1) FL absentees, early voting:

*Dems as expected ("souls to the polls Sunday") had a good day and FINALLY take the early walk-in vote lead by 6,100 votes.

Rs total: 1,151,593
Ds total: 1,092,547

Rs +59,046 combined lead. This is very good for this point in the campaign.

2) At this point in 2016, Rs only led by 40,000. I could be mistaken but I think yesterday was the last day polls were open on Sunday, so the final "souls to the polls" Sunday.

3) As of yesterday, four red counties were yet to report. That would likely boost the lead back to 70k
4) I don't think the FL Rs in their wildest dreams expected to lead this late in the campaign.

5) Likewise in NV:
Clark (with its union "encouragement" for members turned out big yesterday and added net 6,000 voters.

However---big however---neither Washoe nor the rurals . . .
(5) contd. . . were open yesterday. My guesstimate is that would slice that number in half.

While this helped, the NV Ds are still looking at a significant--to potentially massive--shortfall from their 2016 numbers coming out of early voting.
6) Gotta make sure you compare days to days. Calendars and voting days differ.
7) But whether the "equivalent" day is 40k or 16k, Republicans are doing fantastically well when you consider we do not know how many red votes are outstanding . . . and they are red votes.

8) Again, I think before it's all over the hurricane only reduces overall Panhandle . . .
8) contd. . . votes by as few as 2,000, with new polling stations being set up all across the Panhandle by Gov. Scott.
9) Will have OH news later today, probably MN news tomorrow.

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