I have worked all day on the Holiday Inn Cluster timeline

The first case was reported late on Feb 7
This was the Authorised Officer who tested negative after a shift on Feb 4, returned to work on the 7th, developed symptoms and tested positive

A cohort of her colleagues were then required to test and quarantine

The next case to emerge was a guest at the hotel who left HQ on Dec 7 after completing their 14 days

They were tested as a result of the AO testing positive

That result came back on the 9th
On the 9th it was also determined that the viral genome sequence for the AO case was identical to a family of 3 who had been at the Holiday Inn

All had B.1.1.7 VOC

That family was transferred to a hot hotel on Feb 4
Feb 3 and 4 are now believed to be the exposure dates relevant to the beginning of the cluster

The father in the family of 3 was admitted to ICU on the 9th
As of Feb 14 there are 16 cases linked back to the Holiday Inn but there is a sub cluster linked to a Private Dining event in Coburg on Feb 6 for 5 of those cases

The intersection point is a hotel quarantine worker and it is a little confusing as the TLs overlap
On Saturday Feb 13 a new case was reported whose positive result came in overnight

A man in his 30s from the Coburg area who had been at a Private Dining function on the 6th

38 guests and staff at the function were told to quarantine that night

He was also a friend of a HQW
The HQW had worked on the 7th and tested negative at the end of the shift

The night before, the 6th, she had been at the Dinning Function

As an identified close contact through her work at the Holiday Inn she quarantined on the 9th and tested on the 10th which was positive
Because she had apparently been negative on the 7th her infectious period did not extend back to the 6th and the Private Dining Function was therefore not included as an exposure site
When the man in his 30s tested positive contacts tracers linked him to the HQW and both to the function on the 6th

They retested the HQW's Feb 7th sample and it returned a weak positive leading investigators to conclude the first test was a false negative (a rarity)
Linked to the Dining Event there are now 5 positive cases

The HQW who is presumably now the source for that event
Her partner and a house mate

And today we learned of a 3 yo child and a woman in her 50s from separate households who have tested positive
The mother of the 3 yo is under investigation after a series of tests

I hope that makes it a bit clearer to see the connections and the timeline

More from Society

global health policy in 2020 has centered around NPI's (non-pharmaceutical interventions) like distancing, masks, school closures

these have been sold as a way to stop infection as though this were science.

this was never true and that fact was known and knowable.

let's look.


above is the plot of social restriction and NPI vs total death per million. there is 0 R2. this means that the variables play no role in explaining one another.

we can see this same relationship between NPI and all cause deaths.

this is devastating to the case for NPI.


clearly, correlation is not proof of causality, but a total lack of correlation IS proof that there was no material causality.

barring massive and implausible coincidence, it's essentially impossible to cause something and not correlate to it, especially 51 times.

this would seem to pose some very serious questions for those claiming that lockdowns work, those basing policy upon them, and those claiming this is the side of science.

there is no science here nor any data. this is the febrile imaginings of discredited modelers.

this has been clear and obvious from all over the world since the beginning and had been proven so clearly by may that it's hard to imagine anyone who is actually conversant with the data still believing in these responses.

everyone got the same R

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