So here's a thread about how Bollywood has been severely impacted by the recent events and how it might be a body blow to the entertainment industry as we know it, if the situation doesn't change in six months
Bollywood is going through an unimaginable crisis.
Many big budget films are rotting in the cans while most under-production films are stuck.
The multiplexes are bleeding and single screens are gasping for breath.
The OTT platforms have become really choosy.
Who will report this?
So here's a thread about how Bollywood has been severely impacted by the recent events and how it might be a body blow to the entertainment industry as we know it, if the situation doesn't change in six months
He says that most big banner films are wait-listed for the theatres and they have all been rescheduled to 2021.
But here's the problem.
There will be a huge backlog as and when situation normalises in 2021 and people come back to theatres.
They are the ones which have and will be suffering the most because of lack of space.
"This situation is beyond anybody's control. Nothing can be done. We can just wait and watch," Taran says
The recent debacle of few over-hyped films have put them on the backfoot.
Nobody is ready to shell out dollars without watching the content and calculating its viability. The OTT sell prices on offer have drastically reduced.
The big banner releases got prime slots and charged a premium at the multiplexes.
The ticket prices in the first week would be around 400 to 600 in some plexes.
Filmmakers calculated success in terms of a unit called 100 crores
Evenings were premium business slots and no one else (Hollywood, regional and medium-budget films) were allowed.
On the OTT platforms, content is king. The same films are now competing with the best in the world!
Another top-star film flopped due to its content.
Filmmakers are now switching off comments on social media, youtube and even switching off likes and dislikes.
Truth be told: The situation won't normalise and people won't flock to theatres soon
Believe it or not, 70% of a film's budget (even more) was given to its stars. Sometimes, it was bartered with distribution rights.
The stars will see a salary cut to the tune of 60-70%
That was big money for most of them.
Most brands have put their contracts on pause or have replaced them with social media influencers.
They proved to be cheaper and effective.
Two star kid launches have been put on the backburner.
The film business is still on a halt and when it opens, it won't race to a situation where they used to rake in almost 30 crores on the first day itself if they had big stars. Irrespective of the content.
The total loss of the Bollywood film industry due to the pandemic will run into several millions of dollars and will have long-lasting effects.
The industry might change forever
Pandemic broke while #Baaghi3 was in its second week and #AngreziMedium had just released. Both were impacted.
As per @moneycontrolcom, "As 2020 comes to a close, the Bollywood box office report card reads a mere Rs 780 crores."
That's a pitiable sum
In 2019, Rs. 4400 crores had come in from just the release of Hindi films.
In 2018: Bollywood netted Rs 3,600 crores, which was a record as well.
2020 was expected to deliver upwards of high Rs 5,000 crores
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The problem with meta-analysis like this is that it obfuscates the most important issue of treatment, which is timing.
This meta-analysis of controlled trials only looks at hospitalized patients. How long were the patients ill for before being hospitalized? One week? Two? Three? Too late for zinc ionophores (HCQ) (+ZINC? No zinc no point..) to work. Severe illness becomes bacterial in nature.
Was azythromycin administered when the bacterial infections were also too advanced? I have seen Azythromycin work with my very own eyes but that's not to say that if administered too late it may not save the patient. How many patients were given AZT & ventilated? It's all timing.
All the meta-analysis is telling us is if you leave it too late you may have missed the early window for antiviral zinc treatment (Zn+HCQ) & that if you are given AZT when you are ventilated or very severe it may too late for it to save you & corticosteroids may be last resort.
And of course antibiotics need also probiotics, or they may harm the bacterial flora which is part of the immune response. Difficult to tell from a meta-analysis how this problem was managed.
#BMJResearch update: Corticosteroids probably reduce mortality and mechanical ventilation in patients with covid-19 compared with standard care, whereas azithromycin, hydroxychloroquine, interferon-beta, and tocilizumab may not reduce either https://t.co/oQ3lTWUqaz
— The BMJ (@bmj_latest) December 18, 2020
This meta-analysis of controlled trials only looks at hospitalized patients. How long were the patients ill for before being hospitalized? One week? Two? Three? Too late for zinc ionophores (HCQ) (+ZINC? No zinc no point..) to work. Severe illness becomes bacterial in nature.
Was azythromycin administered when the bacterial infections were also too advanced? I have seen Azythromycin work with my very own eyes but that's not to say that if administered too late it may not save the patient. How many patients were given AZT & ventilated? It's all timing.
All the meta-analysis is telling us is if you leave it too late you may have missed the early window for antiviral zinc treatment (Zn+HCQ) & that if you are given AZT when you are ventilated or very severe it may too late for it to save you & corticosteroids may be last resort.
And of course antibiotics need also probiotics, or they may harm the bacterial flora which is part of the immune response. Difficult to tell from a meta-analysis how this problem was managed.
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A THREAD ON @SarangSood
Decoded his way of analysis/logics for everyone to easily understand.
Have covered:
1. Analysis of volatility, how to foresee/signs.
2. Workbook
3. When to sell options
4. Diff category of days
5. How movement of option prices tell us what will happen
1. Keeps following volatility super closely.
Makes 7-8 different strategies to give him a sense of what's going on.
Whichever gives highest profit he trades in.
2. Theta falls when market moves.
Falls where market is headed towards not on our original position.
3. If you're an options seller then sell only when volatility is dropping, there is a high probability of you making the right trade and getting profit as a result
He believes in a market operator, if market mover sells volatility Sarang Sir joins him.
4. Theta decay vs Fall in vega
Sell when Vega is falling rather than for theta decay. You won't be trapped and higher probability of making profit.
Decoded his way of analysis/logics for everyone to easily understand.
Have covered:
1. Analysis of volatility, how to foresee/signs.
2. Workbook
3. When to sell options
4. Diff category of days
5. How movement of option prices tell us what will happen
1. Keeps following volatility super closely.
Makes 7-8 different strategies to give him a sense of what's going on.
Whichever gives highest profit he trades in.
I am quite different from your style. I follow the market's volatility very closely. I have mock positions in 7-8 different strategies which allows me to stay connected. Whichever gives best profit is usually the one i trade in.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) August 13, 2019
2. Theta falls when market moves.
Falls where market is headed towards not on our original position.
Anilji most of the time these days Theta only falls when market moves. So the Theta actually falls where market has moved to, not where our position was in the first place. By shifting we can come close to capturing the Theta fall but not always.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) June 24, 2019
3. If you're an options seller then sell only when volatility is dropping, there is a high probability of you making the right trade and getting profit as a result
He believes in a market operator, if market mover sells volatility Sarang Sir joins him.
This week has been great so far. The main aim is to be in the right side of the volatility, rest the market will reward.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) July 3, 2019
4. Theta decay vs Fall in vega
Sell when Vega is falling rather than for theta decay. You won't be trapped and higher probability of making profit.
There is a difference between theta decay & fall in vega. Decay is certain but there is no guaranteed profit as delta moves can increase cost. Fall in vega on the other hand is backed by a powerful force that sells options and gives handsome returns. Our job is to identify them.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) February 12, 2020
