mdSIdwP3dN

If you want to learn about pharma CDMO industry market, this is a gem of a resource.

Available whenever you get your podcasts. pic.twitter.com/4W5hXS2iJ5
— Tar \u26a1 (@itsTarH) July 5, 2021

More from Tar ⚡

$Tar \u26a1$

Tar ⚡
@itsTarH

And just to clarify before people start posting
"Rocket Emojis with to the moon tags"

this business wouldn't hit 3lk cr market cap in next 3 yrs but it can steadily compound at 25-30% YoY for next 10 yrs

At 25% CAGR over 10 yrs, you get a 10 bagger

Keep expectations in check.

Lets talk results #lauruslabs

Always zoom out and view the results, never take a QoQ approach.

Here is how Sales, Op.Profit and PAT looks like when you zoom out.

The upwards trends continues.

No business will move linearly up or linearly down. pic.twitter.com/O9UUt1rEE5
— Tar \u26a1 (@itsTarH) July 29, 2021

$Tar \u26a1$

Tar ⚡
@itsTarH

It's the weekend!

Grab a cup of coffee, in this thread we will explore

1. What is risk management?
2. What is position sizing?
3. How to apply both these concepts to reduce volatility and drawdowns in your portfolio?

Lets dive right in.

What does losing $20 Billion in 24 hours and A Bank being sold for less than $1, have in common?

The answer is Risk Management.

Through this thread we will explore 2 stories - Stories that will teach us the importance of risk management and position sizing in a portfolio.

These stories will show you that no matter

How Rich You Are
How Respected You Are
How Educated You Are

Improper risk management will blow up your portfolio and most likely bankrupt you.

Our first story is the story of Bill Hwang and the saga of Archegos Capital Management.

$Tar \u26a1$

Tar ⚡
@itsTarH

China Index has corrected ~40% since its peak

Lot of regulatory crackdown in China. Top rated companies are available for huge discounts. $BABA for example now has a market cap of less than 600 Billion and is bigger than Amazon in every regard.

I have been aggressively investing more in Chinese equities than Indian ones.

https://t.co/W1RWdKU3sy

$Tar \u26a1$

Tar ⚡
@itsTarH

Amid the ongoing war, you would have heard Nickel rising by over 200%, Wheat by 80% and Oil by 50%

But did you know there is another asset class that rose by over 2000% since Dec

Todays thread is about Credit Default Swaps, an asset class only accessible to the ultra rich 🧵👇

This thread is divided into the following parts

1. Basics & History of Credit Default Swaps
2. How Russian CDS rose over 2000%?
3. Why these instruments are limited to the ultra wealthy?
4. Can you profit indirectly from CDS?

Credit Default Swaps belong to a category of derivative products called Swaps.

Derivative products are usually of two kinds

1. Standardized Derivative Products like Futures and Option Contracts that are traded over the exchange

2. Non Standardized Over the Counter Products like Forwards and Swaps

Swap at its simplest is an agreement between two parties to exchange a series of cash flows for a set period of time

Swaps were basically invented to help large banks and companies manage their interest rate and currency exposures

$Tar \u26a1$

Tar ⚡
@itsTarH

Wanted to invest in US Stocks?
Next couple of months are good for bottom fishing

High growth stocks with sky high valuations will finally come down to Earth🌎

My shopping list includes the below

Planet Labs
Rocket Lab
Upstart
Coupang
QS
Roblox
Ginkgo Bioworks

High Risk 🅾️

Two frequent questions

1. What website to use for data?
https://t.co/8A7w6qX4VQ

2. How do

Ans'ing other Qs, don't know all the companies, there are too many to track & I stick with what I know

Don't feel FOMO, entire year high growth names will correct

Hunt for picks within recent SPACs, most are duds, but higher chances you find a

A THREAD ON @SarangSood

Decoded his way of analysis/logics for everyone to easily understand.

Have covered:
1. Analysis of volatility, how to foresee/signs.
2. Workbook
3. When to sell options
4. Diff category of days
5. How movement of option prices tell us what will happen

1. Keeps following volatility super closely.

Makes 7-8 different strategies to give him a sense of what's going on.

Whichever gives highest profit he trades in.

I am quite different from your style. I follow the market's volatility very closely. I have mock positions in 7-8 different strategies which allows me to stay connected. Whichever gives best profit is usually the one i trade in.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) August 13, 2019

2. Theta falls when market moves.
Falls where market is headed towards not on our original position.

Anilji most of the time these days Theta only falls when market moves. So the Theta actually falls where market has moved to, not where our position was in the first place. By shifting we can come close to capturing the Theta fall but not always.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) June 24, 2019

3. If you're an options seller then sell only when volatility is dropping, there is a high probability of you making the right trade and getting profit as a result

He believes in a market operator, if market mover sells volatility Sarang Sir joins him.

This week has been great so far. The main aim is to be in the right side of the volatility, rest the market will reward.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) July 3, 2019

4. Theta decay vs Fall in vega

Sell when Vega is falling rather than for theta decay. You won't be trapped and higher probability of making profit.

There is a difference between theta decay & fall in vega. Decay is certain but there is no guaranteed profit as delta moves can increase cost. Fall in vega on the other hand is backed by a powerful force that sells options and gives handsome returns. Our job is to identify them.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) February 12, 2020