https://t.co/g4rQMNiWr1

Most people suck at decision-making.

Let's change that.

Here are 15 of the best decision-making mental models I've found 🧵

The Inside-Outside View

We have a natural tendency to favour the inside view—our own independent solution to a problem that incorporates all of our hidden biases.

To make better decisions, we should favour the outside view—one that incorporates the best available data.

Ladder of Inference

Describes the thinking process we go through—often subconsciously—to get from a fact to a decision or action.

To make better decisions, we should move slowly and deliberately from the bottom of the ladder to the top of the ladder.

h/t (image) - @amrancz

Confidence Determines Speed vs. Quality

The more confidence you have in the importance of a problem and your understanding of its solution, the more you should focus on quality.

However, if you need to learn more, move fast and break things.

h/t - @BrandonMChu

@BrandonMChu Devil’s Advocate Position

The antidote to confirmation bias.

It involves forcing yourself to view a decision from the opposite viewpoint or finding people who disagree with you.

It forces you to create a more compelling argument.

Don't take my word for it:

15 Deep Philosophy Quotes of "Marcus Aurelius"

| Thread

1. "It never ceases to amaze me: we all love ourselves more than other people,

But care more about their opinions than our own."

- Marcus Aurelius

2. “The happiness of your life depends upon the quality of your thoughts.”

- Marcus Aurelius

3. "If someone can prove me wrong and show me my mistake in any thought or action, I shall gladly change.

I seek the truth, which never harmed anyone:

The harm is to persist in one's own self-deception and ignorance."

- Marcus Aurelius

4. "When you arise in the morning, think of what a precious privilege it is to be alive

to breathe, to think, to enjoy, to love."

- Marcus Aurelius

15 Philosophy Quotes From "Cicero"

| Thread

1. “A room without books is like a body without a soul.”

- Marcus Tullius Cicero

2. "Never was a government that was not composed of liars, malefactors, and thieves."

- Marcus Tullius Cicero

3. "More is lost by indecision than wrong decision.

Indecision is the thief of opportunity.

It will steal you blind."

- Marcus Tullius Cicero

4. "The wise are instructed by reason,
average minds by experience,
the stupid by necessity and the brute by instinct."

- Marcus Tullius Cicero

20 THINGS PEOPLE LEARN TOO LATE:

1. Don’t tell people more than they need to know, respect your privacy.

2. Every challenge, Hard time, and pain you endure will turn into Strength, resilience and Blessings.

3. Don't argue with people who want to misunderstand you - Starve them with silence.

4. Life is short, don’t forget to make a life and not just a living.