Categories Politics
I can't stress this enough: From the top down, if the people responsible for today's events face no consequences for what they've done, the next time will be much worse. If a political line is crossed, either enforce its existence or accept that the line no longer exists.
— Patrick Wyman (@Patrick_Wyman) January 7, 2021
The people who raided the capitol last night ought to be punished. But they are foot soldiers. The real threat to the republic is an axis of political leaders (Trump, Cruz, Hawley etc) and right wing media outlets (Fox, OANN on down the line) who have whipped up the storm.
The thing, for me, that is crucial to understand about this moment in American history is how much it is powered by lying. Non-stop lying. The lying, misinformation, and disinformation is *the* salient point.
Because let's do a reverse thought experiment. Let's say, for example, Trump and Co. straight up stole the election. Losing on election night, he makes phone calls to several allied secretaries of state who suddenly announce a bunch of new votes for Trump and he's won GA/PA...
...let's further stipulate these calls get leaked. It leads to more hard evidence. Witnesses, data trail, video etc. It is clearly established the election results are fraudulent. But Trump and the GOP push ahead with Electoral College certification...
Who has a good paper on why the US has just two parties?
— Matthew Yglesias \U0001f366 (@mattyglesias) November 28, 2020
It\u2019s not first past the post (Canada, UK) or presidentialism (Mexico, Brazil) so what gives?
I think the electoral systems, more so first past the post than presidentialism, come into it, but they’re not the main factor. Most of it comes down to America’s, all together now, material conditions.
As @cushbomb has been noting a lot recently, America’s wealth of wide open land which you could keep settling allowed potential labour unrest to be diffused. There was always more to get.
So you don’t end up with a Labour party, and around the time other countries did, America was going through the progressive era, which both parties were flirting with. The Socialists and Communists were repressed, so they couldn’t be the left alternative either.
The Progressive Party probably came the closest of anyone to breaking the GOP-Dem dynamic but honestly if they did they probably would have supplanted one of those parties entirely, just as the Republicans supplanted the Whigs, so it would have just been another 2 party system.
.@HawleyMO @SenHawleyPress
Phone: (202) 224-6154
.@SenJohnKennedy
Phone: (202) 224 4623
Phone: (318) 445 2892
Phone: (225) 926 8033
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.@SenTedCruz @TedCruz
Phone: (202) 224-5922
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.@SenRickScott
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Johnson staged a conspiracy Senate panel of covid vaccine skeptics, anti-maskers, and fake drug promoters just weeks ago. He is avidly pro-covid in addition to spreading Hunter Biden conspiracies and saying Biden stole the election with "voter
Every mainstream news outlet, not just @MeetThePress, books conspiracy theorists because they believe Republicans deserve a platform to spread their misinformation. This is not journalism and @chucktodd does not care one wink about it
Ron Johnson is also an outspoken climate denier. He has spoken about this 40,000 times because it helps him politically. He is a conspiracy theorist.
Yet @chucktodd invites him on MTP despite saying two years ago he wouldn't book climate
Ron Johnson lied about Hunter Biden having child pornography on his computer
Ron Johnson is a guest on Meet the Press on Sunday because @chucktodd does nothing to stop the spread of misinformation
Ron Johnson is on Fox News suggesting there's child pornography on the computer that purportedly belongs to Hunter Biden pic.twitter.com/rwvyL1UH4i
— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) October 18, 2020
Let's be clear: For the far-right groups that carried out Trump's insurrection, the siege of the Capitol was a huge success, a major propaganda coup. I talked to experts in right-wing extremism about what this event really meant to them. Alarming stuff:https://t.co/EzjeGsTlZK
— Greg Sargent (@ThePlumLineGS) January 8, 2021
Trajectory 1: The attack becomes a signal event like Ruby Ridge or Waco, and extremists use it as a rallying point going forward. They will certainly try to do this, but there are some key differences.
Primarily, the tepid federal response (which is bad on most levels) doesn't compare to those events, where LE screwed up and people died as an unambiguous result of questionable or straight bad LE action rather than the melee situation here.
Also those cases were the result of proactive federal enforcement, as opposed to a clearly defense posture here.
Trajectory 2 is backlash. There's some growing evidence for that in the snap polls from the last couple days. See:
https://t.co/lOi6DCZ9CK
https://t.co/lOi6DCZ9CK
This won't affect the diehards, but it might suggest the event won't bring a lot new blood into the movement.
Support for Trump supporters breaking into the US Capitol via new PBS/Marist poll:
— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) January 8, 2021
All Americans:
8% support
88% oppose
Republicans:
18% support
80% oppose
Democrats:
3% support
96% oppose