1/ I'm a huge fan of checklists

I use them every day to help me find great investments

Want to create your own investment checklist?

Here are some great resources to help you get started

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My 🔟 Biggest Investing Mistakes 🧵

1⃣Only looking at the share price

I bought penny stocks at the start

My logic: 100 shares of $1 stock > 1 share of $100 stock

WRONG!

The price of 1 share is meaningless!

What matters is how great the company is!

2⃣Only looking at dividend yield

I bought stocks with 10%+ yields

My logic: 10% yield > 1% yield

WRONG!

The dividend got cut and the share price dropped -- a double-whammy!

A high yield is Wall Street's way of saying "this yield is not sustainable, watch out"

3⃣Selling a great stock early

I bought $DXCM in 2007 for ~$6

I sold it 1 month later after a 15% gain

Current price: $412.58

I was in a rush to take profits, so I missed out on HUGE upside

If the opportunity is huge, hold!

4⃣Not buying a great stock due to valuation

I've made this mistake over and over again

I didn't buy $ZM at $80 because the valuation was "insane"

Current price: $455

If you like everything about the company except the valuation, but some

Even if it's just a little bit

1/ How to review quarterly earnings 🧵

A step by step guide using $DXCM as an example

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2/ The BIG question: Is the thesis on track❓

Other question:

❓Is revenue growing?
❓Are margins stable/expanding?
❓Profits?
❓Balance sheet?
❓New opportunities?
❓New threats?

3/ I open 4 browser tabs

Tab 1 - Current company earnings report / shareholder letter

Tab 2 - Previous company earnings report / shareholder letter (check guidance)

Tab 3 - Analyst estimates

Tab 4 - Call Transcript

4/ Tabs 1 & 2 - Find the current & previous earnings report

I search "Dexcom Investor Relations"

I click on "press release"

Open the newest quarterly earnings report and last quarter

It can also be a shareholder letter/presentation

5/ Tab 3 - Find the quarterly analyst estimates

Open up $DXCM in yahoo finance

The "news" section usually has a link to reports on whether the company beat/met estimates

The "analysis" tab is a good source, but sometimes it updates to the next quarter too quickly

Worried about the recent market drop?

Here are 24 top investing quotes from Buffett, Bogle, Graham, and more that can help🧵

"If you have trouble imagining a 20% loss in the stock market, you shouldn’t be in stocks."

-- John Bogle

"Opportunities come infrequently. When it rains gold, put out the bucket, not the thimble."

-- Warren Buffett

“Individuals who cannot master their emotions are ill-suited to profit from the investment process”

-- Benjamin Graham

"A calm sea does not produce a skilled sailor."

-- Tom Culve

My inflation strategy:

Own businesses with recession-proof demand and pricing power

I own 7 stocks that are 15+ baggers (and counting)

Here are 10 traits they all have in common:

The data:

Stock / # of bags / purchase year:

$AMZN / 15+ / 2010
$FB / 15+ / 2012
$GOOG / 15+ / 2009
$MELI / 15+ / 2011
$CMG / 20+ / 2012
$NFLX / 60+ / 2010
$TSLA / 60+ / 2012

1: Founder-led

$AMZN - Bezos
$CMG - Ells
$FB- Zuck
$GOOG - Page
$MELI- Galperin
$NFLX - Hastings
$TSLA - Musk

Founders tend to be:
+Detail oriented
+Innovative
+Mission driven
+Think long-term
+Have skin/soul in the game

Look for founders!

2: Consumer-facing

All of these companies attract millions/billions of consumers

This eliminates customer concentration risk and enables long-term brand building

3: High sales growth

All of these companies were growing revenue 20%+ BEFORE I bought them

Sales growth is the engine that drives profit growth

Profit growth is the engine that drives stock appreciation

Find companies that can grow sales 20%+ for decades

Circle of Competence 101

Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger often reference the importance of knowing the boundaries of your circle of competence.

But what is a Circle of Competence and how does it work?

Here's Circle of Competence 101!

1/ First, a few definitions.

A Circle of Competence is the set of topic areas that align with a person's expertise.

