Still confused about the 2nd dose vaccine supply? Me too, but I think this is what happened: 🧵

Let’s go chronologically. Last Thursday, governors wrote a letter to @SecAzar requesting second doses not be held in reserve and instead immediately be made available:

2. Friday, CNN reported the Biden team planned to do just that: https://t.co/X9Kl3pS2JF
3. Tuesday @SecAzar said OWS would make the change as well.

Azar: "We can now ship all of the doses, that had been held in physical reserve with second doses being supplied by doses coming off of manufacturing lines with quality control going forward."

https://t.co/4SSZHwlBFI
4. @SecAzar also noted in that announcement:

"Each week, doses available would be released to first cover the needed second doses, and then cover additional first vaccinations." (4)
5. There was an expectation that with release of 2nd doses would come an immediate increase in # of doses states could order.

That... didn't happen: https://t.co/DcH3ETSVVK
6. Governors, especially those who wrote original letter to @SecAzar, were angry.

MN's @GovTimWalz at a press conference yesterday: "They were lying. They don't have any doses held back. There is no strategic supply for the 2nd dose."

@OregonGovBrown: https://t.co/hA3zWKvt8N
7. This sounds devastating. But wait... Pfizer says it still has ALL its second doses of previous shipments to the US? So... there is a reserve? https://t.co/zYUM36jON4
8. @SecAzar was asked by @LesterHoltNBC last night about a reserve.

Azar: "No, there's not a reserve stockpile. We did that in December to be extra cautious." Bc of more confidence in manufacturing, "we've made that available for states to order." https://t.co/Ab8EYn7HZP
9. The wording around a reserve is confusing. Clearly, from Pfizer's statement, the 2nd doses to pair with the 1st exist. They will be used as 2nd doses, as we're now 1 month+ from 1st vaccines given, so many are now getting their 2nd shots.
10. Further, NYT reports it's all a big misunderstanding: https://t.co/tujiGMNG9l
11. The change is that Operation Warp Speed is no longer putting half of newly made vaccines into reserve as 2nd doses.

Ok. But. It still doesn't 100% add up.

Let's think about this in simple numbers bc it all makes my brain hurt:
12. Let's say week 1, 5M doses were available from Pfizer. 2.5M shipped as 1st dose, 2.5M stored as second.

The data show, though, only 1/3 were administered. So, 330K used, 670K stored (by states).

Stored doses now = 3.17M. Way more than were given as first shots.
13. Next week, same thing happens. 5M made. 2.5M shipped, 2.5M stored.

But again only 1/3 administered, so another 670K stored by states. Stored doses in week 2 now (states & federal) = 6.34M. [Remember these are hypothetical numbers, me trying to puzzle out what's happening.]
14. HHS says states are only ordering 75% of what they could. We know CDC & state vaccination numbers have a lag, and more is getting used, but there seems to still be excess vaccine out there.

Did I say at the beginning of this thread I was going to clear this up? 🤷‍♀️
15. Finally, one thing @PresElectBiden pledged in his vaccine speech yesterday was transparency. Hope that is true bc it would help a lot (clearly).

Now, everyone tell me how I got this wrong (srsly) - what did I miss?

cc @walidgellad @CT_Bergstrom @jasonlschwartz
16. Actually one more thing, which was the impetus for me waking up on a Saturday AM & feeling like I HAD to write a 16-tweet thread:

This miscommunication had real implications for people trying to get vaccines. Oregon now says seniors will have to wait 2 more weeks:
17. We can argue over whose fault this miscommunication was (and that’s already happening between federal govt and states), but the bottom line is - this really sucks for people who desperately want vaccines.

We need much, much more clear communication on supply.
18. I did this before coffee and now realize my hypothetical math was all over the place (ie when I calculated 1/3 of hypothetical doses administered I did it out of 1M rather than 2.5M). So the hypothetical numbers are off, but they’re hypothetical so. Anyway more ☕️

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Tomorrow, January 6th, MAGA chuds, Proud Boys, and white supremacists are planned to descend on Washington D.C. to contest the election. Among them will be NSC-131, a New England based neo-Nazi organization. Let's welcome them by saying hi to one of their members, Eddie Stuart!


