BC LEGAL
Saved by @CodyyyGardner

should probably identify some things that I feel are plausible risks right now

i dont have any idea how large these risks are

going to focus on first order risks because most of them have tons of knock-on effects

 1. per a now-deleted thread, anything happening to supreme court justices
2. right wingers doing something really stupid
3. democrats massively overreaching and causing a hostile rupture with establishment republicans
4. Congressional Republicans doing something really stupid as a body. I specifically mean House republicans, I think it is unlikely the Senators will be stupid
just generally the short term risk is anything that results in dramatic political escalation

country is a tinderbox after Wednesday

trump getting media purged is very bad for the medium to long term but i am personally most worried about the next month
(2) and (3) seem like the most likely things to happen.

i have more trust in the bulk of the senate and the biden admin to keep their heads. anything with the court is a tail risk. house members seem relatively powerless in practice.
some stabilizing factors:

1. the business establishment is acting independently and forcefully to exert political pressure for stability. this is potentially destabilizing in the longer term but predominantly helpful in the short term
2. the supreme court will probably perform admirably if needed, and will probably given the current makeup at least mitigate if not wholly overturn some of the excesses of democrats that are likely to ensue.

. . . eventually
3. a significant portion of the republican establishment just fucking hates trump, and deeply resents being driven out of the capitol by a mob
continuing this thought and making it explicit, this probably reduces their sense of loyal in some sense to their party and redirects it toward institutions

i am genuinely grateful for mcconnell and pence holding the offices they do
4. none of the republican state legislatures or governors (of which I believe they are the majority) did anything obviously stupid on Wednesday, and they seem unlikely to do so
5. the military doesnt want any part of this shit and its officers especially at the higher ranks seem to hate trump

this is important because in spite of mixed views in lower ranks and among the enlisted it is very difficult to coordinate below the colonelcy
idk this is where my head is. please do not take this as gospel, God knows things are hard to predict even in good times and I am a humble speculator

overall i think we are likely to muddle through

im gonna lose again in AV and go to bed

gn, pls remember to maintain sangfroid

More from Legal

MAKE THE WORLD GREAT AGAIN \U0001f30d
MAKE THE WORLD GREAT A...
@joyoftheawoke
How the world is, and has been controlled by the same families for millennia

These are the secret elite families that rule the world from behind the scenes and what we can do to change society for the better

💥MUST READ THREAD💥 SENSITIVE CONTENT💥


13 blood line families, the Venetian, they are the enemy of us all and they are chameleons rats that live underground...
They live by the law of the sea, they are pirate ships on maritime...
Everything they have done is unlawful of gods law


To be with god we have to raise our chrism oil to heave up to heaven up-on earth, these people don’t want to be near god so they are taking the adrenals for life giving properties, when they torture a sentinel life to the point of death the body is attempting to stay alive so...


enormously powerful secretion are realised into the system to put the body into shock so it doesn’t feel the horror of the pain, then to protect systems they can be put on bare minimum so they can survive. Our bodies are absolute miracles of creation, by the golden creator...

and we are golden children. This is why they take that from the sacred golden child, they take abortions, the babies are kept alive and harvested, this is divinity, they want a long life but don’t want to go through god so they take it by force.
LEGAL
Fionna O'Leary, \U0001f56f\U0001f1ea\U0001f1fa
Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺...
@fascinatorfun
Absolutely fascinating thread as @jsralton & others track down the identity of key players in the Capitol Hill breach.

Including highly decorated ex-members of the military.

The double wrist ties, tasers, discarded weapons all show an intention to go much further than they got


Seems so ordinary, becoming Lieutenant Commander Brock in the US Airforce ...yet the conversion from the ordinary into the extremist will make a fascinating study for psychologists @RichardBentall


His claim that he picked up the wrist ties “someone” had dropped so he could hand them into police is laughable.

And when you think about it rather cowardly. Can’t even take responsibility for what he has done.

Who else were involved in the planning? Which mates of his?

The attention to detail in making the links is impressive.

There’s going to be a lot more doors knocked in in the next few weeks.

How high and how deep into the Trump establishment does it go.?


H/T @k8tshires for this summary from CNN

If the people involved in this insurrection succeeded where would the establishment face of the movement be?

I suspect not making the denouncements they are now that it
LEGAL
Advertisement
Maya Forstater
Maya Forstater
@MForstater
New in the Industrial Law Journal "Belief vs. Action in Ladele, Ngole and Forstater" by Professor Robert Wintemute, Kings College London

https://t.co/jNYucKvKKa


Wintemute asks "Did the Employment Tribunal correctly distinguish the claimant’s belief from hypothetical (speculative, future) harmful action that might involve
discrimination against, or harassment of, a transgender co-worker or customer? "

He considers the case of Ladele - a registrar whose religious belief meant she would not conduct same sex weddings - her belief could not be accommodated, because she had chosen to act on it in a way that caused harm to others.


And Ngole, a student social worker who won his case " I never advocated any hate...towards people who are in same sex relationships. ... I never stated that people in same sex relationships should be treated differently.."


Wintemute notes "Ms Forstater was not dismissed because of her treatment of any transgender person, such as a co-worker or a customer of her employer..but because of her co-workers’ intolerance of her unfashionable (to them) belief that, in some situations, sex matters"
LEGAL
Corey Quinn
Corey Quinn
@QuinnyPig
And now a livetweet thread of a legal conference in the case of C21-31-BJR, Parler LLC v. @awscloud.

Parler suggests "AWS just has to flip a switch and Parler gets turned back on. Parler has been their customer for 2.5 years."

