What should have been enough for @GOP @LeaderMcConnell @LindseyGrahamSC @ChuckGrassley but seem to make up excuse after excuse

@GOP What should have been enough: Charlottesville should have been enough. Then Ukraine. Then Covid failure. Then Attack on our Capitol. If you don’t #LeaveTheGOP then you have no moral compass
@GOP What should have been enough
Federal civil rights VIOLATIONS at Trump properties
@GOP WHAT should have been enough
The Central Park Five should have been enough
@GOP What SHOULD have been enough
Birtherism should have been enough.
@GOP What should HAVE Been enough
Epstein and Rape of 13 y/o
@GOP What Should Have BEEN enough
Mocking a disabled reporter
@GOP What should have been ENOUGH
How about Russian placing bounties on US soldiers in Afghanistan? 6 children dying in ICE captivity separated from their parents. Using pepper spray, tear gas & rubber bullets for a photo
@GOP What should of been ENOUGH
The Access Hollywood tapes where it became clear he had a long history of sexually assaulting women
@GOP WHAT SHOULD HAVE BEEN ENOUGH
hone call to Ukraine and phone call to Georgia officials asking for 11,000 votes.
@GOP WHAT SHOULD HAVE BEEN ENOUGH
The lie about Covid being a hoax WHILE THOUSANDS DIED, let me not forget Millions of Covid vaccines missing.
@GOP WHAT SHOULD HAVE BEEN ENOUGH
Day 1 he started calling Mexicans rapists
@GOP WHAT SHOULD HAVE BEEN ENOUGH
Shithole Countries,
@GOP WHAT SHOULD HAVE BEEN ENOUGH
Disparaging John McCain in life and death
@GOP WHAT SHOULD HAVE BEEN ENOUGH
, ties with mobsters in casinos, bankruptcy, housing discrimination, lawsuits, should've been enough
@GOP WHATSHOULD HAVE BEEN ENOUGH
"Grab her by the pussy" should have been enough "Knock the shit out of him" should have been enough "I'd wipe out their whole families" should have been enough "I could shoot someone on 5th Ave and still get elected" should have been enough.
@GOPWHAT SHOULD HAVE BEEN ENOUGH
Khashoggi MURDER and how he bowed down to MBS
@GOP What should have been enough
was Helsinki and How he never put Putin in his place taking his side on everything
@GOP WHAT SHOULD HAVE ENOUGH WAS THE LYING ABOUT THE ELECTION INCITING VIOLENCE WHILE POLICE OFFICERS LOST THEIR LIVES THEN BLAMES ANTFIA AND LEFT YOU IN THE CAPITOL WHILE TWEETING SUPPORT TO MURDERS

More from Government

They shouldn't be.

The pattern is:
GOP in power - GOP dictates policy

Dems in power - GOP dictates policy


The Dems shouldn't legislate toward the GOP.

The GOP doesn't represent its constituents.

The GOP can push it's agenda on its own time.

If Dems push an agenda that actually helps people, it'll also actually help the GOP constituency.

The GOP won't. So give them nothing.

The Dems should ignore the GOP just like the GOP ignores the Dems.

Make them pay for every moment of obstruction.

Just a hard press on legislation that is unassailable and shine a light on the GOP.

Constant. Relentless. Unyielding.

Shut them out and shut them down.

The GOP is not a legitimate political party. It is an anti-democratic, fascist criminal syndicate with no interest whatsoever in governance.

Nobody should give them the slightest bit of credit or legitimacy ever again.

Not a fucking ounce.

Nobody should engage them in legitimate debate in Congress.

They should be pariahs and treated as unserious occupants of Congress.

Because these people were totally ok with their colleagues being killed in furtherance of the destruction of the insitution.
Which metric is a better predictor of the severity of the fall surge in US states?

1) Margin of Democrat victory in Nov 2020 election
or
2) % infected through Sep 1, 2020

Can you guess which plot is which?


The left plot is based on the % infected through Sep 1, 2020. You can see that there is very little correlation with the % infected since Sep 1.

However, there is a *strong* correlation when using the margin of Biden's victory (right).

Infections % from
https://t.co/WcXlfxv3Ah.


This is the strongest single variable I've seen in being able to explain the severity of this most recent wave in each state.

Not past infections / existing immunity, population density, racial makeup, latitude / weather / humidity, etc.

But political lean.

One can argue that states that lean Democrat are more likely to implement restrictions/mandates.

This is valid, so we test this by using the Government Stringency Index made by @UniofOxford.

We also see a correlation, but it's weaker (R^2=0.36 vs 0.50).

https://t.co/BxBBKwW6ta


To avoid look-ahead bias/confounding variables, here is the same analysis but using 2016 margin of victory as the predictor. Similar results.

This basically says that 2016 election results is a better predictor of the severity of the fall wave than intervention levels in 2020!

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