Reasons-
1. Long term channel top.
2. Curvature shift of 20 and 50 WMA along with price hitting 20 WMA frequently.
3. Overall weakness in IT sector.
4. For reference, study reliance top in August 2020, study Nasdaq Weekly chart and the top made in Nov 2021.
#tataelxi https://t.co/RmJa5LrdAP
I have traded the current fav Tata Elxi from 2200 to 4500. No regret on missing out rest of the move because I am not an investor. Now there are many technical red flags. I might be trolled but 10.5k looks max target while 5k or 3-4 years of sideways looks inevitable.#tataelxi
— Aakash Gangwar (@akashgngwr823) March 26, 2022
More from Aakash Gangwar
#CNXIT
Almost there. Be prepared to see 33k again in Nifty IT. Only for swing trades, no investment here. #CNXIT https://t.co/RMAsQweoFY pic.twitter.com/BmKD7g6Q8i
— Aakash Gangwar (@akashgngwr823) May 25, 2022
#nifty50 https://t.co/64ZktWHQev
This is the maximum upside for now, post that I am looking for an 8-9% fall in index.#nifty50 pic.twitter.com/BcSOiwWuBs
— Aakash Gangwar (@akashgngwr823) June 24, 2022
Do read it completely to understand the stance and the plan.
This thread will present a highly probable scenario of markets for the upcoming months. Will update the scenario too if there is a significant change in view in between.
— Aakash Gangwar (@akashgngwr823) May 15, 2022
1/n https://t.co/jfWOyEgZyd
1. The moving average structure - Many traders just look at the 200 ma test or closing above/below it regardless of its slope. Let's look at all the interactions with 200 ma where price met it for the first time after the trend change but with 200 ma slope against it
One can clearly sense that currently it is one of those scenarios only. I understand that I might get trolled for this, but an unbiased mind suggests that odds are highly against the bulls for making fresh investments.
But markets are good at giving surprises. What should be our stance if price kept on rising? Let's understand that through charts. The concept is still the same. Divergent 200 ma and price move results in 200 ma test atleast once which gives good investment opportunities.
2. Zig-Zag bear market- There are two types of fall in a bear market, the first one is vertical fall which usually ends with ending diagonals (falling wedges) and the second one is zig zag one which usually ends with parabolic down moves.
More from Tataelxsilongterm
This is line chart based arc I plotted a few days ago to see where does the target of 2nd arc completes. We got ~9200(+/- 100/-) Switch to candles. See rejection area. Arc on candles is not really ideal but on line it is. No view above 9200! MAs need to catch up. #TATAELXSI pic.twitter.com/WNJRZZedrj
— Ameya (@Finstor85) March 30, 2022