"They've met and conferred over some user content that violates not only Parler's user requirements, but also Amazon's." Yes, they'll do that, whether you want them to or not.

"I'm not on social media" says Parler's lawyer. "If I use any terms and you don't understand them, I can explain them your honor." Just go full bro and call it "dumbing things down for you" dude.

They're now saying an "algorithm" can solve their moderation problems.

Spoiler: it can not.
LEGAL
Eric Block
Eric Block
@FortySixAnd2wo
We know how the Chinese Communist Party treats their own people with cruelty, putting them in labor camps, slave camps, and even killing their people for organ harvesting, such as the Falun Dafa people, the Tibetans, Christians, Uyghurs, and atheists.
LEGAL

You May Also Like

ArmaniTalks \U0001f399\U0001f525
ArmaniTalks 🎙🔥...
@ArmaniTalks
Shy people are either overthinking or highly observant of the social setting.

And in many cases it can be both.

'So what do I do?'

You learn the 75/25 law.

'What is that?'

The law of charisma...👇

Let's address the over thinkers first.

Do you have any idea why you overthink?

'Yea. Because others are judging how shy I am.'

Incorrect.

Others are thinking about themselves, not you.

But the fact that you think they are thinking about you, you fuck up the interaction.

Now you stay in your head too much & avoid the present moment.

A major no no in the social world.

Your tendency to think that others are judging you for being shy, coincidentally makes you more shy.

And that's when you start giving off a strange vibration to the social setting.

This is when you begin attracting comments like 'why are you so quiet?'
LIFE
Paras Chopra
Paras Chopra
@paraschopra
1/ Here are my notes from @robertwrighter's book - Nonzero: the logic of human destiny. I enjoyed the book very much.

The basic premise of the book is that history has a direction which favors co-operation and non-zero sum games, and that causes an increase in complexity.


2/ Starting from the first replicating molecule which co-operated with an outer layer to form first proto-cell, evolutionary and cultural history is full of examples where two entities come together to survive and progress a lot more than they would have done individually.

3/ This co-operative entity fares much better than two individual entities because of specialization. If two entities are in the same boat - that they win together or lose together - then trust is implicit.

4/ In a non-zero sum game, trust causes entities to focus on what they do best.

For example, eukaryotic cells - the ones animals and plants have - emerged when two proto-cells merged, and one took the role of energy generator (mitochondria), the other specialized in protection.

5/ Some scientists believe that even nucleus in a cell is a result of an early cell merging with another cell.

So M&A is not a recent phenomena, entities have been merging because of common interests ever since life started.
CULTURE
Advertisement
Anshul Pandey
Anshul Pandey
@Anshulspiritual
RISHI ASHTAVAKRA(DEVAL)

Those who are well versed in our ancient scriptures must definitely have come across the name of Ashtavakra Muni. Who was he and what is the story behind his body getting crooked from all sides.

Muni Asit was the son of Pracheta Rishi.


He was childless and this caused a lot of worry to him. But an Akashvani assured him that he should go to Shivji to get all his
worries nullified.

So he along with his wife go to Shivji and after paying him obeisance start singing Shivji's praises.

He describes Shiv as the one who is beyond any other thing, whose glory has no words to describe. After this the couple stands with folded hands in front of Rudradev. The strotras sung in praise of Shiv possess magical qualities even today.

Shiv gets satisfied by them soon and is ready to grant a boon.

Shiva told him that, he very well knew what the Muni desired. He then gives him the "Sansaar Vijay' mantra and asks him to keep reciting it. The Isht devi would come at an appropriate time and fulfill his wish.

Asit Muni kept reciting this mantra for hundred years. The Devi appeared and granted him the boon of a son as a Shivansh. A son was born and was named as Deval. He grew upto be a great scholar well versed and a handsome young man. Asit Muni got him married to Ratnamalavati.
RELIGION
John Hayward
John Hayward
@Doc_0
Funny, before the election I recall lefties muttering the caravan must have been a Trump setup because it made the open borders crowd look so bad. Why would the pro-migrant crowd engineer a crisis that played into Trump's hands? THIS is why. THESE are the "optics" they wanted.


This media manipulation effort was inspired by the success of the "kids in cages" freakout, a 100% Stalinist propaganda drive that required people to forget about Obama putting migrant children in cells. It worked, so now they want pics of Trump "gassing children on the border."

There's a heavy air of Pallywood around the whole thing as well. If the Palestinians can stage huge theatrical performances of victimhood with the willing cooperation of Western media, why shouldn't the migrant caravan organizers expect the same?

It's business as usual for Anarchy, Inc. - the worldwide shredding of national sovereignty to increase the power of transnational organizations and left-wing ideology. Many in the media are true believers. Others just cannot resist the narrative of "change" and "social justice."

The product sold by Anarchy, Inc. is victimhood. It always boils down to the same formula: once the existing order can be painted as oppressors and children as their victims, chaos wins and order loses. Look at the lefties shrieking in unison about "Trump gassing children" today.
POLITICS
Nikita Poojary
Nikita Poojary
@niki_poojary
One of the most successful stock trader with special focus on cash stocks and who has a very creative mind to look out for opportunities in dark times

Covering one of the most unique set ups: Extended moves & Reversal plays

Time for a 🧵 to learn the above from @iManasArora

What qualifies for an extended move?

30-40% move in just 5-6 days is one example of extended move

How Manas used this info to book


Post that the plight of the


Example 2: Booking profits when the stock is extended from 10WMA

10WMA =


Another hack to identify extended move in a stock:

Too many green days!

Read
SCREENERS , A SCREENER