Classical #Liberalism gets mocked a lot but it's a very powerful and valuable idea and generalizes beyond human beings.

A bunch of agents with come together and create an agreement to follow rules which move them out of bad Nash Equilibria, but with some remaining freedom.

A "Bad Nash Equilibrium" is a solution to a game where everyone does what is personally best for them, but the overall result is extremely bad for everyone. Rules/Laws are typically designed to get us out of these

In the past, societies often took extreme measures to keep people out of bad Nash Equilibria, such as cutting people's hands off for stealing, or stoning adulterers to death.

It is good that we don't brutalize people to fix collective games. Classical #Liberalism is good!

But something has clearly gone wrong. The #Liberal order in The West is being replaced by the #Woke.

What exactly is #Woke, in terms of game theory? That's more complicated.

Classical #Liberalism is something like this:

"Apply the minimum amount of coercion necessary to get society out of bad Nash Equilibria"

Here's what I'm watching in exit polls tonight (1/thread):

White voters without a college degree:

This group propelled Trump to the presidency in 2016, but now, Biden hopes to narrow the gap. Trump won them by 31 points in Michigan, 32 points in Pennsylvania and 28 points in Wisconsin. Trump needs to try to hold those margins again.

Seniors:

Trump won voters over 65 years old by 7 points in 2016, but amid a pandemic that is disproportionately killing older Americans, Biden may win them back in key states like Florida. Plus, Trump won White seniors by 19 points. Can Biden break even?

White women:

Pre-election polls suggest Trump is losing ground with this group, but he needs to stop the bleeding to have a fighting chance. A gaping gender gap could be fatal to Trump's reelection bid. Trump won White women by 9 points in 2016.

Black and Latino voters, especially men:

Trump has been pushing to make inroads with Black and Latino men, where even a small shift could help make up losses with other groups. Hillary Clinton won Black men by 69 points and Latino men by 31 points in 2016.

1/ We must stop Republicans from helping Trump “poison the wells“ and “salt the fields“ of America.

2/ Donald Trump‘s treason extends far beyond his efforts to damage Americans belief in our form of government, our elected democratic republic, that Trump’s oligarch buddies in Saudi Arabia, Russia and China also regularly disparage.

3/ Trump’s also actively damaging the ability of the incoming Biden administration to aid Americans during the Trump Depression, and to get the virus in check. In this, he has help from Steve Mnuchin and Mitch McConnell.

4/ While McConnell refuses to even allow a conversation in the Senate about the HEROS Act that already passed the House and would put money in unemployed Americans’ pockets, Mnuchin wants the Fed to return the CARES Act money that they’re leveraging to sustain the stock market.

5/ As Senator Ron Wyden said, “As the economy backslides amid skyrocketing Covid-19 cases, Secretary Mnuchin is engaged in economic sabotage, and trying to tie the Biden administration's hands.”

Major leak 'exposes' members and 'lifts the lid' on the Chinese Communist Party

(1/3)

Dear the @USArmy @USMarshalsHQ @USSOCOM @82ndABNDiv @USNationalGuard @SpaceForceDoD @usairforce do you really realize that the election cheaters won, even when there was FOREIGN interferences in 2020 national election? @DNI_Ratcliffe @SpaceForceCSO

This is how I see polling. Your results may vary.

1. For 90% of the time the pollsters can just make shit up within reason
2. They have to at least be in the realm of reality to be believed.
3. Sometimes their desire to push a particular point even outweighs this and

3. (cont) they push really fake polls that all the media report as God's honest truth like 90% of Americans believe in masks 🙄🙄 or that Biden is up by +14pts nationally while He is still fighting in PA🙄🙄.
4. But for the most part they stay within the realm of reality

5. The only "check" on pollsters is an election, where reality is actually measured not polled.

6. It is then extremely important that the pollsters get those last couple of polls before an election as close to reality as possible.

7. They need to get those final polls right.

8. Once the election is held and those final polls are compared to reality, the pollsters will loudly proclaim "See, the polls are right all the time because we got the election right"

9. Then the day after the election they can go back to fudging reality.

10. Many people fall for it, every time. Then it's simply a matter of rinse and repeat as the pollsters are paid to form public opinion not measure it until the next election.

11. Granted there are some pollsters that don't do this and strive to get it "right" every time.

1/ Today, @nbcnews published my latest feature on the falsehoods and conspiracy theories that have defined Donald Trump's presidency.

It's the culmination of many years of reporting, so I thought I'd take you on a little trip through fact check history...

2/ But first, please read the story!

3/ I started this work as a campaign reporter — watching the now-president come down the escalator at Trump Tower in 2015 — and realizing that this beat would be different, that this candidate was different, and he was frequently not telling the truth.

4/ I chased Trump and other candidates all around the country for 18 months. By the time we reached the fall of the general election, the falsehoods were coming fast and furious

5/ I'd cut my teeth as a young reporter fact checking other reporters' stories at major magazines for $.

And it had been several years since, but I couldn't really shake the instinct to print all the speeches and debates and take my trusty red and black pens to them.

A coalition of more than 130 different organizations are planning protests across the United States, in the event Pres. Trump tries to undermine the integrity of the election and claim victory before all ballots are counted. The events are listed at https://t.co/nASdXGBPlk.

The coalition includes groups like Planned Parenthood, Black Lives Matter, the Women’s March, Supermajority, Vote Save America, and the Sunrise Movement.