If the entire world of information were to be expressed in a circle, an individual's Circle of Competence is the small sub-circle that represents their expertise.

2/ The idea surfaced in the 1996 BH annual letter.

"You don’t have to be an expert on every company...you only have to be able to evaluate companies within your circle of competence. The size of that circle is not very important; knowing its boundaries, however, is vital."

3/ A Circle of Competence is built over time.

It is built through experience, reading, dedicated study, and effort.

It is dynamic, not static.

It can expand as you deepen your knowledge in new areas. It can contract if you fail to nurture your existing areas of expertise.

4/ To engage this mental model in your life, there are two key processes to go through:

(1) Identify what falls within your circle
(2) Identify the boundaries of your circle

(1) is all about figuring out what you know, while (2) is about humbly admitting what you don’t.

Indian Investing Conclave Day 1 @IIC_2020

:Route Mobile
:Philip Carbon Black
:Borosil Ltd
:Arvind Ltd
:Hawkins Cooker
:Repco Homes
:Shaily Engineering Plastics

Route Mobile @ravidharamshi77

Investment Hypothesis in CPaaS companies

:Crossed the technology adoption chasm
:Huge addressable opportunity - Industry growth estimates 30-50%
:Profitable Unit Economics, Cash Generating, Incremental Cost Low

CPaaS growing at 40%

Route Mobile

:Applications served by route mobile - Facebook, Instagram, Whatsapp, Google Pay to name a few
:Route mobile platform used for : 2 factor authentication, Notification for customer engagement across portfolio of apps

Route Mobile Key points

:Scaled upto 1200cr of revenue from internal accruals
:Huge runway for growth
:Multi geography and Omni-Channel presence
:Cash available for M&A
:Scope of margin improvement
:Demonstrated ability to move up the value scale

Philips Carbon Black @sarkaraniruddha

:Indias largest carbon black manufacturer
:Where is carbon black used, Tyre Rubber(73%), Non Tyre Rubber (20%), Non Rubber Speciality Carbon (7%)

Industry Size & Capacity Addition
1.3 Million Tonnes capacity and PCB has 43% market share

My number 1 stock pick for 2021 is: Pine Island Acquisition Corp.

$PIPP

Let me break down why I think this will be THE SPAC of 2021. 👇

TL:DR – the management team is loaded with President Biden’s closest friends and advisors. No other SPAC has this level of access.

$PIPP company overview:

-focused on defense, government service & aerospace
-perfect focus when you consider who is on their Management Team

$PIPP Management

-here's where it gets EXCITING
-founded by John Thain (ex Merrill Lynch CEO and Uber director)
-then STACKED with veteran Government and Administration key figures

$PIPP Insane Management Connections

-the list of PIPP "DC Partners" includes:

-- President Biden's pick for Secretary of State (Tony Blinken)
-- President Biden's pick for Secretary of Defense (Gen. Lloyd Austin).

$PIPP - The Joe Biden Connection

- Tony Blinken and President Biden are close allies.
- Blinken has been an advisor to Biden for decades
- Blinken set to be appointed Sec. of State

ChartIQ charts on Kite web just got an upgrade with custom timeframe charts, new indicators, backtesting from charts, and much more.

Here’s how you can switch to the new version of ChartIQ: https://t.co/rhXrQ330G7

A thread on all the new features 👇

Custom timeframe charts

Charts with timeframes of 75 and 125 minutes were amongst the most popular feature requests. With the custom timeframe feature, you can now not only access 75 and 125-minute charts, but you can also do so for any timeframe of your choice.

Download historical data in CSV

You can now download chart data to Excel to run your own analyses.

Backtesting from charts

@StreakTech allows you to create and backtest trading strategies without any coding. Streak is now integrated with Kite charts. Clicking on the Streak icon will start a backtest of widely used strategies with the indicators applied on the charts.

Shortcut keys for various functions

Chart shortcuts are now available on ChartIQ 8. Shortcuts can be used to quickly perform actions such as invoking the order window, accessing drawing tools, zooming, etc.