The Govt, the Opposition, and the real Opposition. Some thoughts on Govt, Labour and the ERG/CRG.

Thread. 1/16

This is a Govt which is interested in the pursuit, and retention, of power (see this blog). It aims for short-term popularity, and is acutely sensitive to the public mood. 2/

https://t.co/vM2jjA7VZD
Its policies on the 2 big issues of the day - Brexit and COVID-19 - have not been successful.

We have not secured an easy trade deal with the UK and are facing a very hard Brexit, deal or no deal.

Both deaths and the economic damage from the virus are world-beating. 3/
What is (to me) interesting, and I think unusual, is that the loudest voices against the Govt's position, come not from the Labour party and other opposition parties; but from the fringes of the Conservative party (backed by many in the media). 4/
The possibly emerging deal with the EU is attacked not for the economic damage it will cause and the barriers it will create for people and business, but on the grounds that it represents an unconscionable imposition on the UK's sovereignty. 5/
The COVID response is not attacked because of the Govt's failure to build a system to enable us to 'live with' the virus, but because the rush to reopen the economy was (albeit belatedly) put on pause as deaths and hospitalisations rose alarmingly (and predictably). 6/
The debate, such as it is, is between the Govt's position and that of the ERG/CRG. It seems to be they who are the 'real Opposition'. 7/
The Labour Party (and other opposition parties) find themselves marginalised. And they have been presented with invidious policy choices. 8/
On Brexit, the 'choice' they have is between offering support for the Govt's deal... or facing no deal. Many in Govt are, or seem to be, very comfortable with no deal. There is no prospect of Labour opposition leading to a shift in the Govt position. 9/
On COVID, the 'choice' is between accepting the Govt's flawed tier system... or allowing the restrictions to lapse. There is no prospect of Labour opposition leading to a shift in the Govt position. 10/
The Opposition is - and I'm sure that the framing of the choices and the votes in Parliament is deliberate - asked to choose between offering support to a deeply flawed Govt policy, or being held at least in part responsible for a far worse outcome. 11/
It is often the fate of the Opposition to watch as a Govt with a large majority plots its own course. But it is, I think, unusual to see an Opposition so effectively marginalised. 12/
I wonder what the implications/consequences of this are. Two quick things do occur to me. 13/
First, the open divisions within the Conservative Party (for all that they may skew the debate and marginalise the Opposition) present opportunities for the Opposition. The majority of 80 is not necessarily a comfortable one. 14/
And second, it is imperative that the Opposition works much harder to establish an alternative narrative and to make its voice heard. It is not united. It has been chastened by the GE defeat. But still.

See thread on Brexit https://t.co/5dPxYdfPEr 15/
There is a huge political space, inhabited by those who want a closer more cooperative relationship with the EU, and a more considered response to COVID, which currently feels very empty. 16/16

More from Government

I am going to take the context for this thread from this piece by my good brother @mabziz in 2018-3 years ago. One thing I am so perturbed about is the response of our Attorney General's office to issues of state security. I have no personal grouse against @MalamiSan, but


2. I do have a professional grouse against him. I feel he is not alive to his duties. I feel that he is also not empowering his Director of Public Prosecutions or his Solicitor General. There is clearly a lot that befuddles me and this is because I am a seasoned lawyer and can't/

3. understand why law is not being used as the instrument it was designed for-to enforce law and order. Let us take the case of Nnamdi Kanu-this man was arraigned in Nigeria on a charge of treason/treasonable felony-he was on bail & he jumped bail. Why has he not been extradited?

4. Is it that Kanu is somehow bigger than Nigeria? What has happened to his surety who failed to produce him? Who is prosecuting him? Our Federal Ministry of Justice? Should Malami not explain to Nigeria why Nnamdi Kanu is still taunting Nigeria daily & still actively destroying/

5. our unity everyday. He is putting the lives of many people at risk and stoking ethnic dissent easily. The Fulani herdsmen dilemma, the burning of Lagos State and his coordination of same on phone-in radio channels, his videos are all stoking a Yoruba/Igbo carnage. Same with/

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