‘We can’t assume that Donald Trump will respect the peaceful transfer of power,’ said group founder Sean Eldridge, adding that if Trump tries to interfere any further, ‘then we would mobilize.’

Trump has not yet committed to a peaceful transition of power, and his sudden push for all ballots to be counted by the end of Election Day is his latest effort to engage in voter suppression or intimidation tactics...

..., as well as cast the election as illegitimate before it’s even over. It is important to note that ‘race calls’ from news outlets on Election night are unofficial projections, not confirmed victories or losses. A full count is never completed on Election Day itself.

1/ BRENNAN,Quivers&2020=HINDSIGHT
Thread @TinkerTricity

FBI:Peter Strzok Worked For The CIA Under Obama -
https://t.co/WX5UcKmWnR Peter Strzok, FBI agent who led “Operation Crossfire Hurricane ”designed to bring down President Trump, was undercover CIA,planted by Brennan

well... it's time for my ELECTION FORECAST.

First, some notes about my thoughts, and statistics, etc...

If you want to see the forecasts, just scroll on past the next few tweets to get to that... BUT these notes are important.

1/

My feeling is that the polls are getting this wrong, and in a BIG WAY. There are so many factors that are the cause... I'll run through them.

First, the media and pollsters are GREATLY underestimating the extreme anger rising up in the American population against trump...

2/

It's hard to overstate this. This is an election like no other in modern history. We have a president and an administration who are actively killing people during an election cycle, and seem to have no qualms about doing so... and the public is ACUTELY AWARE of this.

3/

Next, the youth vote. We're seeing a 600% increase in the youth vote, just in early voting, down here in Texas... and similar huge increases across the country. Pollsters aren't reaching these people... at all.

4/

Next, first time voters. This factor is massive. We're seeing huge numbers of first time voters across the country. Pollsters will never reach these people, as they don't fall into the categories of "active" or "likely" voters.

5/

Awarding Electoral Votes

All 50 states and the District of Columbia use one of two methods for awarding their electoral votes:

The Winner-Take-All System

In 48 states and the District of Columbia, when a candidate for president wins a state's popular vote, that party's slate

The president elect Maia Sandu may encounter problems in the relations with Russia. Here is the THREAD (/18):

1.The election of the new Moldovan president inevitably influences FP, but less structurally and more at the institutional level. Objectively, the qualitative transformations in FP began after the fall of the oligarchic regime in the summer of 2019.

2.The presidential elections in November 2020 and the victory of Maia Sandu can produce qualitative changes at the level of the president's institution. Therefore, under Sandu's leadership, the president's office needs to escape from "isolation", and less so the country.

3. In practical and conceptual terms, Sandu’s presidency has to dismantle the geopolitical prejudices. These have become, on the one hand, an indivisible element of the presidency because of Dodon's membership in Eurasian cultural-traditionalist space, attributable to Russia.

4.On the other hand, the presidency was dragged into regional geopolitical animosities, imported for propaganda purposes by the oligarchic regime, perceived as a pro-EU political actor.

An E-day thread: For 4 years, Trump has governed as a wartime president for red America, w/blue America, not any foreign adversary as the target. That's provoked an enormous reaction from the diverse, well-educated urban centers & inner suburbs driving eco growth & innovation

Tonight will tell whether it's enough, but the scale of the mobilization from blue America-primarily metro America-is unprecedented. It's measured, for starters, in the record-setting Democratic fund-raising, mostly from small donors in well-educated areas, that's swamped Rs

It's measured in outpouring of celebrity support for Biden: ads from Brad Pitt, @springsteen, Eminem, campaigning by Cardi B, John Legend, Lady Gaga, Common, Spike Lee, Taylor Swift's twitter activism, $-raising reunions by casts of Avengers, Princess Bride, Veep & Happy Days etc

Its measured in the unprecedented crossover support for Biden from top officials in the other party: hundreds of former GOP national security officials (including Reagan's FBI Director & W's CIA head); top staff for past 3 GOP presidential nominees;

Dozens of former GOP elected officials (including Governors, Senators & House); Reagan WH lawyers; former US Attorneys; about half of W's Cabinet; Cindy McCain. No nominee has ever won as much support from prominent figures in other party-not even Nixon 72

1/15 Good morning sports fans! How did you spend your night? I watched MSNBC, love Kornacki, you can have the rest of them, but I hated whenever the sound came on saying IT'S TIME TO CALL SOMETHING. It was always something like Kentucky or South Dakota, Vermont or New York. At

2/15 one point I wrote on Twitter we're on the roller coaster now. That feeling of this is being done to me, I don't like it but at this point I have no choice, I'm on for the ride. I watched as Kornacki flipped over the counties in Florida, a remarkable number of which I was

3/15 familiar with either from having been there or listening to any number of podcasts instructing me what to look out for. Very depressing. Oh shit. This feels like 2016, I said -- as did everyone else watching the returns. I started nodding off around 9PM and finally decided

4/15 to go to bed at 10, and woke up at 1AM, and went looking to see how things had turned out and I literally screamed out loud when I saw Trump was ahead in Wisconsin. Oy oy oy. So here we are. And where is that exactly?

5/15 Well, Biden is very likely to win. And that is good news, even though they're already spinning on the webs that it would have been better if we won the Senate and lost the presidency, which is such utter bullshit. People are so stupid. Getting rid of Trump was job #1, and it