should probably identify some things that I feel are plausible risks right now
i dont have any idea how large these risks are
going to focus on first order risks because most of them have tons of knock-on effects
I mean... all my friends who prepared for a global pandemic and were stockpiling masks in February are freaking out about this Trump ban thing so it seems safe to ignore them since they are never right about anything.
— PoliMath (@politicalmath) January 10, 2021
country is a tinderbox after Wednesday
trump getting media purged is very bad for the medium to long term but i am personally most worried about the next month
i have more trust in the bulk of the senate and the biden admin to keep their heads. anything with the court is a tail risk. house members seem relatively powerless in practice.
1. the business establishment is acting independently and forcefully to exert political pressure for stability. this is potentially destabilizing in the longer term but predominantly helpful in the short term
. . . eventually
i am genuinely grateful for mcconnell and pence holding the offices they do
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In the United States, car accidents are one of the leading causes of death and injury for children under the age of 18. https://t.co/RrYVtaoFRd 2/
A few years ago my family and I were driving from visiting relatives in Texas when we were stuck in traffic on the I-10. We were at a complete dead stop when a woman (texting) in a Suburban hit us at 70 mph. She crushed the back of our car like a soda can. 3/
Thankfully, our two-year-old was in a good carseat and I absorbed the brunt of the injuries with a few shards of glass in my scalp. I won't show those pictures! While a high speed rail network along the Gulf Coast may have not prevented that accident, it could prevent most. 4/
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