Seen a lot of people aver the following, "but where are the jobs?" in response to someone asserting the need to incentivize the movement of our people from agriculture to industry.
Well, here's one major part of the big answer: Labour reforms.

Thread👇

I think people haven't fully realised the potential of inducing flexibility in labour laws and reducing the regulatory cholesterol that has tarred our system for decades.

Rajasthan State government introduced the labour reforms in 2014 wrt +
+ raising the threshold levels for applicability of different acts, dispute resolution etc. (Refer to images for a more detailed understanding of the reforms)
Based on this, the Economic survey of 2019 (Chapter 3) notes the following improvements in Rajasthan's MSME network:

1. India has a major problem of dwarf firms i.e. firms that remain small despite being old and are not able to employ more than 10-20 workers.
Well, after the reforms, Rajasthan has witnessed a significant rise in number of firms with more than 100 employees as compared to the rest of India. (refer graph)

2. The number of factories establishing with more than 100 workers were growing on an average of 3.65%, +
+ and two years post labour reforms, the growth accelerated to 9.33%. On the contrary, the growth for the rest of India clocked a 4% average growth rate only.

3. The most important point: the average number of workers per factory in Rajasthan increased at the+
rate of 4.17% in 2016-17 as opposed to a decline i.e. -8.9% in 2011-12.

Here are some interesting figures from the Economic survey highlighting the significant improvement in the situation of Rajasthan as compared to the rest of India. (They really need to work on aesthetics)
Now, very similar reforms have been enlisted in our labour codes that have the ability to create massive employment and enable our firms to hire radically and create a vibrant labour market. The farm reforms along with the labour reforms present +
+ India with a focal point to set our terms of trade between agriculture and industry right, and in a very gradual manner.

Excessive and absurd labour regulations have been one of the biggest reasons for our inability to grow a thriving manufacturing sector with a large labour+
+ market. For people who are interested in reading in-depth about the labour reforms, their significance and the history of labour laws in various states can refer to this paper that I co-authored.

https://t.co/J8oA2goRLr
Source of data and charts: The Economic Survey of India 2018-19, Chapter- 3, Nourishing dwarfs to become giants: Reorienting policies for MSME growth.

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The Nashville Operation - A Battle in the War

A thread exploring the Nashville bombing in the context of the 2020 Digital War (via SolarWinds) against the United States perpetrated by our enemies, likely China, Iran and/or Russia.


SolarWinds Hack

A digital "Pearl Harbor" moment for the United States, whoever was responsible had access to the keys to the kingdom for months during 2020, including sensitive military infrastructure. This is war!

SunGard + SolarWinds

SolarWinds software company is owned by same company that owns SunGard, which essentially provides data center services. A secure place to host internet servers with redundant power and "big pipe" data connections.

https://t.co/U3P3SrrkM1


SunGard Data Center

In Nashville, around the corner from their "big pipe" connection, AT&T. Like any data center, highly secure. Only authorized personnel can enter, and even fewer can access the actual server rooms. Backup generators are available in case of power failure.


If the SunGard hardware was being used to "host" critical command and control software related to SolarWinds, the US powers would be very interested in gaining special access keys that are stored on the hard-drives of specific servers.
I've seen many news articles cite that "the UK variant could be the dominant strain by March". This is emphasized by @CDCDirector.

While this will likely to be the case, this should not be an automatic cause for concern. Cases could still remain contained.

Here's how: 🧵

One of @CDCgov's own models has tracked the true decline in cases quite accurately thus far.

Their projection shows that the B.1.1.7 variant will become the dominant variant in March. But interestingly... there's no fourth wave. Cases simply level out:

https://t.co/tDce0MwO61


Just because a variant becomes the dominant strain does not automatically mean we will see a repeat of Fall 2020.

Let's look at UK and South Africa, where cases have been falling for the past month, in unison with the US (albeit with tougher restrictions):


Furthermore, the claim that the "variant is doubling every 10 days" is false. It's the *proportion of the variant* that is doubling every 10 days.

If overall prevalence drops during the studied time period, the true doubling time of the variant is actually much longer 10 days.

Simple example:

Day 0: 10 variant / 100 cases -> 10% variant
Day 10: 15 variant / 75 cases -> 20% variant
Day 20: 20 variant / 50 cases -> 40% variant

1) Proportion of variant doubles every 10 days
2) Doubling time of variant is actually 20 days
3) Total cases still drop by 50%

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