#FreeTip
#Positional
How to assess if a stock is too extended? Many find it difficult to assess the matured stage of a very strong uptrending stock.
1 easy way is avoid entering in the 5th base onwards during Stage 2 of the stock. For eg, Base count of #Intellect is in pic.

#FnO Stocks for Tom intraday trading 08/09/2021
Rules for Long
1) Break of Cam R4 / PDH whichever is higher.
2) Stop Cam R3.
3) If capital = 1 lac, then RA = 1% of 1lac = 1000, Posn Size = 1000 / (r4-r3)
4) Exit 50% - 75% at 1:2 Reward. Move stop to cost for remaining.
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5) Entry style finer tips - Breakout of R4; Plot a 20 period MA. If candle size is big on breakout of R4, wait for retest to either R4 or 20 period MA and enter at a bullish pa closer to any of these.
6) Exit style finer tips - Exit 50% at 1:2 (Very imp)....

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Balance 50%, either trail at cost or trail along with 20 period MA. Keep trailing SL in system. Not in mind.
7) Maximum loss per day should not exceed 3%, which means that by chance if you have tried 3 stocks and all 3 failed, stop trading for the day. Dont try to recover..

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8) Include your profits for next day position sizing thereby giving room for compounding gradually.
9) If broader market is in general up, it is better to enter r4 breakouts; if broader market is in general down, it is better to enter s4 breakouts....

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10) If not sure about broader markets, enter one r4 breakout and one s4 breakout simultaneously if your account size permits.
Good Luck.

#FreeTip If price falls below 30 week MA but 30 week moving average keeps rising, the first price move above 30 week MA is a high probability entry point for a good upmove; in majority cases it has given exceptional moves. Post your charts based on the above logic.

This is one example.... Save this pattern!!! There are other minor criteria to be followed as well. I have explained the main one....

#FreeTip To understand y htf is important and to understand LTF is a function of htf, best way is to open an LTF chart (25/15/5 min) and zoom out ( minimize) the charts to have a birds eye view . Compare it with htf chart ( 75min / daily) . You can understand the significance.

#NIFTY
Big Picture !!!
The monthly chart says it all for the next 2.5 years.
All u have to do is to continue your SIPs at any cost irrespective of violent volatilities.
Note: Dont start trolling if market comes down tom. It is big picture. Not for short term.
Good Luck.

#STRATEGY
For new traders who r clueless, an intraday strategy.
In @tradingview search supertrend, u find `supertrend strategy'; inbuilt one. Change input parameters to 10/3 for nifty. This is a continuous strategy. Follow entry signals; Exit if signal is intraday or at 3.15pm.

Nifty and RSI divergence. It is all about knowing your indicator well. Quick video (Hindi) :-)

SIMPLE & FREE LEARNING FOR U ALL FRIENDS

Is HDFC undervalued ?

Market capitalisation of HDFC is 3,10,478 Crores. But HDFC houses listed holdings worth 2,19,437 Crores and several unlisted businesses.

FY20 profit was 21,435 Crores. Setting aside the holdings, HDFC is trading at a PE of 3-4.

Let's dig deeper. A thread.

About HDFC

They are the leaders in housing finance.

AUM: 5,16,773 Crores
Secured Lending: 97%
CAR: 17.6%
NIM: 3.4%
Average Individual Loan: 27 Lakhs
Deposit Agents: 24000
Employees: 3095
Assets Per Employee: 163 Crores
Profit Per Employee: 3 Crores
Auditor Fees: 5.28 Crores

HDFC Bank

HDFC owns 21.24% of HDFC Bank. The stake is worth 1,22,812 Crores. In FY20 HDFC Bank paid a dividend of 864 Crores to HDFC.

HDFC sources 26% of the loans through HDFC Bank. HDFC Bank has the right to buy 70% of the loans sourced.

Performance of HDFC Bank:

HDFC Life

HDFC owns 51.44 of HDFC Life. The stake is worth 61,779 Crores. HDFC Life didn't pay a dividend last year adhering to the suggestions from IRDAI.

RBI has directed HDFC to bring its shareholding in HDFC Life to 50% by 16th December 2020.

Performance of HDFC Life:

HDFC AMC

HDFC owns 52.7% of HDFC AMC. The stake is worth 27,230 Crores. Last year HDFC AMC paid a dividend of 135 Crores to HDFC.

AUM: 3.7 Lakh Crores

Performance of HDFC AMC:

Everyone speaks about when to buy a stock. Hardly anyone speaks on when to "Sell".

Thread on when to sell a stock🧵

1) Repeated Corporate Governance issues - Exit a stock if there is news of repeated CG issues popping up every now and then. It takes a mountain to change a bad management. Better opportunities always exists.

2) If the financial performance of the company is declining - keep a watch on this over quarters to see if the performance in profits and sales is consistently going down. Attend AGM, Concalls to understand the reasons for same.

3) If the working capital days is increasing - keep a check on receivables days. A higher receivables days QoQ over a period, shows that working capital cycle is strained.

4) If borrowings increase - Check on if the borrowings have gone up due to capex or as a working capital effect. If for capex, check if company has ability to repay the same in a down cycle. Too much of leverage usually kills a business.

Let’s learn the divergence.

Whenever I teach, my moto is to make u master in that. U should get something new to learn even though when u already know that thing.

Divergence:- When price is not synchronised with the oscillator then the divergens occurs means

2/n
Means price is making higher high but oscillator doesn’t
or
price making lower low but oscillator doesn’t
means there is divergence as price is not synchronised with the oscillator.
Basically there are two kinds of divergence
-> Regular or classic.
-> Hidden divergence

3/n
A bullish divergence occurs when prices fall to a new low while an oscillator fails to reach a new low. This situation demonstrates that bears are losing power, and that bulls are ready to control the market again—often a bullish divergence marks the end of a downtrend.

4/n
Whereas Bearish divergence occurs when prices reaches to a new high while an oscillator fails to reach a new high. This situation demonstrates that bulls are losing power, and that bears are ready to control the market again—often a bearish divergence marks a halt uptrend.

5/n
Generally bullish divergence works better than bearish divergence.
bullish divergence provides you an opportunity to buy the stocks at bottom with very high risk to reward ratio.
Both divergence comes under regular or classic divergence.