The next case to emerge was a guest at the hotel who left HQ on Dec 7 after completing their 14 days
They were tested as a result of the AO testing positive
That result came back on the 9th
I have worked all day on the Holiday Inn Cluster timeline
The first case was reported late on Feb 7
This was the Authorised Officer who tested negative after a shift on Feb 4, returned to work on the 7th, developed symptoms and tested positive
The next case to emerge was a guest at the hotel who left HQ on Dec 7 after completing their 14 days
They were tested as a result of the AO testing positive
That result came back on the 9th
All had B.1.1.7 VOC
That family was transferred to a hot hotel on Feb 4
The father in the family of 3 was admitted to ICU on the 9th
The intersection point is a hotel quarantine worker and it is a little confusing as the TLs overlap
A man in his 30s from the Coburg area who had been at a Private Dining function on the 6th
38 guests and staff at the function were told to quarantine that night
He was also a friend of a HQW
The night before, the 6th, she had been at the Dinning Function
As an identified close contact through her work at the Holiday Inn she quarantined on the 9th and tested on the 10th which was positive
They retested the HQW's Feb 7th sample and it returned a weak positive leading investigators to conclude the first test was a false negative (a rarity)
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Brief thread to debunk the repeated claims we hear about transmission not happening 'within school walls', infection in school children being 'a reflection of infection from the community', and 'primary school children less likely to get infected and contribute to transmission'.
I've heard a lot of scientists claim these three - including most recently the chief advisor to the CDC, where the claim that most transmission doesn't happen within the walls of schools. There is strong evidence to rebut this claim. Let's look at
Let's look at the trends of infection in different age groups in England first- as reported by the ONS. Being a random survey of infection in the community, this doesn't suffer from the biases of symptom-based testing, particularly important in children who are often asymptomatic
A few things to note:
1. The infection rates among primary & secondary school children closely follow school openings, closures & levels of attendance. E.g. We see a dip in infections following Oct half-term, followed by a rise after school reopening.
We see steep drops in both primary & secondary school groups after end of term (18th December), but these drops plateau out in primary school children, where attendance has been >20% after re-opening in January (by contrast with 2ndary schools where this is ~5%).
I've heard a lot of scientists claim these three - including most recently the chief advisor to the CDC, where the claim that most transmission doesn't happen within the walls of schools. There is strong evidence to rebut this claim. Let's look at
The science shows us that most disease transmission does not happen in the walls of the school, but it comes in from the community. So, CDC is advocating to get our K-5 students back in school at least in a hybrid mode with universal mask wearing and 6 ft of distancing. https://t.co/dfvJ2nl2s4
— Rochelle Walensky, MD, MPH (@CDCDirector) February 14, 2021
Let's look at the trends of infection in different age groups in England first- as reported by the ONS. Being a random survey of infection in the community, this doesn't suffer from the biases of symptom-based testing, particularly important in children who are often asymptomatic
A few things to note:
1. The infection rates among primary & secondary school children closely follow school openings, closures & levels of attendance. E.g. We see a dip in infections following Oct half-term, followed by a rise after school reopening.
We see steep drops in both primary & secondary school groups after end of term (18th December), but these drops plateau out in primary school children, where attendance has been >20% after re-opening in January (by contrast with 2ndary schools where this is ~5%).
