There's blood on these streets. BUY THE DIP!

[A quick thread]

So yesterday I sold two of my holdings that I didn't like very much for the following reasons:

https://t.co/eojTjDJc5B
I know what you thinking: "smart move! 😎"
Will I be going on a buying frenzy today? Not quite. I think I'll sit today out. I've had some great lessons about the dip that I'd like to share with you.
I came across this fortune teller on YouTube who could predict pullbacks. 😂😂😂

https://t.co/rNlOWKsiok
Of course I thought to myself, I'm going to be smart about this and decided to split my money over the full week because no one can predict the bottom. However, this happened:

https://t.co/RLYJLtKfGb
The lesson? Never get too greedy and never suffer from FOMO.

Here's an even better reason why. Imagine today was 21 Feb '20. Apple and Amazon fell over 2% and your favourite stock probably fell by even more. The whole market is red.
If you bought today (21 Feb '20) you would've exited the battle early as stocks continued to fall further.
I think we can all agree that we keep cash reserves for significant pullbacks in the markets. However, those pullbacks do not happen over night. They need time to mature. Days, sometimes weeks.

Day-to-day dips can be caught any time. Market pullbacks are really worth a buy.
So what do I do on days like today? I observe the market, review my wishlist and PRAY that the market continues to fall. If it rebounds tomorrow? Then it wasn't worth a buy.
https://t.co/Gu5XEYnX2c

More from Trading

1/ Feels like a good time to tell the story of how I went from broke to a millionaire to broke again in 2017/18 again...

Yesterday was brutal for some people...

Losing life-changing money sucks, losing any money sucks...you can chase the market or you can change your strategy.

2/ The original thread is gone but you can read it here.

https://t.co/cLLNs75rB0

tl;dr
- Traded $32k to $1.2m
- Thought I was a genius
- Made poor investments
- Didn't conserve capital
- Peaked at 150 BTC
- Lost nearly all of it

2 weeks from losing my house + no income. Oops.

3/ I am going to assume you are in it for the money rather than the tech. Yeah, you might Tweet about the amazing blockchaining of cross-border payments and oracles yadda yadda...really, you are in it to make money.

If you are really in it for the tech, go and build something.

4/ Okay, so if you want to make money, trading is super hard, you are trading against:
- Better traders than you
- People who can move markets
- Unknown information

And if you are trading with leverage you might blow up your account with the volatility.

5/ If you are not trading, you are investing. Okay, so what are you investing in?

I made the decision that the crypto with the best opportunity of existing in 10 years is #Bitcoin:
- Solves a genuine problem
- The right tech
- A proven track record

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So the cryptocurrency industry has basically two products, one which is relatively benign and doesn't have product market fit, and one which is malignant and does. The industry has a weird superposition of understanding this fact and (strategically?) not understanding it.


The benign product is sovereign programmable money, which is historically a niche interest of folks with a relatively clustered set of beliefs about the state, the literary merit of Snow Crash, and the utility of gold to the modern economy.

This product has narrow appeal and, accordingly, is worth about as much as everything else on a 486 sitting in someone's basement is worth.

The other product is investment scams, which have approximately the best product market fit of anything produced by humans. In no age, in no country, in no city, at no level of sophistication do people consistently say "Actually I would prefer not to get money for nothing."

This product needs the exchanges like they need oxygen, because the value of it is directly tied to having payment rails to move real currency into the ecosystem and some jurisdictional and regulatory legerdemain to stay one step ahead of the banhammer.