Edward Stuart, from Chester, New Hampshire, has been a member of Nationalist Social Club (NSC) since the very beginning and is a staple participant in their actions. He is known in NSC chats as "Carl Jung" and is well connected in the New England Nazi scene.
2/


NSC-131 is a neo-Nazi group that was started in Massachusetts in early 2020 by Chris Hood. You can learn more about NSC and it's members in these threads:


Eddie describes his ideology as "Esoteric Hitlerism" which is an occult form of Nazism that literally worships Adolf Hitler as a god, or, specifically, as an incarnation of the Hindu God Vishnu. Here is Ed holding the RigVeda with some of his occult Nazi pals. Interesting Ed!
4/


Much of this ideological insight was gained from Eddie's Twitter, where he originally used his "Carl Jung" persona and reposts explicit neo-fascist content and racist memes. In one edited picture, Eddie can be seen at an NSC event in late June 2020 holding a Nazi Sonnenrad flag
5
I’ll address every nonsense argument and lie used to defend the suicidal gender ideology Thats in vogue today:

3:45 - “So what if you don’t have gametes?”

It’s called a birth defect. You’re still male or female.


~5:00 *nonsense trying to say the sexes of seahorses could be swapped coz male carry the eggs*

male doesn’t produce eggs, he produces the sperm. He’s still the male. If I impregnated a chick then carried the amniotic sac in a backpack ‘til the baby was done I’ll still be male🤦‍♂️

5:10 - we could say there’s 4 sexes of fruit fly cause there’s 3 producers of different sized sperm

No. They’re still producing sperm. They’re males. This is idiotic. Is this whole video like this? (Probably. 99% likely. Abandon hope.)

~6:10 - hermaphroditism and sequential hermaphroditism exists therefore....

No. Some animals being hermaphrodites, which is meaningless w/o the existence of binary sex to contrast it to, still doesn’t make gender ideology or transgenderism valid.

Intersex ≠ transgenderism 🙄

6:20 - bilateral gynandromorphism is a disorder in some species (not in humans). Has nothing to do w/ “gender” or transgenderism.

Ova-testes in humans are also a disorder, usually found in those w/ the karyotype disorders that you ppl also try to appropriate (extra X’s/Y’s).

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MDZS is laden with buddhist references. As a South Asian person, and history buff, it is so interesting to see how Buddhism, which originated from India, migrated, flourished & changed in the context of China. Here's some research (🙏🏼 @starkjeon for CN insight + citations)

1. LWJ’s sword Bichen ‘is likely an abbreviation for the term 躲避红尘 (duǒ bì hóng chén), which can be translated as such: 躲避: shunning or hiding away from 红尘 (worldly affairs; which is a buddhist teaching.) (
https://t.co/zF65W3roJe) (abbrev. TWX)

2. Sandu (三 毒), Jiang Cheng’s sword, refers to the three poisons (triviṣa) in Buddhism; desire (kāma-taṇhā), delusion (bhava-taṇhā) and hatred (vibhava-taṇhā).

These 3 poisons represent the roots of craving (tanha) and are the cause of Dukkha (suffering, pain) and thus result in rebirth.

Interesting that MXTX used this name for one of the characters who suffers, arguably, the worst of these three emotions.

3. The Qian kun purse “乾坤袋 (qián kūn dài) – can be called “Heaven and Earth” Pouch. In Buddhism, Maitreya (मैत्रेय) owns this to store items. It was believed that there was a mythical space inside the bag that could absorb the world.” (TWX)
Margatha Natarajar murthi - Uthirakosamangai temple near Ramanathapuram,TN
#ArudraDarisanam
Unique Natarajar made of emerlad is abt 6 feet tall.
It is always covered with sandal paste.Only on Thriuvadhirai Star in month Margazhi-Nataraja can be worshipped without sandal paste.


After removing the sandal paste,day long rituals & various abhishekam will be
https://t.co/e1Ye8DrNWb day Maragatha Nataraja sannandhi will be closed after anointing the murthi with fresh sandal paste.Maragatha Natarajar is covered with sandal paste throughout the year


as Emerald has scientific property of its molecules getting disturbed when exposed to light/water/sound.This is an ancient Shiva temple considered to be 3000 years old -believed to be where Bhagwan Shiva gave Veda gyaana to Parvati Devi.This temple has some stunning sculptures.
The entire discussion around Facebook’s disclosures of what happened in 2016 is very frustrating. No exec stopped any investigations, but there were a lot of heated discussions about what to publish and when.


In the spring and summer of 2016, as reported by the Times, activity we traced to GRU was reported to the FBI. This was the standard model of interaction companies used for nation-state attacks against likely US targeted.

In the Spring of 2017, after a deep dive into the Fake News phenomena, the security team wanted to publish an update that covered what we had learned. At this point, we didn’t have any advertising content or the big IRA cluster, but we did know about the GRU model.

This report when through dozens of edits as different equities were represented. I did not have any meetings with Sheryl on the paper, but I can’t speak to whether she was in the loop with my higher-ups.

In the end, the difficult question of attribution was settled by us pointing to the DNI report instead of saying Russia or GRU directly. In my pre-briefs with members of Congress, I made it clear that we believed this action was GRU.