The original thread is gone but you can read it here.
https://t.co/cLLNs75rB0
tl;dr
- Traded $32k to $1.2m
- Thought I was a genius
- Made poor investments
- Didn't conserve capital
- Peaked at 150 BTC
- Lost nearly all of it
2 weeks from losing my house + no income. Oops.
3/ I am going to assume you are in it for the money rather than the tech. Yeah, you might Tweet about the amazing blockchaining of cross-border payments and oracles yadda yadda...really, you are in it to make money.
If you are really in it for the tech, go and build something.
4/ Okay, so if you want to make money, trading is super hard, you are trading against:
- Better traders than you
- People who can move markets
- Unknown information
And if you are trading with leverage you might blow up your account with the volatility.
5/ If you are not trading, you are investing. Okay, so what are you investing in?
I made the decision that the crypto with the best opportunity of existing in 10 years is #Bitcoin:
- Solves a genuine problem
- The right tech
- A proven track record
Thread on Short straddle with adjustments:
Short straddle is non-directional strategy
Selling same strike price CALL/PUT option same underlying with same expiry.
Nifty Spot at 14353, So you can sell 14350 CE as well 14350 PE of 14 Jan. Expiry.
(1/n)
*RETWEET for max response
Bullish short straddle: Selling 14400 CE and 14400 PE of same expiry.
Bearish short straddle: Selling 14250 CE and 14250 PE of same expiry.
You can sell straddle as per your market view.
If you are natural view sell CE and PE at ATM strike.
(2/n)
Short straddle has limited profit potential (only premium) and unlimited risk without adjustment.
In Example, Short straddle of 14350, Breakeven is (14131.0-14569.0), need 1.7Lac Margin to sell straddle.
Maximum profit: 16k and Loss: Unlimited, Winning probability: 50%
(3/n)
If market staying near at 14350 then win. Probability increase slowly. Rewards also increase slowly.
Volatility(IV) is also play important role in selling straddle, Like If IV increase so straddle premium increase and IV cool off so premium casually comes down.
(4/n)
Short straddle adjustment:
https://t.co/59Lr64kEtK way to limit the overnight risk.
Convert short straddle in Ironfly, its nothing we have to add long strangle in short straddle it become Ironfly. It gives the good Risk Rewards.
(5/n)
Short straddle is non-directional strategy
Selling same strike price CALL/PUT option same underlying with same expiry.
Nifty Spot at 14353, So you can sell 14350 CE as well 14350 PE of 14 Jan. Expiry.
(1/n)
*RETWEET for max response
Bullish short straddle: Selling 14400 CE and 14400 PE of same expiry.
Bearish short straddle: Selling 14250 CE and 14250 PE of same expiry.
You can sell straddle as per your market view.
If you are natural view sell CE and PE at ATM strike.
(2/n)
Short straddle has limited profit potential (only premium) and unlimited risk without adjustment.
In Example, Short straddle of 14350, Breakeven is (14131.0-14569.0), need 1.7Lac Margin to sell straddle.
Maximum profit: 16k and Loss: Unlimited, Winning probability: 50%
(3/n)

If market staying near at 14350 then win. Probability increase slowly. Rewards also increase slowly.
Volatility(IV) is also play important role in selling straddle, Like If IV increase so straddle premium increase and IV cool off so premium casually comes down.
(4/n)
Short straddle adjustment:
https://t.co/59Lr64kEtK way to limit the overnight risk.
Convert short straddle in Ironfly, its nothing we have to add long strangle in short straddle it become Ironfly. It gives the good Risk Rewards.
(5/n)

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I'm going to do two history threads on Ethiopia, one on its ancient history, one on its modern story (1800 to today). 🇪🇹
I'll begin with the ancient history ... and it goes way back. Because modern humans - and before that, the ancestors of humans - almost certainly originated in Ethiopia. 🇪🇹 (sub-thread):
The first likely historical reference to Ethiopia is ancient Egyptian records of trade expeditions to the "Land of Punt" in search of gold, ebony, ivory, incense, and wild animals, starting in c 2500 BC 🇪🇹
Ethiopians themselves believe that the Queen of Sheba, who visited Israel's King Solomon in the Bible (c 950 BC), came from Ethiopia (not Yemen, as others believe). Here she is meeting Solomon in a stain-glassed window in Addis Ababa's Holy Trinity Church. 🇪🇹
References to the Queen of Sheba are everywhere in Ethiopia. The national airline's frequent flier miles are even called "ShebaMiles". 🇪🇹
I'll begin with the ancient history ... and it goes way back. Because modern humans - and before that, the ancestors of humans - almost certainly originated in Ethiopia. 🇪🇹 (sub-thread):
The famous \u201cLucy\u201d, an early ancestor of modern humans (Australopithecus) that lived 3.2 million years ago, and was discovered in 1974 in Ethiopia, displayed in the national museum in Addis Ababa \U0001f1ea\U0001f1f9 pic.twitter.com/N3oWqk1SW2
— Patrick Chovanec (@prchovanec) November 9, 2018
The first likely historical reference to Ethiopia is ancient Egyptian records of trade expeditions to the "Land of Punt" in search of gold, ebony, ivory, incense, and wild animals, starting in c 2500 BC 🇪🇹

Ethiopians themselves believe that the Queen of Sheba, who visited Israel's King Solomon in the Bible (c 950 BC), came from Ethiopia (not Yemen, as others believe). Here she is meeting Solomon in a stain-glassed window in Addis Ababa's Holy Trinity Church. 🇪🇹

References to the Queen of Sheba are everywhere in Ethiopia. The national airline's frequent flier miles are even called "ShebaMiles". 🇪🇹
